Castellón

Castellón enter this match with a substantial multi-signal advantage across league position, recent form, and home performance. Ranking second with 19 points, the hosts have won six of seven matches, including five consecutive victories in league action. At home, they have scored seven goals and conceded none across three fixtures. AD Ceuta FC sit 21st with four points and have lost all three of their away fixtures, conceding an average of 3.7 goals per road game. This distinct performance gap strongly supports a home victory.

Castellón or Draw — 76% confidence

Castellon sit atop the division with five wins and one draw through six rounds, including three victories in three away matches. They have never lost to Leganes in four head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing one without conceding a single goal. While Leganes have won both of their home games to date, Castellon's robust defense, which has conceded only two goals all season, gives them a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Both defenses have been remarkably disciplined this season. Castellon have conceded an average of just 0.33 goals per game with four clean sheets in six matches, while Leganes allow 0.83 goals per game and have logged three clean sheets. Additionally, all four historic head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have finished under 2.5 goals, averaging only 1.25 goals per match.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Castellon sit atop the division with five wins and one draw through six rounds, including three victories in three away matches. They have never lost to Leganes in four head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing one without conceding a single goal. While Leganes have won both of their home games to date, Castellon's robust defense, which has conceded only two goals all season, gives them a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

Both defenses have been remarkably disciplined this season. Castellon have conceded an average of just 0.33 goals per game with four clean sheets in six matches, while Leganes allow 0.83 goals per game and have logged three clean sheets. Additionally, all four historic head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have finished under 2.5 goals, averaging only 1.25 goals per match.