BetGenius

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro prediction

Checking status…
Serie ASerie A
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 12:20 AM
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
F. Mendes

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +5 goal difference

Cruzeiro
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cruzeiro or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Cruzeiro or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Vasco da Gama host Cruzeiro in round 25 of the Brazilian Serie A with contrasting ambitions. Vasco enter the tie seated in 19th position with 22 points from 23 matches, fighting to escape the relegation zone. While they managed a 1-0 home victory against Vitoria recently, their broader campaign has seen 11 defeats and 38 goals conceded across 23 league fixtures.

Cruzeiro occupy 5th place in the table with 39 points and are firmly in contention for Copa Libertadores qualification spots. The visitors have maintained a capable away record this season, securing 5 victories and 2 draws from 11 matches on the road, alongside netting 13 goals in those travels.

Historical encounters between these sides have frequently produced balanced affairs, with 5 draws recorded across their past 10 meetings, including a 3-3 deadlock in their most recent fixture. Considering Cruzeiro's superior league standing and Vasco's squad absences, the visitors appear well-positioned to earn at least a point.

Key factors

  • Cruzeiro are 5th in Serie A with 39 points from 24 games, compared to Vasco da Gama in 19th with 22 points from 23 matches.
  • Cruzeiro have won 5 of their 11 away league matches this season, while Vasco have suffered 11 defeats in 23 total fixtures.
  • Vasco da Gama are without suspended defender Robert Renan along with injured trio Brenner, Jair, and Mateus Carvalho.
  • Cruzeiro are missing suspended defender Fabricio Bruno and injured attackers Gabriel Pec and L. Sinisterra.
  • Five of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between the two sides have ended in draws.

Team news

Vasco DA Gama

  • BrennerInjury
  • JairInjury
  • Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
  • CuiabanoInactive
  • J. RojasInactive

Cruzeiro

  • Gabriel PecBroken Leg
  • L. SinisterraMuscle Injury
  • Jonathan JesusInjury
  • Bruno RodriguesInactive

Statistical comparison

Vasco DA Gama at home vs Cruzeiro away
13
Played
12
6-2-5
W-D-L
5-2-5
1.2
Scored /game
1.2
1.4
Conceded /game
1.8
8%
Clean sheets
17%
31%
Failed to score
17%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Vasco DA Gama at home plus Cruzeiro away).

Key players this season

Cruzeiro

  • Matheus Pereira4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
6CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26+142
7CoritibaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-137
8Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+236
9RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+335
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325
18InternacionalRelegation - Serie B26-625
19RemoRelegation - Serie B26-1323
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B25-2317

Head-to-head

Full record →
Vasco DA Gama
3
Draws
4
Cruzeiro
3

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Vasco DA Gama 3-1 Cruzeiro
  • 2026-03-15Cruzeiro 3-3 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-09-27Vasco DA Gama 2-0 Cruzeiro
  • 2025-04-27Cruzeiro 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-09-29Cruzeiro 1-1 Vasco DA Gama

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cruzeiro or Draw
Confidence74%

Cruzeiro sit 14 places higher in the standings (5th vs 19th) and have taken 5 wins from 11 away games this season. Vasco da Gama have lost 11 of their 23 league matches overall and are missing multiple players including Robert Renan, Mateus Carvalho, Brenner, and Jair. A double chance selection backing Cruzeiro to win or draw covers the strong likelihood of the higher-placed side avoiding defeat against a relegation-threatened opponent.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.