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Tue 27 Oct

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Follow VfL BochumFollow FSV Mainz 05Follow this match
Round
Round of 32
Venue
Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

VfL Bochum
34Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -1 goal difference

FSV Mainz 05
53Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

BetGenius backs FSV Mainz 05 or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

DFB Pokal action sees second-tier VfL Bochum host top-flight FSV Mainz 05 in the round of 32 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion. Bochum enter this cup tie enduring a testing domestic campaign, sitting 13th in the 2. Bundesliga with only two wins from nine league outings and six goals scored.

FSV Mainz 05 occupy seventh spot in the Bundesliga, showing high offensive output with 16 goals scored across seven league fixtures. Mainz have excelled on their travels recently, picking up away victories against FC Schalke 04, Waldhof Mannheim, and Borussia Monchengladbach across league and cup competitions.

While Mainz will have to cope with several confirmed squad absences, the difference in divisional level and head-to-head record heavily favors the visitors, who dismantled Bochum 4-1 on this ground in their most recent meeting.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Divisional disparity: Mainz hold seventh place in the Bundesliga, whereas Bochum sit 13th in the 2. Bundesliga.
  2. Mainz enter having won three consecutive away fixtures across league and cup play, including wins at Schalke, Mannheim, and Monchengladbach.
  3. Bochum have struggled for offensive output, scoring only six goals in nine domestic league fixtures.
  4. Head-to-head dominance favors Mainz, who have won six of the previous ten meetings and triumphed 4-1 in the most recent clash at this ground.
  5. Mainz must navigate several injury concerns, with Zentner, Kohr, Silas, and Ruoppi unavailable for selection.
Availability

Team news

VfL Bochum

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

FSV Mainz 05

  • D. KohrFoot Injury
  • O. RuoppiKnee Injury
  • SilasBroken shinbone
  • R. ZentnerHand Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

VfL Bochum at homeFSV Mainz 05 away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Players

Key players this season

FSV Mainz 05

  • P. Tietz4G
  • N. Amiri2G · 2A
  • P. Mwene2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
VfL Bochum
2
Draws
6
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2025-05-10VfL Bochum1-4FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-01-11FSV Mainz 052-0VfL Bochum
  • 2024-03-16FSV Mainz 052-0Vfl Bochum
  • 2023-10-27Vfl Bochum2-2FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-01-28FSV Mainz 055-2Vfl Bochum
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
76%
Confidence

Mainz operate a division above Bochum and currently sit seventh in the Bundesliga, while Bochum have struggled in 13th place in the 2. Bundesliga. Mainz have won their last three away fixtures across all competitions and have dominated recent encounters between the sides, winning six of the last ten meetings including a 4-1 victory in Bochum in May 2025. Although Mainz are missing Robin Zentner, Dominik Kohr, Silas, and Onni Ruoppi through injury, their depth and attacking output should be enough to avoid defeat in regulation time against an opponent that has scored just six goals in nine league games.

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Published October 26, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.