BetGenius

Alaves vs Villarreal prediction

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Kickoff
Fri, Aug 28, 07:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain

Recent form

Alaves
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +7 goal difference

Villarreal
34Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Alaves or Draw
Confidence75%

BetGenius backs Alaves or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Alaves welcome Villarreal to the Mendizorrotza for matchday three of the La Liga campaign, with both sides looking to preserve their unbeaten starts to the season. The hosts sit fourth in the standings with four points from two matches, having followed up an emphatic 3-0 home victory over Getafe with a 1-1 draw on the road against Rayo Vallecano. M. Díaz has been central to Alaves' early attacking output, already tallying two goals and two assists.

Villarreal enter this fixture in ninth place following consecutive high-scoring 2-2 draws away from home against Racing Santander and Atletico Madrid. While their attack has produced four goals across two away fixtures, their defensive unit has conceded at an average rate of 2.0 goals per game. The Yellow Submarine will also be without the suspended A. Diatta and W. Kambwala.

Historical trends at this venue strongly favor the hosts, with Alaves boasting an unbeaten home head-to-head record in their last five meetings against Villarreal (three wins, two draws). Given Villarreal's open style of play and Alaves' solid home form, this matchup shapes up as a competitive, goal-friendly encounter.

Key factors

  • Alaves are unbeaten across their first two league fixtures (1W, 1D) and won their sole home game 3-0 against Getafe.
  • Villarreal have recorded consecutive 2-2 away draws in La Liga, scoring and conceding four goals across those two games.
  • Alaves hold an unbeaten record in their last five home head-to-head meetings with Villarreal (3 wins, 2 draws).
  • Both teams have scored in 80% of the last 10 head-to-head encounters between the two clubs.
  • Villarreal are missing A. Diatta through suspension and W. Kambwala due to transfer negotiations.

Team news

Alaves

  • T. MartinezFoot Injury
  • M. RodriguezAnkle Injury
  • F. GarcesSuspended

Villarreal

  • J. FoythInjury

Statistical comparison

Alaves at home vs Villarreal away
2
Played
2-0-0
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Key players this season

Alaves

  • L. Boyé4G
  • M. Díaz3G · 3A
  • Angel Pérez3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1BarcelonaChampions League league stage4+1512
2AlavesChampions League league stage4+710
3Real MadridChampions League league stage4+79
4Real BetisChampions League league stage409
5Deportivo La CorunaEuropa League league stage4+38
14Rayo Vallecano4-34
15Getafe4-34
16Celta Vigo5-33
17Villarreal4-22
18MalagaRelegation4-62
19ElcheRelegation4-71
20ValenciaRelegation4-81

Head-to-head

Full record →
Alaves
3
Draws
3
Villarreal
4

Villarreal have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-03-13Alaves 1-1 Villarreal
  • 2026-01-10Villarreal 3-1 Alaves
  • 2025-03-08Alaves 1-0 Villarreal
  • 2024-11-09Villarreal 3-0 Alaves
  • 2024-02-10Alaves 1-1 Villarreal

Our record in La Liga

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Alaves or Draw
Confidence75%

Alaves have started the season strongly with four points from two matches (1W, 1D) and won their only home game 3-0. Furthermore, in the last five head-to-head encounters hosted by Alaves, the home side has remained undefeated against Villarreal with three wins and two draws. With Villarreal drawing both of their opening league fixtures, backing Alaves to win or draw is well-supported.

FeaturedLOST
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Yes + Alaves or Draw
Confidence72%

Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, with Villarreal participating in back-to-back 2-2 draws and Alaves scoring four goals across two matches. Historically, both teams have found the net in 80% (8 of 10) of their previous head-to-head meetings, which average 3.1 goals per match.

Alaves or Draw — 75% confidence

Alaves have started the season strongly with four points from two matches (1W, 1D) and won their only home game 3-0. Furthermore, in the last five head-to-head encounters hosted by Alaves, the home side has remained undefeated against Villarreal with three wins and two draws. With Villarreal drawing both of their opening league fixtures, backing Alaves to win or draw is well-supported.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence72%

Both teams have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, with Villarreal participating in back-to-back 2-2 draws and Alaves scoring four goals across two matches. Historically, both teams have found the net in 80% (8 of 10) of their previous head-to-head meetings, which average 3.1 goals per match.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.