BetGenius

Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 11, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice

Recent form

Venezia
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Fiorentina
21Very poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Venezia or Draw
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Venezia or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Venezia host Fiorentina at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo with both sides desperate to reverse dismal starts to the Serie A campaign. Both clubs sit in the relegation places with zero points after suffering three defeats from their opening three fixtures.

Venezia have conceded seven goals while scoring just twice, having fallen to Lecce, Udinese, and Frosinone across their initial league outings. Their squad depth is tested by injuries to A. Adorante, B. Franjic, M. Sverko, T. Basic, and A. Bella-Kotchap, but they will look to their positive home record against Fiorentina for encouragement.

Fiorentina currently prop up the table in 20th place with a goal difference of minus eight, having scored just once while conceding nine times. With both teams struggling for rhythm and confidence in front of goal, this encounter represents a tense battle between two sides fighting to avoid an extended crisis.

Key factors

  • Both Venezia and Fiorentina enter round four with zero points having lost all three of their opening league fixtures.
  • Venezia have won both of their Serie A home encounters against Fiorentina in the head-to-head history.
  • Fiorentina have scored just one goal while conceding nine across their three matches this season.
  • Both sides have failed to score in two of their three league games so far.
  • Head-to-head meetings between these clubs have averaged only 1.25 goals per game across four matches.

Team news

Venezia

  • A. AdoranteHernia
  • B. FranjicInjury
  • M. SverkoHip Injury
  • T. BasicFoot Injury
  • A. Bella-KotchapInjury

Fiorentina

  • F. ParisiKnee Injury
  • R. SottilBack Injury
  • C. Inao OulaiInjury

Statistical comparison

Venezia at home vs Fiorentina away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
15Bologna3-21
16Parma3-31
17Monza3-41
18VeneziaRelegation3-50
19GenoaRelegation3-60
20FiorentinaRelegation3-80

Head-to-head

Full record →
Venezia
2
Draws
1
Fiorentina
1

Venezia have won 2 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 1.3 goals a game, only 25% went over 2.5.

  • 2025-05-12Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina
  • 2024-08-25Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia
  • 2022-04-16Fiorentina 1-0 Venezia
  • 2021-10-18Venezia 1-0 Fiorentina

Our record in Serie A

71%27 won from 38 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Venezia or Draw
Confidence68%

Venezia have won both of their Serie A home matches against Fiorentina in recent head-to-head history, recording 2-1 and 1-0 victories. While both teams enter this contest on three-match losing streaks, Fiorentina have shown defensive fragility by conceding nine goals in three games and failed to score in their only away trip so far. Covering the home win and the draw provides protection across two viable outcomes.

Combo Bet
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
No
Confidence62%

Both teams have struggled offensively during the opening rounds. Venezia have been shut out in two of their three league fixtures, including their only home game against Lecce. Fiorentina have generated just one goal across three matches and failed to score against both AS Roma and Frosinone. Furthermore, three of the four prior head-to-head meetings between these sides saw at least one team fail to score.

Featured
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
No + Venezia or Draw
Confidence62%

No — 62% confidence

Both teams have struggled offensively during the opening rounds. Venezia have been shut out in two of their three league fixtures, including their only home game against Lecce. Fiorentina have generated just one goal across three matches and failed to score against both AS Roma and Frosinone. Furthermore, three of the four prior head-to-head meetings between these sides saw at least one team fail to score.

Venezia or Draw — 68% confidence

Venezia have won both of their Serie A home matches against Fiorentina in recent head-to-head history, recording 2-1 and 1-0 victories. While both teams enter this contest on three-match losing streaks, Fiorentina have shown defensive fragility by conceding nine goals in three games and failed to score in their only away trip so far. Covering the home win and the draw provides protection across two viable outcomes.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

More from BetGenius

Teams around them in the table

All Serie A predictions →

Published September 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.