West Ham arrive in solid form having won three of their last four matches in all competitions, including a 3-0 victory against Derby and a 4-2 win over Wolves. They have scored in every fixture so far, averaging two goals per game in the Championship. In contrast, Bolton are on a three-game losing streak and conceded four goals at Millwall last time out. With key midfielder J. Sheehan suspended, the visitors have a strong probability of avoiding defeat.
Genius tips
32 picks in Genius tips, settled yesterday — our highest-scoring picks of the day, ranked by confidence. Each carries a confidence rating and the reasoning behind it.
Manchester City have demonstrated solid form with four wins in their last five fixtures, scoring multiple goals in three of those matches. FC Porto enter with five consecutive wins, but the step up in competition is significant, and the hosts are depleted by several absences including J. Bednarek, Samu, and Zaidu. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat provides strong coverage against a resilient Porto side.
Borussia Dortmund or Draw — 78% confidence
Borussia Dortmund hold positive form coming into this fixture, having secured three straight wins against 1899 Hoffenheim, HEBC, and Hamburger SV. Villarreal, by contrast, are winless in four straight matches, conceding three goals at home to Deportivo La Coruna and drawing 2-2 with Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. Although Dortmund have several defensive players sidelined, including N. Schlotterbeck, R. Bensebaini, and E. Can, their home advantage and attacking rhythm provide a solid platform to take at least a point.
Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence
Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.
Newcastle arrive in steady form having gone undefeated across their last five matches, including an away win at Tottenham and a high-scoring victory over West Brom. Millwall have shown volatility with heavy losses to Southampton and Wrexham alongside their wins, and a lengthy list of injuries to key personnel such as M. Luongo and R. Leonard further tilts the balance toward the visitors avoiding defeat in ninety minutes.
Cardiff or Draw — 72% confidence
Cardiff remain unbeaten on home soil in the league this season with two draws, while Stoke City have suffered defeat in both of their away league matches. Historically, Cardiff have avoided defeat in nine of the previous ten clashes against Stoke, with seven of those matches ending in draws. Given Stoke's defensive absentees and poor away record, Cardiff have a solid probability of picking up at least a point.
Yes — 76% confidence
Both sides enter this fixture with consistent scoring records and fragile defenses. Cardiff have scored in every league match this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game both overall and at home, yet they have kept zero clean sheets. Stoke City have also scored in all their league games, but their away defense has conceded seven goals in two trips, an average of 3.5 goals against per match. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have seen both teams find the net.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Watford are unbeaten in their two home Championship matches this season, recording a 2-1 win over Southampton and a 1-1 draw against West Ham. In contrast, Preston have lost both of their away league fixtures and have conceded ten goals across five matches overall. While five of the past ten head-to-head encounters ended level, covering both the home win and the draw aligns well with Preston's away struggles and Watford's resilience at Vicarage Road.
Crystal Palace showed sharp attacking qualities in their recent 3-2 win against Fulham and hold the home advantage in this cup tie, having won three of four historical home matches against Middlesbrough. Although Middlesbrough enter on a four-game unbeaten run and have scored in five consecutive matches, facing higher-tier opposition away from home remains a demanding task. Backing Crystal Palace to win or draw covers the likelihood of a tight knockout battle while accounting for recent team absences.
Bournemouth have found the back of the net in each of their last five matches, demonstrating steady offensive output even while facing demanding opposition like Manchester City and Newcastle. Lincoln have shown good away form in the competition with wins at Blackpool and Bolton, making them capable of keeping the tie competitive. Backing Bournemouth to win or draw accounts for their superior quality at home while respecting Lincoln's recent four-game unbeaten run in all competitions.
Leyton Orient have established a strong home record against Bradford, claiming four victories and one draw in their five previous meetings at this ground. Both sides have displayed solid defensive organisation in this cup run, keeping clean sheets in both of their respective fixtures. With the historical average between these teams sitting at 1.89 goals per game and under 2.5 goals landing in six of nine past encounters, Leyton Orient are well placed to avoid defeat in regular time.
Olympiakos hold a commanding head-to-head record against Volos, winning eight and drawing two of their last ten encounters with zero defeats. When playing at home, Olympiakos have won all five previous meetings against Volos without conceding a single goal, recording an aggregate scoreline of 17-0. With solid defensive numbers across recent matches, Olympiakos have a clear edge to secure victory in ninety minutes.
