Ilves

Ilves hold a commanding psychological advantage in this fixture, having won all 10 of their previous 10 head-to-head encounters against Turku PS, including a 3-1 win at this ground in July 2026 and two 1-0 victories earlier in the year. Although Turku PS have been resilient at home with seven wins from 12 games, their recent scoring form has dropped significantly, failing to score in three of their last four matches. Backing Ilves to take at least a point covers both their fixture dominance and Turku PS's recent lack of cutting edge.

Ilves have performed consistently on home turf this season, winning seven of their 12 home league fixtures and conceding only 11 goals in the process. They remain unbeaten against Lahti across their last five home head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing two. While Lahti have won their last three matches overall, their away output remains modest at 0.8 goals scored per game. Backing Ilves to either win or draw aligns well with their defensive stability at home and historical superiority in Tampere.

No — 66% confidence

FF Jaro have struggled immensely in front of goal on their travels, failing to score in eight of their 11 away league games and averaging just 0.4 goals per away fixture. Ilves have maintained six clean sheets in 11 home matches and conceded only one goal per game at home, making a one-sided scoreline likely.

Ilves to win — 70% confidence

Ilves hold a clear statistical edge at home where they have won six of 11 matches and kept six clean sheets. In stark contrast, FF Jaro are winless on the road across 11 league fixtures, suffering nine defeats while conceding 28 goals. Furthermore, Ilves have won all five of their home head-to-head encounters against Jaro, including a 5-0 victory earlier in the campaign.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Ilves hold a clear statistical edge at home where they have won six of 11 matches and kept six clean sheets. In stark contrast, FF Jaro are winless on the road across 11 league fixtures, suffering nine defeats while conceding 28 goals. Furthermore, Ilves have won all five of their home head-to-head encounters against Jaro, including a 5-0 victory earlier in the campaign.

FF Jaro have struggled immensely in front of goal on their travels, failing to score in eight of their 11 away league games and averaging just 0.4 goals per away fixture. Ilves have maintained six clean sheets in 11 home matches and conceded only one goal per game at home, making a one-sided scoreline likely.

Both teams have demonstrated reliable scoring consistency across the season, with Ilves scoring 16 goals in 10 home matches (1.6 per game) and HJK scoring 16 goals in 10 away fixtures (1.6 per game). Furthermore, the head-to-head record between these two clubs shows both teams scoring in seven of the nine matches on record, supporting expectations that each side will find the net.