FSV Mainz 05

Hamburg have proven difficult for Mainz to break down at the Volksparkstadion, avoiding defeat in four of their last five home encounters in this matchup, including a 4-0 win in October 2025. Mainz arrive missing five key squad members through injury, which limits their attacking and midfield options. Following an opening round where both teams failed to score, Hamburg are well placed on home soil to take at least a point in a low-scoring affair.

Mainz have an unbeaten record against Paderborn across four past Bundesliga meetings (three wins and one draw), including winning both previous home fixtures to nil. While both sides enter the match with key players sidelined through injury, Mainz's strong home record in this head-to-head matchup and recent scoring form make the home double chance a well-supported, low-risk selection for the opening fixture.