Al-Ittihad have averaged two goals per game at home this season, scoring three against Al-Hazm and two against Al-Nassr. In their four previous home matches against Al-Fayha, they have scored at least two goals on every occasion, recording 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, and 2-0 results. With G. Ilenikhena and S. Bergwijn sharing six goals between them, Al-Ittihad possess regular scoring threats against an Al-Fayha backline that has conceded nine goals in five matches.
Al-Ittihad hold an unbeaten league record through five matches, having collected 11 points and scored seven goals. Their historical record against Al-Fayha is commanding, winning all four previous home encounters and remaining undefeated across their past ten meetings overall. With Al-Fayha winless away from home in the league and allowing 1.8 goals per game overall, the home side holds a strong statistical edge across form, venue, and head-to-head metrics.
Head-to-head history heavily favours both teams finding the net, with 70 percent of their last ten meetings producing goals at both ends and an average of 3.4 goals per match. Al-Ahli boast an in-form striker in I. Toney, who has already scored six goals, while Al-Qadisiyah have scored ten goals in five games led by M. Retegui.
Stromsgodset Over 1.5 Goals — 76% confidence
Stromsgodset have demonstrated reliable potency in attack, scoring multiple goals in four of their previous five fixtures across all competitions. In their earlier cup round, they scored six times away from home, while Asker have conceded eight goals across their last three competitive fixtures.
Over 2.5 Goals — 82% confidence
Both clubs have shown exceptional offensive firepower in recent matches. Asker have produced high-scoring results throughout their last five games, scoring at least three goals in each and recording scorelines of 6-2, 7-0, 5-2, and 5-4. Stromsgodset have scored three or more goals in four of their last five matches, including a 6-0 cup victory at Modum FK and a 3-2 win against Sogndal.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Stromsgodset have demonstrated reliable potency in attack, scoring multiple goals in four of their previous five fixtures across all competitions. In their earlier cup round, they scored six times away from home, while Asker have conceded eight goals across their last three competitive fixtures.
AEK Athens FC or Draw — 76% confidence
AEK Athens have been formidable on home turf, winning their last three home fixtures by scorelines of 4-0, 4-0, and 5-0 without conceding a single goal. While Lask Linz have shown potent attacking ability in domestic and continental matches, their 3-0 away defeat against Celtic highlights a drop in resilience on the road. Backing AEK Athens to avoid defeat covers the competitive European setting while respecting the hosts powerful home momentum.
Over 2.5 Goals — 71% confidence
Both teams enter this encounter boasting prolific scoring records. AEK Athens have scored at least four goals in three of their last four matches across all venues, while Lask Linz have seen at least three total goals in each of their last five matches, including scorelines of 6-1, 5-1, and 3-1. The offensive firepower on display suggests a high probability of exceeding the 2.5 goal threshold.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
AEK Athens have been formidable on home turf, winning their last three home fixtures by scorelines of 4-0, 4-0, and 5-0 without conceding a single goal. While Lask Linz have shown potent attacking ability in domestic and continental matches, their 3-0 away defeat against Celtic highlights a drop in resilience on the road. Backing AEK Athens to avoid defeat covers the competitive European setting while respecting the hosts powerful home momentum.
Club Brugge KV or Draw — 72% confidence
Club Brugge have won four of their last five matches and kept four clean sheets in that span, demonstrating solid defensive organisation. Aston Villa have struggled for form, remaining winless in their last five fixtures with four defeats and a draw. Covering the home win and the draw offers a well-backed position reflecting the current form gap between the two sides.
Aston Villa Under 1.5 Goals — 70% confidence
Aston Villa have experienced sustained difficulties in attack, producing zero goals across their last three matches against Hull City, Arsenal, and Brighton. Facing a Club Brugge defence that has recorded four clean sheets in five outings, the visiting side are likely to be restricted to one goal or fewer.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Club Brugge have won four of their last five matches and kept four clean sheets in that span, demonstrating solid defensive organisation. Aston Villa have struggled for form, remaining winless in their last five fixtures with four defeats and a draw. Covering the home win and the draw offers a well-backed position reflecting the current form gap between the two sides.
