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Villarreal
2W 1D 2L · Goals 10–6
5 matches, 17 Oct to 30 Oct
52
Average
DLWWLLatest →
vsEspanyol
La LigaL0–1
atManacor
Copa del ReyW5–0
atValenciaLa LigaW2–1
atLiverpool
UEFA Champions LeagueL3–4
vsElcheLa LigaD0–0
Full time
0-6
Tue 3 Nov21:00 WAT
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 4
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
- Referee
- Felix Zwayer
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain or Draw
BetGenius backs Paris Saint Germain or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Paris Saint Germain are the stronger side on the evidence. They top the league phase table on 9 points from three games with a goal difference of +9, have won all three of their matches in this competition, and have scored 14 goals while conceding 5. They are also 1st of 18 in Ligue 1 and on a five-match winning run there. Villarreal sit 19th on 3 points, have lost both of their away matches in this competition with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, and are 8th of 20 in La Liga on a LWDLW run.
Villarreal's best chance is at home. Their one home win this season was 3-1, and their home goals conceded average is 1.0. Their away record, with an average of 3.5 goals conceded, is where PSG's attack is most likely to test them. No head-to-head data is available for this pairing, so this assessment rests on form, venue, table position and availability.
Availability is a concern for both sides. Villarreal are without I. Akhomach (muscle injury), N. Saliba and G. Moreno. PSG's list is longer, flagging O. Dembele (thigh), K. Kvaratskhelia (knee), A. Longoni, Marquinhos (thigh) and N. Mendes (muscle). The same digest lists O. Dembélé as a key player with 3 goals and 3 assists, so his status should be confirmed before kickoff. The most likely outcome is a PSG away win, but a home draw or narrow home win remains plausible.
Analysis
Key factors
- PSG are top of the league phase table on 9 points with a +9 goal difference, and have won all three matches.
- PSG average 4.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded, while Villarreal average 2.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
- Villarreal sit 19th on 3 points and have lost both of their away matches in this competition.
- Villarreal's home form is the main reason a draw or home win stays in play: a 3-1 home win and 1.0 average of goals conceded at home.
- Villarreal are without I. Akhomach, N. Saliba and G. Moreno; PSG's list includes O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos and N. Mendes, with O. Dembélé's status to be confirmed.
- No head-to-head data is available for this fixture, so the assessment does not rely on previous meetings.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Paris Saint Germain
5W 0D 0L · Goals 18–6
5 matches, 14 Oct to 30 Oct
96
Excellent
WWWWWLatest →
atLe Havre
Ligue 1W5–1
vsLyonLigue 1W2–0
vsBarcelonaUEFA Champions LeagueW4–2
atStrasbourgLigue 1W3–1
atManchester CityUEFA Champions LeagueW4–2
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
Villarreal · 4-4-2
- 25 P. Gulácsi (G)
- 3 A. Freeman (D)
- 15 S. Mouriño (D)
- 12 Renato Veiga (D)
- 20 Carlos Romero (D)
- 14 Santi Comesaña (M)
- 16 C. Macia (M)
- 18 P. Gueye (M)
- 17 T. Buchanan (M)
- 19 N. Pépé (F)
- 22 Ayoze Pérez (F)
Paris Saint Germain · 4-3-3
- 39 M. Safonov (G)
- 2 A. Hakimi (D)
- 6 I. Zabarnyi (D)
- 51 W. Pacho (D)
- 21 L. Hernández (D)
- 87 João Neves (M)
- 17 Vitinha (M)
- 8 Fabián Ruiz (M)
- 11 M. Akliouche (F)
- 24 Senny Mayulu (F)
- 14 D. Doué (F)
VillarrealSubstitutes (9)
- 27N. El JmiliF
- 2Logan CostaD
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 13Rubén GómezG
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 10Alberto MoleiroM
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 1Luíz JúniorG
Paris Saint GermainSubstitutes (9)
- 42D. BolyD
- 30L. ChevalierG
- 12L. DigneD
- 27Pedro FernándezM
- 22M. GodtsF
- 47Quentin Ndjantou MbitchaF
- 9Ferran TorresF
- 33W. Zaïre-EmeryM
- 4BeraldoD
Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 21:12 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.
