Villarreal

Borussia Dortmund or Draw — 78% confidence

Borussia Dortmund hold positive form coming into this fixture, having secured three straight wins against 1899 Hoffenheim, HEBC, and Hamburger SV. Villarreal, by contrast, are winless in four straight matches, conceding three goals at home to Deportivo La Coruna and drawing 2-2 with Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. Although Dortmund have several defensive players sidelined, including N. Schlotterbeck, R. Bensebaini, and E. Can, their home advantage and attacking rhythm provide a solid platform to take at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.

Borussia Dortmund hold positive form coming into this fixture, having secured three straight wins against 1899 Hoffenheim, HEBC, and Hamburger SV. Villarreal, by contrast, are winless in four straight matches, conceding three goals at home to Deportivo La Coruna and drawing 2-2 with Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. Although Dortmund have several defensive players sidelined, including N. Schlotterbeck, R. Bensebaini, and E. Can, their home advantage and attacking rhythm provide a solid platform to take at least a point.

Both teams enter this fixture with a zero percent clean sheet record across their first three matches of the season. Deportivo La Coruna have scored in every fixture so far, tallying five goals in three games with forward Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang in strong form with three goals. Villarreal have also shown offensive potency, scoring four goals across two difficult away matches before being shut out at Alaves, while conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game. Given the defensive concessions on both sides and Deportivo's consistent scoring run, both teams finding the net represents a highly probable outcome.

Alaves have started the season strongly with four points from two matches (1W, 1D) and won their only home game 3-0. Furthermore, in the last five head-to-head encounters hosted by Alaves, the home side has remained undefeated against Villarreal with three wins and two draws. With Villarreal drawing both of their opening league fixtures, backing Alaves to win or draw is well-supported.

Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, with Villarreal participating in back-to-back 2-2 draws and Alaves scoring four goals across two matches. Historically, both teams have found the net in 80% (8 of 10) of their previous head-to-head meetings, which average 3.1 goals per match.

Alaves or Draw — 75% confidence

Alaves have started the season strongly with four points from two matches (1W, 1D) and won their only home game 3-0. Furthermore, in the last five head-to-head encounters hosted by Alaves, the home side has remained undefeated against Villarreal with three wins and two draws. With Villarreal drawing both of their opening league fixtures, backing Alaves to win or draw is well-supported.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both teams have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, with Villarreal participating in back-to-back 2-2 draws and Alaves scoring four goals across two matches. Historically, both teams have found the net in 80% (8 of 10) of their previous head-to-head meetings, which average 3.1 goals per match.

Atletico Madrid began their season with a solid 2-0 home victory and have lost only once in their last five home meetings against Villarreal. With Villarreal coming off a 2-2 away draw and five of the last ten head-to-heads ending in stalemates, Atletico holding at least a point remains the most probable outcome.