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Mon 31 Aug · 17:00

VPS vs Lahti prediction

Round
Regular Season - 22
Venue
Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Referee
Dennis Antamo, Finland
Form

Recent form

VPS
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -7 goal difference

Lahti
56Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
VPS or Draw

BetGenius backs VPS or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

VPS host Lahti in regular season round 22 of the Veikkausliiga, with both sides looking to solidify their standings positions. VPS sit fifth on 33 points, currently holding a spot in the Championship Group places, while Lahti trail by four points in eighth position on 29 points.

VPS have been reliable on home turf throughout the campaign, taking five victories and three draws from ten home matches while scoring 18 times and conceding 10. Although their recent form has shown some inconsistency with two wins and three defeats across their last five matches, their home baseline remains resilient.

Lahti arrive with a modest away record of three wins, two draws, and five defeats in ten road outings, managing just eight goals away from home while conceding nine. Recent head-to-head encounters heavily lean towards VPS, who remain unbeaten across their last six league meetings with Lahti.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. VPS have lost only two of their ten home league games this season, collecting five wins and three draws.
  2. Lahti have managed just eight goals in ten away matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game on their travels.
  3. VPS are unbeaten in the last six head-to-head encounters between the sides, recording three wins and three draws.
  4. Both sides maintain solid defensive numbers, with VPS conceding 1.0 goal per game and Lahti conceding 0.9 goals per game overall.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

VPS at homeLahti away
14
Played
12
7-3-4
W-D-L
4-2-6
1.4
Scored /game
0.8
0.9
Conceded /game
1
36%
Clean sheets
33%
29%
Failed to score
33%
0%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (VPS at home plus Lahti away).

Players

Key players this season

VPS

  • L. Smyth5G

Lahti

  • Martim Ferreira5G
  • Tòfol Montiel4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3HJK HelsinkiPlay-offs22+937
4GnistanPlay-offs22+736
5AC OuluPlay-offs22034
6VPSPlay-offs22+733
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
10SJKRelegation Play-offs22-819
History

Head-to-head

4
VPS
3
Draws
3
Lahti

VPS have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-31VPS0-1Lahti
  • 2026-05-18Lahti1-1VPS
  • 2024-08-25Lahti0-0VPS
  • 2024-05-03VPS3-0Lahti
  • 2023-08-18Lahti0-2VPS
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
VPS or Draw
74%
Confidence

VPS hold a dependable home record with only two losses in ten matches, alongside an unbeaten streak in their last six league meetings against Lahti. Lahti struggle for offensive output on the road, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per away fixture, making a home result with the draw covered a well-supported outcome.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.