BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 4
Venue
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Referee
Urs Schnyder
Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 60% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

60%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Ferencvarosi TC are the stronger side on the evidence here. They sit fourth of 36 in the League Stage table on 9 points with a goal difference of +6, while AC Milan are 24th on 3 points with a goal difference of -1. Ferencvarosi are second of 12 in NB I on 68 points, and across the season figures given they average 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Four of their last five results are wins, with the other a 1-1 draw away at Kisvarda.

Milan have home strength to draw on. They are fifth of 20 in Serie A on 21 points from ten games, and they beat Inter 3-1 in their most recent league match. Their UEL form is weaker: one win in three, with a 3-0 defeat away at Bournemouth and a 0-2 home defeat. Their availability picture is also poor. Maignan is suspended after a red card, and Chukwueze, Gabbia, Loftus-Cheek, Saelemaekers, Tomori and Bondo are all listed as unavailable as of 5 November.

On goals, the two sides point towards an open game. Milan have scored in four of their last five matches, and seven of the ten most recent results across both teams have totalled over 2.5 goals. Ferencvarosi's defensive record is the main restraint: they have kept four clean sheets in the season figures given and have conceded in only three of their last five. Head-to-head data is not available in this digest, so the assessment rests on form, table position and availability.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ferencvarosi sit fourth on 9 points with a goal difference of +6, while AC Milan are 24th on 3 points with a goal difference of -1 in the League Stage table.
  2. Ferencvarosi are second of 12 in NB I on 68 points; Milan are fifth of 20 in Serie A on 21 points, so both sides have domestic credentials.
  3. Milan are missing Maignan through suspension, and Chukwueze, Gabbia, Loftus-Cheek, Saelemaekers, Tomori and Bondo are listed as unavailable as of 5 November.
  4. Ferencvarosi have kept four clean sheets and conceded 0.7 goals per game in the season figures, while Milan have conceded 1.7 per game.
  5. Seven of the last ten results across both teams have finished over 2.5 goals, and Milan have scored in four of their last five matches.
  6. No head-to-head data is available in this digest, so the assessment relies on form, table position, goal records and availability.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

AC Milan

3W 0D 2L · Goals 10–10

5 matches, 18 Oct to 31 Oct

58
Average
WLWLWLatest →
  • vsInter
    Serie A
    W3–1
  • vsBologna
    Serie A
    L2–4
  • atUdinese
    Serie A
    W2–0
  • atBournemouth
    UEFA Europa League
    L0–3
  • vsAtalanta
    Serie A
    W3–2
Away

Ferencvarosi TC

4W 1D 0L · Goals 16–3

5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov

92
Excellent
DWWWWLatest →
  • vsPaks
    NB I
    W2–0
  • atBicskei
    Magyar Kupa
    W4–1
  • vsMTK Budapest
    NB I
    W5–0
  • vsTorreense
    UEFA Europa League
    W4–1
  • atKisvarda FC
    NB I
    D1–1

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: AC Milan: UEFA Europa League (2026); Ferencvarosi TC: UEFA Europa League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

AC Milan at homeFerencvarosi TC away
1
Played
5
0-0-1
W-D-L
4-1-0
—
Scored /game
1.8
—
Conceded /game
0.8
—
Clean sheets
20%
—
Failed to score
0%
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Players

Key players this season

AC Milan

  • A. Cissè3G

Ferencvarosi TC

  • K. Zachariassen3G · 2A
  • B. Yusuf2G · 2A
  • L. Joseph2G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1BenficaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+89
2Bayer LeverkusenPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+89
3BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+79
4Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+69
5Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+39
6Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+77
7JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+67
21Red Bull SalzburgPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3-34
22AnderlechtPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+13
231899 HoffenheimPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)303
24AC MilanPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa League

61%62 won from 102 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

1 locked — upgrade to unlock
Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Confidence

Seven of the last ten results across both sides have finished with over 2.5 goals: four of Milan's last five and three of Ferencvarosi's last five. Milan have scored in four of their last five matches and have conceded 1.7 goals per game in the season figures, which gives Ferencvarosi scoring chances. The league average in this standings digest is 3.07 goals per game. Ferencvarosi's defence is the main counterweight, with only 0.7 conceded per game and four clean sheets, so a low-scoring game remains plausible if Milan are unable to create much.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 3 Nov 2026, 21:40 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: AC Milan: 4 Nov 2026, 21:05 WAT; Ferencvarosi TC: 4 Nov 2026, 21:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 12:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 3, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.