Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund or Draw — 78% confidence

Borussia Dortmund hold positive form coming into this fixture, having secured three straight wins against 1899 Hoffenheim, HEBC, and Hamburger SV. Villarreal, by contrast, are winless in four straight matches, conceding three goals at home to Deportivo La Coruna and drawing 2-2 with Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. Although Dortmund have several defensive players sidelined, including N. Schlotterbeck, R. Bensebaini, and E. Can, their home advantage and attacking rhythm provide a solid platform to take at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.

Borussia Dortmund hold positive form coming into this fixture, having secured three straight wins against 1899 Hoffenheim, HEBC, and Hamburger SV. Villarreal, by contrast, are winless in four straight matches, conceding three goals at home to Deportivo La Coruna and drawing 2-2 with Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. Although Dortmund have several defensive players sidelined, including N. Schlotterbeck, R. Bensebaini, and E. Can, their home advantage and attacking rhythm provide a solid platform to take at least a point.

Borussia Dortmund have claimed victory in seven of the last ten head-to-head fixtures against 1899 Hoffenheim, including four wins from their last five trips to Sinsheim. Dortmund opened their Bundesliga campaign with a clean sheet in a 2-0 win, whereas Hoffenheim conceded three goals in their opening match. Backing Dortmund to avoid defeat accounts for their positive form while respecting early-season defensive absences.

Over 2.5 Goals — 84% confidence

Dortmund have demonstrated high-level attacking output across their recent fixtures, scoring at least twice in four of their last five matches against teams like Hamburger SV, AS Roma, and Arsenal. HEBC have conceded three goals against Niendorfer TSV and two against ETSV Hamburg in recent games. Given the gulf in class between the sides in this cup fixture, match goals are likely to surpass the 2.5 line.

No — 78% confidence

HEBC have failed to score in each of their last three home matches, suffering shutouts against Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (0-1), HT16 (0-1), and Niendorfer TSV (0-3). Dortmund have recently recorded shutouts against Hamburger SV and FC Tokyo. Even with injuries to defenders N. Schlotterbeck and R. Bensebaini, Dortmund possess sufficient control to limit HEBC's chances and keep a clean sheet.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

HEBC have failed to score in each of their last three home matches, suffering shutouts against Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (0-1), HT16 (0-1), and Niendorfer TSV (0-3). Dortmund have recently recorded shutouts against Hamburger SV and FC Tokyo. Even with injuries to defenders N. Schlotterbeck and R. Bensebaini, Dortmund possess sufficient control to limit HEBC's chances and keep a clean sheet.

Dortmund have demonstrated high-level attacking output across their recent fixtures, scoring at least twice in four of their last five matches against teams like Hamburger SV, AS Roma, and Arsenal. HEBC have conceded three goals against Niendorfer TSV and two against ETSV Hamburg in recent games. Given the gulf in class between the sides in this cup fixture, match goals are likely to surpass the 2.5 line.

Double Chance (Borussia Dortmund or Draw) covers the most probable match outcomes. Dortmund have won four of the last five home meetings against Hamburger SV, including a 3-2 win in March 2026. While Hamburger SV come in with solid recent performances, Dortmund's historical home record in this fixture strongly supports their probability of avoiding defeat.