Strommen enter the tie in sharp form with four straight victories, while Tromsdalen have lost their last two competitive matches. Strommen have also claimed victory in each of the past three head-to-head meetings between the two sides, making the away win or draw a solidly backed position for this cup tie.
Over 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence
Djerv have seen at least three total goals scored in all five of their most recent fixtures, racking up 15 goals during that sequence. Haugesund have also displayed potent finishing, scoring 13 goals across their last five matches, while their sole previous head-to-head meeting produced four goals in a 3-1 result.
Haugesund (draw no bet) — 70% confidence
Haugesund have won four of their last five matches in all competitions and prevailed 3-1 when these two sides met in the cup in May 2022. Backing Haugesund on the draw no bet market provides security by refunding the stake in the event of a level scoreline at full-time.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Haugesund have won four of their last five matches in all competitions and prevailed 3-1 when these two sides met in the cup in May 2022. Backing Haugesund on the draw no bet market provides security by refunding the stake in the event of a level scoreline at full-time.
Al-Ettifaq have taken nine points from five matches and enter this fixture off a victory over Abha. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC are yet to record a league win this season, losing three of their five games and dropping both away matches so far. Backing the hosts to either win or share the points covers the most probable outcomes based on current form.
Turku PS have built a dependable platform at home, winning seven of their eleven matches on familiar turf and conceding just nine goals. SJK have won only one of their eleven away league games and arrive having won once in their last six fixtures overall. Backing the hosts with the draw refund provides a solid foundation given Turku PS strong home returns and SJK travel struggles.
Ilves hold a clear statistical edge at home where they have won six of 11 matches and kept six clean sheets. In stark contrast, FF Jaro are winless on the road across 11 league fixtures, suffering nine defeats while conceding 28 goals. Furthermore, Ilves have won all five of their home head-to-head encounters against Jaro, including a 5-0 victory earlier in the campaign.
Kalju Nomme have never lost to Nõmme United in six head-to-head encounters, winning four and drawing two. Although Kalju have suffered recent defeats against top-table sides, Nõmme United have lost eight of their 13 away league matches and sit 19 points behind their hosts.
Over 2.5 Goals — 80% confidence
Hajduk Split have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches, netting 13 goals overall during that span. Vardarac's recent matches have also produced high scorelines, including a 3-1 victory against Liznjan and a 3-2 defeat to Radnički Dalj. Given the difference in attacking power, this cup encounter is highly likely to clear the 2.5 goal mark.
HNK Hajduk Split to win — 86% confidence
HNK Hajduk Split possess an overwhelming qualitative advantage in this cup tie. The visitors are unbeaten across their last five fixtures with four wins and a draw, regularly scoring against top-tier and European opposition. Lower-tier Vardarac secured a 3-1 win over Liznjan in the previous round, but the vast gulf in squad depth and competition level heavily favours an away victory.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
HNK Hajduk Split possess an overwhelming qualitative advantage in this cup tie. The visitors are unbeaten across their last five fixtures with four wins and a draw, regularly scoring against top-tier and European opposition. Lower-tier Vardarac secured a 3-1 win over Liznjan in the previous round, but the vast gulf in squad depth and competition level heavily favours an away victory.
Flora Tallinn possess a 31-point advantage over Trans Narva in the standings and have won eight of their 12 away league matches this season. Trans Narva have lost 19 of their 26 league fixtures and remain winless in their last 10 meetings against Flora, failing to score in the last four consecutive encounters between the two clubs.
Both teams have scored in 100 percent of their Eredivisie matches this season, with neither side managing a single clean sheet through four rounds. Utrecht have found the net in every game despite sitting in the relegation zone, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 3.8 goals conceded per match. GO Ahead Eagles have scored 11 goals across four fixtures while conceding nine, including an average of 3.5 goals conceded in their away games. Furthermore, eight of the previous ten head-to-head encounters between these two clubs have resulted in both teams finding the back of the net.
Kryvbas KR have demonstrated strong away form in recent outings, securing a 3-0 away win against Rokyta in this competition and a 3-1 away victory against Zorya Luhansk. Their superior attacking output and top-tier experience provide a substantial advantage over Olimpiya Savyntsi over ninety minutes.