BetGenius
20:45
Fri 6 Nov
WAT

Venezia vs Udinese prediction

Round
Regular Season - 11
Venue
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Udinese or Draw

BetGenius backs Udinese or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Venezia host Udinese in a Serie A fixture between the two lowest-ranked sides in the league. Venezia are 20th on 3 points with a goal difference of -14, and Udinese are 19th on 5 points with a goal difference of -12. Monza, 18th on 7 points, sit just above them, so both teams are in the relegation zone and a result here could shift the picture at the bottom.

Venezia have won once in ten league games and enter on a run of six straight defeats. At home they have scored three goals in five matches and conceded ten, and they have failed to score in three of those five. Udinese have a more balanced profile: 11 goals scored and 23 conceded overall, with a 1-2-7 record. Their away form is the better of the two sides' venue records, with seven goals scored in four away matches, though they have also conceded nine in that span. Their most recent game was a 5-2 defeat to AS Roma.

The head-to-head sample is very small, just four meetings, but all four have gone over 2.5 goals, averaging four per game, and Udinese have won three of them. Venezia are managed by G. Stroppa and Udinese by K. Runjaic. Venezia's availability list shows M. Šverko out with a hip injury, although that list is dated after kickoff and should be treated as indicative. Udinese report five absentees as of the fixture date: D. Alaba, I. Gueye, V. Bayo, O. Solet and A. Zanoli.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Both sides are in the relegation zone: Venezia 20th on 3 points and Udinese 19th on 5 points, with Monza 18th on 7.
  2. Venezia have won once in ten league games, have lost their last six, and have scored just three goals in five home matches.
  3. Udinese have scored seven goals in four away matches but conceded nine in that span, so their away form is useful without being dominant.
  4. Both teams have conceded heavily overall (Venezia 20 goals, Udinese 23 in ten games), supporting a higher-scoring outlook.
  5. The head-to-head sample is only four meetings, all over 2.5 goals, with Udinese winning three; this supports the total but says little about the result.
  6. Udinese list five injury absences, while Venezia's single listed absence (M. Šverko) is dated after kickoff and should be treated as indicative.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Venezia

1W 0D 4L · Goals 2–7

5 matches, 12 Oct to 1 Nov

21
Very poor
LWLLLLatest →
  • atComo
    Serie A
    L0–1
  • vsInter
    Serie A
    L0–2
  • atGenoa
    Serie A
    L0–1
  • vsNapoli
    Serie A
    W1–0
  • atAtalanta
    Serie A
    L1–3
Away

Udinese

0W 1D 4L · Goals 3–12

5 matches, 12 Oct to 31 Oct

14
Very poor
LLLDLLatest →
  • vsAS Roma
    Serie A
    L2–5
  • atParma
    Serie A
    D0–0
  • vsAC Milan
    Serie A
    L0–2
  • vsLecce
    Serie A
    L0–3
  • atTorino
    Serie A
    L1–2

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Venezia: Serie A (2026); Udinese: Serie A (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Venezia at homeUdinese away
5
Played
4
1-0-4
W-D-L
1-1-2
0.6
Scored /game
1.8
2
Conceded /game
2.3
20%
Clean sheets
—
60%
Failed to score
—
20% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
40% (5 games)
20% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Venezia at home plus Udinese away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
16Fiorentina10-88
17Sassuolo10-108
18MonzaRelegation10-77
19UdineseRelegation10-125
20VeneziaRelegation10-143
History

Head-to-head

1
Venezia
0
Draws
3
Udinese

Udinese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 4.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.

  • 2025-02-01Udinese3-2Venezia
  • 2024-10-30Venezia3-2Udinese
  • 2022-04-10Venezia1-2Udinese
  • 2021-08-27Udinese3-0Venezia
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

67%112 won from 168 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Double Chance
Udinese or Draw
64%
Confidence

Udinese have the stronger away return of the two sides in this table, scoring seven goals in four away matches, while Venezia have scored only three goals in five home games and failed to score in three of them. Udinese sit five points clear of Venezia on the table with a slightly better goal difference. The main reason for caution is Udinese's injury list of five players and their own leaky away defence, which has conceded nine in four away games. A win for Udinese alone is a reasonable but less certain reading than the win-or-draw outcome, so the hedge is the more supported position here.

Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Confidence

Both sides have conceded heavily this season: Venezia have allowed 20 goals in ten games (an average of 2.0 at home and 2.0 per game overall), and Udinese have allowed 23 in ten (an average of 2.3 per game). The league as a whole averages 3.18 goals per game. Udinese's away attacking output of seven goals in four matches meets a Venezia home defence that has conceded ten in five. The four previous meetings all went over 2.5 goals, although that is a very small sample and only partly informs this view. Venezia's low scoring rate (0.6 per game) limits how far the total can rise, which keeps this pick below a higher confidence level.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Udinese or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both must land · no better than

Udinese or Draw — 64% confidence

Udinese have the stronger away return of the two sides in this table, scoring seven goals in four away matches, while Venezia have scored only three goals in five home games and failed to score in three of them. Udinese sit five points clear of Venezia on the table with a slightly better goal difference. The main reason for caution is Udinese's injury list of five players and their own leaky away defence, which has conceded nine in four away games. A win for Udinese alone is a reasonable but less certain reading than the win-or-draw outcome, so the hedge is the more supported position here.

Over 2.5 Goals — 58% confidence

Both sides have conceded heavily this season: Venezia have allowed 20 goals in ten games (an average of 2.0 at home and 2.0 per game overall), and Udinese have allowed 23 in ten (an average of 2.3 per game). The league as a whole averages 3.18 goals per game. Udinese's away attacking output of seven goals in four matches meets a Venezia home defence that has conceded ten in five. The four previous meetings all went over 2.5 goals, although that is a very small sample and only partly informs this view. Venezia's low scoring rate (0.6 per game) limits how far the total can rise, which keeps this pick below a higher confidence level.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 20:55 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Venezia: 4 Nov 2026, 20:55 WAT; Udinese: 4 Nov 2026, 20:55 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 12:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.