Segunda División (Spain)

Sabadell have been one of the most resilient sides in the division through the opening nine matches, losing just once all season (four wins and four draws). Away from home, they have avoided defeat in four of their five fixtures, recording one win, three draws, and one loss while conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per match. Meanwhile, Burgos enter this fixture on the back of consecutive league defeats against Almeria and Granada CF. Sabadell's defensive solidity makes backing them to avoid defeat a well-grounded assessment.

Leganes enjoy a better home record than Cordoba have away, and the points gap, though narrow, favours the hosts. Both sides have low scoring averages and have struggled to find the net recently, making a draw or a narrow home win the most probable outcome. The head‑to‑head record is marginally in Cordoba’s favour but does not outweigh Leganes’ home advantage.

Girona’s stronger home form (2‑2‑1) and better defensive record (1.0 goals conceded per away game) give them a clear advantage over Tenerife, who have conceded 2.5 goals away and lost their last two away matches. The recent head‑to‑head result (3‑1 win for Girona) reinforces this edge. While Tenerife have a decent home record, their overall inconsistency and lower goal difference make a Girona loss unlikely. The low scoring pattern in recent meetings supports an under 2.5 goals outcome, further favouring a safe double‑chance on Girona.

Burgos have been dependable on home turf, remaining undefeated across four home league matches with three victories and a draw while scoring in every single home game. Granada have conceded nine goals in five away trips and have suffered three defeats in their last five league fixtures. In addition, the head-to-head history has seen Burgos avoid defeat in each of the last three encounters with Granada, including two draws and a 1-0 away win. Backing Burgos to either win or draw covers the most probable match states while acknowledging Granada's capability to take points on their travels.

Valladolid’s home form and superior league position give them a solid chance to avoid defeat, while Albacete’s away record and lack of points make a loss plausible. The low scoring trends for both sides support an under‑2.5 goal total.

Cadiz have proven resilient in this particular head-to-head matchup, remaining unbeaten in all five previous home encounters against Sporting Gijon with three wins and two draws. Additionally, Cadiz have maintained a disciplined defensive setup on home turf this campaign, conceding only four goals in five matches for an average of 0.8 per game. Following their 4-0 win against Leganes and a 1-1 draw at Tenerife, the hosts carry positive momentum into this fixture. Sporting Gijon have shown vulnerability on the road, including a 2-0 defeat at Oviedo, which makes backing Cadiz to avoid defeat the most well-supported approach.

Girona have been consistent in front of goal, scoring in each of their seven league games and winning four of their last five matches. At home, they have accumulated seven points from four matches with nine goals scored. Mallorca present a sturdy defensive challenge having conceded just three goals all season with five clean sheets, but their attack has managed only one goal in three away fixtures. With Mallorca failing to score in two of their three away trips and Girona having won three of the last four head-to-head clashes at home, Girona are well positioned to avoid defeat in a competitive fixture.

Las Palmas hold a dominant recent record in this fixture, having won four and drawn one of the past five league meetings between the clubs. Valladolid have struggled on their travels throughout the current campaign, remaining winless across four away matches with just two goals scored. While Las Palmas have experienced recent defensive slips, their solid home record against Valladolid gives them a strong probability of securing at least a point in front of their home supporters.

Castellón enter this match with a substantial multi-signal advantage across league position, recent form, and home performance. Ranking second with 19 points, the hosts have won six of seven matches, including five consecutive victories in league action. At home, they have scored seven goals and conceded none across three fixtures. AD Ceuta FC sit 21st with four points and have lost all three of their away fixtures, conceding an average of 3.7 goals per road game. This distinct performance gap strongly supports a home victory.

Castellón or Draw — 76% confidence

Castellon sit atop the division with five wins and one draw through six rounds, including three victories in three away matches. They have never lost to Leganes in four head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing one without conceding a single goal. While Leganes have won both of their home games to date, Castellon's robust defense, which has conceded only two goals all season, gives them a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Both defenses have been remarkably disciplined this season. Castellon have conceded an average of just 0.33 goals per game with four clean sheets in six matches, while Leganes allow 0.83 goals per game and have logged three clean sheets. Additionally, all four historic head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have finished under 2.5 goals, averaging only 1.25 goals per match.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Castellon sit atop the division with five wins and one draw through six rounds, including three victories in three away matches. They have never lost to Leganes in four head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing one without conceding a single goal. While Leganes have won both of their home games to date, Castellon's robust defense, which has conceded only two goals all season, gives them a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

Both defenses have been remarkably disciplined this season. Castellon have conceded an average of just 0.33 goals per game with four clean sheets in six matches, while Leganes allow 0.83 goals per game and have logged three clean sheets. Additionally, all four historic head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have finished under 2.5 goals, averaging only 1.25 goals per match.

Both teams feature stout defensive records through six matches, each conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game. Oviedo have not scored in three home games this season while conceding only a single goal. Across the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides, under 2.5 goals has landed 90% of the time, with an average of just 1.5 goals per match.

Burgos remain undefeated in their three home league fixtures this season, collecting seven points from a possible nine with eight goals scored. Eldense have lost two of their three away trips and have scored only one goal on the road. Head-to-head history also points to tight margins, with four of the last five meetings staying under 2.5 goals, making home double chance a well-supported selection.

Eibar have taken fifteen points from a possible eighteen, showing strong scoring consistency by finding the net in all six league matches this season. They have conceded only four goals overall, giving them an average of just 0.7 goals conceded per game. Las Palmas have been competitive on their travels with two wins from three, but their defensive lapses in away games and recent defeat to Burgos suggest Eibar have the edge to take at least a point on home soil.