Ilves vs Lahti prediction

Checking status…

Veikkausliiga

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 04:00 PM

Round

Relegation Group - 24

Venue

Tammelan Stadion, Tampere

Recent form

Ilves

39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -1 goal difference

Lahti

73Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Ilves or Draw

Confidence72%

BetGenius backs Ilves or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Ilves host Lahti in the Veikkausliiga Relegation Group, with both teams looking to strengthen their positions in the lower tier of the table. Lahti arrive in seventh place with 32 points, while Ilves occupy ninth place on 25 points.

Ilves have built most of their campaign on home form, securing seven wins and keeping seven clean sheets across 12 league matches on their own ground. They also boast an unbeaten record in recent home meetings with Lahti, having registered three wins and two draws across their last five home head-to-head encounters, including a 1-0 victory in July 2026.

Lahti enter the contest on a positive run with three consecutive victories, but their away fixtures have tended to be tight and low-scoring affairs. In 11 away league games, Lahti have scored nine goals and conceded nine, averaging only 0.8 goals per match at both ends of the pitch. With Ilves conceding just 0.9 goals per home match, this encounter shapes up as a compact battle where home advantage provides Ilves a solid platform to secure points.

Key factors

Ilves have won seven of their 12 home league fixtures this season while keeping seven clean sheets.
Ilves are unbeaten in their last five home meetings against Lahti, recording three wins and two draws.
Lahti have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match across 11 away games.
Ilves allow only 0.9 goals per match at home across the 2026 campaign.
Lahti have kept four clean sheets in 11 away matches, pointing toward a low-scoring dynamic.

Statistical comparison

Ilves at home vs Lahti away

Played

7-1-4

W-D-L

4-2-5

1.6

Scored /game

0.8

0.9

Conceded /game

0.8

58%

Clean sheets

36%

Failed to score

36%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Ilves at home plus Lahti away).

Key players this season

Ilves

T. Hytönen5G
J. Kanga4G · 3A
J. Kilo5A

Lahti

Tòfol Montiel3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
4	GnistanPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)	22	+7	36
5	AC OuluPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)	22	0	34
6	VPSPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)	22	+7	33
7	LahtiVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)	22	+7	32
8	Turku PSVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)	22	+5	31
9	IlvesVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)	22	-3	25
10	SJKVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)	22	-8	19
11	FF JaroVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)	22	-26	15
12	MariehamnVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group)	22	-26	14

Head-to-head

Full record →

Ilves

Draws

Lahti

Ilves have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

2026-07-26Ilves 1-0 Lahti
2026-06-10Ilves 5-2 Lahti
2026-05-30Lahti 5-0 Ilves
2024-06-29Lahti 2-2 Ilves
2024-04-06Ilves 0-0 Lahti

Our record in Veikkausliiga

57%12 won from 21 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

1 published market

Featured

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Ilves or Draw

Confidence72%

Ilves have performed consistently on home turf this season, winning seven of their 12 home league fixtures and conceding only 11 goals in the process. They remain unbeaten against Lahti across their last five home head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing two. While Lahti have won their last three matches overall, their away output remains modest at 0.8 goals scored per game. Backing Ilves to either win or draw aligns well with their defensive stability at home and historical superiority in Tampere.

Ilves vs Lahti prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Ilves

Lahti

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Veikkausliiga

1 published market

More from BetGenius

Other Veikkausliiga predictions

Teams around them in the table