BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellon
Referee
M. H. De Aza
Form

Recent form

Castellón
95Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +11 goal difference

AD Ceuta FC
46Average

Last 4 matches · 1W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Castellón to win

BetGenius backs Castellón to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Castellón welcome AD Ceuta FC to the Nou Estadi Castalia in round eight of the Segunda División, with the two sides experiencing vastly contrasting starts to the campaign. The hosts sit second in the standings with 19 points from seven fixtures, remaining unbeaten with six wins and a draw. Their defensive resilience has been a standout feature, having conceded only two goals all season while maintaining a flawless defensive record at home with three clean sheets and zero goals conceded in front of their own supporters.

In contrast, AD Ceuta FC enter this fixture occupying 21st position in the relegation zone, having gathered just four points from seven matches. Their away record has been particularly challenging, suffering three defeats in three road matches with a heavy goal difference of two scored and 11 conceded. While they managed a recent 3-1 home victory over Real Sociedad II, their overall form of five defeats in seven league outings leaves them facing a difficult task.

Historically, this fixture has seen high-scoring encounters, with both teams finding the net in all four previous meetings, including three draws and one Castellón victory. However, Castellón's current five-game winning streak and defensive solidity provide them with considerable momentum heading into this clash.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Castellón are undefeated in second place with six wins and one draw from seven league matches.
  2. Castellón have not conceded a single goal at home this season, posting three clean sheets and scoring seven goals.
  3. AD Ceuta FC have lost all three away league games, conceding 11 goals in the process.
  4. Ousmane Camara leads the hosts' attack with four league goals to his name.
  5. Castellón enter on a five-match winning run in league play, outscoring opponents 13-2 across that stretch.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Castellón at homeAD Ceuta FC away
3
Played
3
2-1-0
W-D-L
0-0-3
2.3
Scored /game
0.7
0
Conceded /game
3.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
—
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Castellón at home plus AD Ceuta FC away).

Players

Key players this season

Castellón

  • Israel Suero4G
  • Ousmane Camara4G

AD Ceuta FC

  • Jordi Escobar4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1AlmeriaPromotion - LaLiga10+1324
2CastellónPromotion - LaLiga10+1423
3EibarPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+922
4Granada CFPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+420
5Sporting GijonPromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)10+219
18FC Andorra10-410
19Real Sociedad IIRelegation10-78
20CadizRelegation10-27
21AD Ceuta FCRelegation10-135
22AlbaceteRelegation10-161
History

Head-to-head

1
Castellón
3
Draws
0
AD Ceuta FC

Castellón have won 1 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 4.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 100% of them.

  • 2026-05-09AD Ceuta FC1-1Castellón
  • 2025-09-14Castellón3-3AD Ceuta FC
  • 2024-02-11Castellón2-2AD Ceuta FC
  • 2023-10-15AD Ceuta FC1-3Castellón
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
Castellón to win
76%
Confidence

Castellón enter this match with a substantial multi-signal advantage across league position, recent form, and home performance. Ranking second with 19 points, the hosts have won six of seven matches, including five consecutive victories in league action. At home, they have scored seven goals and conceded none across three fixtures. AD Ceuta FC sit 21st with four points and have lost all three of their away fixtures, conceding an average of 3.7 goals per road game. This distinct performance gap strongly supports a home victory.

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Published October 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.