Willem II vs Excelsior prediction

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Eredivisie

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 5, 07:00 PM

Round

Regular Season - 5

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Referee

Robin Hensgens, Netherlands

Recent form

Willem II

39Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -4 goal difference

Excelsior

80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +11 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Excelsior or Draw

Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Excelsior or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Willem II host Excelsior in round five of the Eredivisie season with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to their campaigns. Willem II sit 15th in the standings with just one point from three matches, having conceded ten goals across their opening fixtures, including four-goal concessions against both Go Ahead Eagles and NEC Nijmegen.

Excelsior enter this encounter in much stronger form, occupying ninth place with six points from their first three games. The Rotterdam side opened their away schedule with a commanding 4-0 victory over Cambuur and followed up with a 2-1 home triumph against Sparta Rotterdam, only slipping to a narrow 2-1 defeat against PSV Eindhoven.

Squad availability also favours the visitors. Willem II are dealing with an extensive list of absences, with five players sidelined through injury and two inactive, while Excelsior travel with a nearly full squad. Given Willem II's defensive vulnerabilities and Excelsior's clinical start in front of goal, the visitors hold a notable edge.

Key factors

Willem II have conceded ten goals in their opening three league games, an average of 3.3 per match.
Excelsior have won two of their three matches this season, scoring seven goals in total.
Willem II have several confirmed absences, including five injured players and two inactive squad members.
Excelsior won their sole away fixture of the campaign by a 4-0 scoreline against Cambuur.

Team news

Willem II

A. CulumFoot Injury
T. Didillon HodlHamstring Injury
A. LachkarGroin Injury
J. SchuurmanKnock
A. ZarroukSurgery

L. AbildgaardInactive
T. VilhenaInactive

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Excelsior

N. NaujoksInactive

Statistical comparison

Willem II at home vs Excelsior away

Played

0-1-1

W-D-L

2-0-0

—

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

80%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

100%

Key players this season

Excelsior

I. Yegoian3A
S. Janssen3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (League phase)	5	+11	15
2	PSV EindhovenPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)	5	+12	13
3	FeyenoordPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)	5	+6	11
4	ExcelsiorPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)	5	+7	10
5	Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)	5	+2	10
6	GO Ahead EaglesPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)	5	+2	8
7	AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)	4	+4	7
13	Telstar	4	-5	4
14	PEC Zwolle	5	-4	4
15	Utrecht	5	-9	2
16	Willem IIEredivisie (Relegation)	4	-9	1
17	ADO Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie	5	-8	1
18	CambuurRelegation - Eerste Divisie	5	-12	1

Head-to-head

Full record →

Willem II

Draws

Excelsior

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

2026-09-05Willem II 0-3 Excelsior
2022-12-30Willem II 3-1 Excelsior
2021-07-17Willem II 2-0 Excelsior
2019-04-21Excelsior 1-1 Willem II
2018-09-15Willem II 2-2 Excelsior

Our record in Eredivisie

92%24 won from 26 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Excelsior or Draw

Confidence74%

Excelsior have started the campaign in positive form with two victories from three matches, scoring seven goals and posting a goal difference of plus four. Their away form has been sharp, highlighted by a 4-0 victory over Cambuur. In contrast, Willem II have taken one point from three fixtures and have conceded ten goals, averaging over three goals allowed per game. With Willem II also missing several squad members including A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, and A. Lachkar, Excelsior have a strong probability of securing at least a point.

Willem II vs Excelsior prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Willem II

Excelsior

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Excelsior

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Eredivisie

1 published market

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