BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Referee
Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
Form

Recent form

Willem II
12Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Heerenveen
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Heerenveen or Draw

BetGenius backs Heerenveen or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Willem II host Heerenveen in Round 4 of the Eredivisie looking to recover from a difficult start to their league campaign. The home side currently sit in 16th place with zero points after suffering consecutive 4-1 defeats against Go Ahead Eagles and NEC Nijmegen, leaving them with eight goals conceded across their first two matches.

Heerenveen enter the contest in 9th position with four points from three matches (one win, one draw, one loss). Their early fixtures include a 1-0 home victory against Twente and a resilient 2-2 away draw against Ajax, though they fell 2-0 at home to PEC Zwolle in their most recent outing.

The visitors hold an advantage in the recent head-to-head record, winning five of the last nine encounters between the clubs, including a 3-1 win in their most recent league meeting in April 2025.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Willem II have lost both of their opening Eredivisie fixtures, conceding four goals in each game.
  2. Heerenveen have taken four points from their first three league matches, including an away point at Ajax (2-2).
  3. Heerenveen have won five of the last nine head-to-head meetings with Willem II across all competitions.
  4. Willem II enter the match with five players listed as unavailable due to injury (A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, A. Lachkar, J. Schuurman, and A. Zarrouk).
  5. Historic encounters between the teams average 3.67 goals per match, with 77.8% of the past nine games seeing over 2.5 goals.
Availability

Team news

Willem II

  • A. CulumFoot Injury
  • T. Didillon HodlHamstring Injury
  • J. HoogmaKnee Injury
  • A. LachkarGroin Injury
  • W. van der SteenInactive

Heerenveen

  • D. ProperHamstring Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Willem II at homeHeerenveen away
4
Played
4
0-1-3
W-D-L
1-2-1
0.8
Scored /game
2
2.5
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Willem II at home plus Heerenveen away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+717
6Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9-115
7GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+314
8Heerenveen9+412
9GO Ahead Eagles9-111
10Excelsior9-211
11Utrecht9-1011
15PEC Zwolle9-127
16TelstarEredivisie (Relegation)9-86
17ADO Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie9-96
18Willem IIRelegation - Eerste Divisie9-172
History

Head-to-head

2
Willem II
3
Draws
4
Heerenveen

Heerenveen have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Willem II2-2Heerenveen
  • 2025-04-04Heerenveen3-1Willem II
  • 2024-12-08Willem II1-2Heerenveen
  • 2022-03-05Willem II0-0Heerenveen
  • 2021-11-21Heerenveen2-1Willem II
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

73%59 won from 81 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Heerenveen or Draw
75%
Confidence

Willem II have struggled defensively in the early stages of the season, conceding four goals in each of their two league fixtures. In contrast, Heerenveen have already demonstrated competitive away form by securing a 2-2 draw at Ajax. In addition, Heerenveen have won five of the past nine head-to-head matches between the two sides. Backing Heerenveen on the Double Chance market provides solid coverage against a Willem II side dealing with multiple reported squad absences.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.