BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
São Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
F. Mendes
Form

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama
40Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Cruzeiro
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Cruzeiro or Draw

BetGenius backs Cruzeiro or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Vasco da Gama host Cruzeiro in round 25 of the Brazilian Serie A with contrasting ambitions. Vasco enter the tie seated in 19th position with 22 points from 23 matches, fighting to escape the relegation zone. While they managed a 1-0 home victory against Vitoria recently, their broader campaign has seen 11 defeats and 38 goals conceded across 23 league fixtures.

Cruzeiro occupy 5th place in the table with 39 points and are firmly in contention for Copa Libertadores qualification spots. The visitors have maintained a capable away record this season, securing 5 victories and 2 draws from 11 matches on the road, alongside netting 13 goals in those travels.

Historical encounters between these sides have frequently produced balanced affairs, with 5 draws recorded across their past 10 meetings, including a 3-3 deadlock in their most recent fixture. Considering Cruzeiro's superior league standing and Vasco's squad absences, the visitors appear well-positioned to earn at least a point.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Cruzeiro are 5th in Serie A with 39 points from 24 games, compared to Vasco da Gama in 19th with 22 points from 23 matches.
  2. Cruzeiro have won 5 of their 11 away league matches this season, while Vasco have suffered 11 defeats in 23 total fixtures.
  3. Vasco da Gama are without suspended defender Robert Renan along with injured trio Brenner, Jair, and Mateus Carvalho.
  4. Cruzeiro are missing suspended defender Fabricio Bruno and injured attackers Gabriel Pec and L. Sinisterra.
  5. Five of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between the two sides have ended in draws.
Availability

Team news

Vasco DA Gama

  • Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
  • Cauan BarrosInactive
  • C. CuestaInactive

Cruzeiro

  • Gabriel PecBroken Leg
  • L. SinisterraMuscle Injury
  • N. VillarrealAnkle Injury
  • Joao MarceloYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Vasco DA Gama at homeCruzeiro away
15
Played
16
7-3-5
W-D-L
7-2-7
1.4
Scored /game
1.5
1.2
Conceded /game
1.9
20%
Clean sheets
13%
33%
Failed to score
13%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Vasco DA Gama at home plus Cruzeiro away).

Players

Key players this season

Cruzeiro

  • Kaio Jorge11G
  • Matheus Pereira6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
History

Head-to-head

3
Vasco DA Gama
4
Draws
3
Cruzeiro

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Vasco DA Gama3-1Cruzeiro
  • 2026-03-15Cruzeiro3-3Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-09-27Vasco DA Gama2-0Cruzeiro
  • 2025-04-27Cruzeiro1-0Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-09-29Cruzeiro1-1Vasco DA Gama
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Cruzeiro or Draw
74%
Confidence

Cruzeiro sit 14 places higher in the standings (5th vs 19th) and have taken 5 wins from 11 away games this season. Vasco da Gama have lost 11 of their 23 league matches overall and are missing multiple players including Robert Renan, Mateus Carvalho, Brenner, and Jair. A double chance selection backing Cruzeiro to win or draw covers the strong likelihood of the higher-placed side avoiding defeat against a relegation-threatened opponent.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.