Villarreal
- I. AkhomachMuscle Injury
- J. FoythMuscle Injury
- G. MorenoMuscle Injury
Paris Saint Germain
- O. DembeleThigh Injury
- K. KvaratskheliaKnee Injury
- MarquinhosThigh Injury
- N. MendesMuscle Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Villarreal: UEFA Champions League (2026); Paris Saint Germain: UEFA Champions League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Villarreal at homeParis Saint Germain away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
80% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
80% (5 games)
Players
Key players this season
Paris Saint Germain
- O. Dembélé3G · 3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint GermainPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 4 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 | BarcelonaPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | Aston VillaPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 | LiverpoolPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 26 | Lens | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 | RB Leipzig | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 | Villarreal | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 | Feyenoord | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Prices
Archived pre-match odds
Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 19:00 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.
Match Winner
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Away | 1.75 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.69 / 10 |
| Draw | 4.50 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 4.40 / 10 |
| Home | 4.68 · 1xBetNamed quotes (5)
| 4.39 / 10 |
Double Chance
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away | 1.25 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.22 / 8 |
| Home/Away | 1.25 · 1xBetNamed quotes (5)
| 1.21 / 8 |
| Home/Draw | 2.29 · SBONamed quotes (5)
| 2.17 / 8 |
Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.02 · BetanoNamed quotes (1)
| 1.02 / 1 |
| Over 1.0 | 1.02 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 1.02 / 1 |
| Under 7.5 | 1.03 · BetanoNamed quotes (3)
| 1.02 / 3 |
| Under 6.0 | 1.04 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 1.04 / 1 |
| Under 6.5 | 1.07 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.06 / 5 |
| Over 1.75 | 1.08 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.08 / 2 |
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.09 / 6 |
| Over 2.0 | 1.12 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.10 / 2 |
| Under 5.25 | 1.15 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.15 / 2 |
| Under 5.5 | 1.17 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 1.16 / 6 |
| Under 5.0 | 1.20 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.19 / 2 |
| Over 2.25 | 1.22 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.21 / 2 |
| Under 4.75 | 1.28 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.27 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.39 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.36 / 7 |
| Under 4.5 | 1.41 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.38 / 7 |
| Over 2.75 | 1.43 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.40 / 4 |
| Under 4.25 | 1.48 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.46 / 4 |
| Over 3.0 | 1.57 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.52 / 6 |
| Under 4.0 | 1.59 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.57 / 6 |
| Over 3.25 | 1.72 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.71 / 5 |
| Under 3.75 | 1.80 · 1xBetNamed quotes (5)
| 1.77 / 5 |
| Over 3.5 | 1.96 · 1xBetNamed quotes (5)
| 1.92 / 8 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.98 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.92 / 8 |
| Over 3.75 | 2.17 · 1xBetNamed quotes (5)
| 2.13 / 5 |
| Under 3.25 | 2.21 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.17 / 5 |
| Over 4.0 | 2.57 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 2.42 / 6 |
| Under 3.0 | 2.64 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.55 / 6 |
| Over 4.25 | 2.74 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 2.69 / 4 |
| Under 2.75 | 2.95 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 2.82 / 4 |
| Over 4.5 | 3.20 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 3.00 / 7 |
| Under 2.5 | 3.30 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 3.16 / 7 |
| Over 4.75 | 3.44 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 3.42 / 2 |
| Under 2.25 | 3.94 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 3.93 / 2 |
| Over 5.0 | 4.46 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 4.40 / 2 |
| Over 5.25 | 4.68 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 4.67 / 2 |
| Over 5.5 | 5.40 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 5.14 / 6 |
| Under 2.0 | 5.92 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 5.86 / 2 |
| Under 1.75 | 6.34 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 6.32 / 2 |
| Under 1.5 | 7.50 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 6.78 / 6 |
| Over 6.0 | 8.65 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 8.53 / 2 |
| Under 1.0 | 9.95 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 9.95 / 1 |
| