Ried

Sturm Graz have established strong home form in the league, collecting ten points from a possible twelve at home with an average of 2.5 goals scored per match. In addition, Sturm Graz have dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning seven of the past ten meetings and each of the last four. Ried have shown potent attacking form by scoring in every league fixture this term, but they have conceded 2.3 goals per game on their travels and managed only one win in four away matches. Backing Sturm Graz to win or draw covers the threat of a competitive stalemate while respecting the hosts' strong home record and historical superiority in this fixture.

Ried have demonstrated consistent scoring form this season, failing to score in zero of their eight league matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game at home. However, their defense has kept only one clean sheet in the league and has conceded in each of their last five matches across all competitions. Austria Vienna have shown similar defensive fragility, allowing fifteen goals in eight league games and conceding 2.3 goals per match on their travels. Furthermore, historical meetings between these two clubs have consistently produced high goal totals, with eighty percent of the last ten encounters exceeding 2.5 goals at an average of 3.5 goals per fixture.

WSG Wattens and Ried enter this fixture on identical records of two wins, two draws, and three defeats from seven matches. However, Ried have struggled on the road this term, failing to win any of their three away league fixtures and conceding an average of 2.7 goals per away game. Furthermore, Wattens hold an unbeaten home record against Ried across five head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing two. Backing the home side to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and the stalemate in what is projected to be a tight contest.

Ried have demonstrated solid resilience at home, taking a point from Red Bull Salzburg and claiming a clean sheet win against Grazer AK. Wolfsberger AC remain winless in away league fixtures, averaging just half a goal per game on the road. The historical encounters between these two sides also lean toward low-scoring, closely fought matches, with an average of 1.8 goals across their last ten meetings, making Ried to avoid defeat the most balanced probabilistic outcome.

Red Bull Salzburg enter this fixture with four wins and one draw from five league outings, boasting a goal difference of plus 11. In contrast, Ried have lost three of their five league matches and conceded ten goals. Salzburg have also dominated this specific matchup, winning eight of the last ten meetings without suffering a defeat. Given the vast disparity in scoring efficiency and defensive solidity, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.

Ried opened their Austrian Cup campaign with an emphatic 5-1 victory away from home and have managed to score in each of their last five matches across all competitions. Wallern / Marienkirchen conceded three goals in their last outing against Seekirchen and shipped two goals in their opening 3-2 cup win. The visitors possess the quality and offensive consistency to avoid defeat in normal time, while recent scorelines for both sides point toward a fixture featuring multiple goals.

Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Historical meetings between TSV Hartberg and Ried have consistently generated low goal totals, with 80% of the last 10 encounters staying below the 2.5-goal threshold and averaging just 1.9 goals per match. Hartberg's early-season offensive metrics also point towards a low-scoring game; they have scored only two goals across four matches and failed to score in three of them. While Ried have scored in each match, their overall offensive return remains modest at one goal per game.

TSV Hartberg or Draw — 68% confidence

TSV Hartberg hold a commanding head-to-head record against Ried, winning six of their last 10 meetings and remaining undefeated at home across four matches (three wins, one draw). Ried have yet to claim a victory on the road this league season, drawing 1-1 at Austria Lustenau and losing 4-1 to LASK Linz. Backing Hartberg to win or draw covers the most historically frequent outcomes while accounting for their recent return to form.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

TSV Hartberg hold a commanding head-to-head record against Ried, winning six of their last 10 meetings and remaining undefeated at home across four matches (three wins, one draw). Ried have yet to claim a victory on the road this league season, drawing 1-1 at Austria Lustenau and losing 4-1 to LASK Linz. Backing Hartberg to win or draw covers the most historically frequent outcomes while accounting for their recent return to form.

Historical meetings between TSV Hartberg and Ried have consistently generated low goal totals, with 80% of the last 10 encounters staying below the 2.5-goal threshold and averaging just 1.9 goals per match. Hartberg's early-season offensive metrics also point towards a low-scoring game; they have scored only two goals across four matches and failed to score in three of them. While Ried have scored in each match, their overall offensive return remains modest at one goal per game.