Alaves have started the season strongly with four points from two matches (1W, 1D) and won their only home game 3-0. Furthermore, in the last five head-to-head encounters hosted by Alaves, the home side has remained undefeated against Villarreal with three wins and two draws. With Villarreal drawing both of their opening league fixtures, backing Alaves to win or draw is well-supported.
Alaves vs Villarreal prediction
Checking status…Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +7 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Alaves or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Alaves welcome Villarreal to the Mendizorrotza for matchday three of the La Liga campaign, with both sides looking to preserve their unbeaten starts to the season. The hosts sit fourth in the standings with four points from two matches, having followed up an emphatic 3-0 home victory over Getafe with a 1-1 draw on the road against Rayo Vallecano. M. Díaz has been central to Alaves' early attacking output, already tallying two goals and two assists.
Villarreal enter this fixture in ninth place following consecutive high-scoring 2-2 draws away from home against Racing Santander and Atletico Madrid. While their attack has produced four goals across two away fixtures, their defensive unit has conceded at an average rate of 2.0 goals per game. The Yellow Submarine will also be without the suspended A. Diatta and W. Kambwala.
Historical trends at this venue strongly favor the hosts, with Alaves boasting an unbeaten home head-to-head record in their last five meetings against Villarreal (three wins, two draws). Given Villarreal's open style of play and Alaves' solid home form, this matchup shapes up as a competitive, goal-friendly encounter.
Key factors
- Alaves are unbeaten across their first two league fixtures (1W, 1D) and won their sole home game 3-0 against Getafe.
- Villarreal have recorded consecutive 2-2 away draws in La Liga, scoring and conceding four goals across those two games.
- Alaves hold an unbeaten record in their last five home head-to-head meetings with Villarreal (3 wins, 2 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 80% of the last 10 head-to-head encounters between the two clubs.
- Villarreal are missing A. Diatta through suspension and W. Kambwala due to transfer negotiations.
Team news
Alaves
- T. MartinezFoot Injury
- M. RodriguezAnkle Injury
- F. GarcesSuspended
Villarreal
- J. FoythInjury
Statistical comparison
Alaves at home vs Villarreal awayKey players this season
Alaves
- L. Boyé4G
- M. Díaz3G · 3A
- Angel Pérez3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BarcelonaChampions League league stage | 4 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 | AlavesChampions League league stage | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Real MadridChampions League league stage | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real BetisChampions League league stage | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Deportivo La CorunaEuropa League league stage | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Getafe | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | MalagaRelegation | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | ElcheRelegation | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | ValenciaRelegation | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Villarreal have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.
- 2026-03-13Alaves 1-1 Villarreal
- 2026-01-10Villarreal 3-1 Alaves
- 2025-03-08Alaves 1-0 Villarreal
- 2024-11-09Villarreal 3-0 Alaves
- 2024-02-10Alaves 1-1 Villarreal
Our record in La Liga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Yes — 72% confidence
Both teams have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, with Villarreal participating in back-to-back 2-2 draws and Alaves scoring four goals across two matches. Historically, both teams have found the net in 80% (8 of 10) of their previous head-to-head meetings, which average 3.1 goals per match.
Alaves or Draw — 75% confidence
Alaves have started the season strongly with four points from two matches (1W, 1D) and won their only home game 3-0. Furthermore, in the last five head-to-head encounters hosted by Alaves, the home side has remained undefeated against Villarreal with three wins and two draws. With Villarreal drawing both of their opening league fixtures, backing Alaves to win or draw is well-supported.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Both teams have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, with Villarreal participating in back-to-back 2-2 draws and Alaves scoring four goals across two matches. Historically, both teams have found the net in 80% (8 of 10) of their previous head-to-head meetings, which average 3.1 goals per match.
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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.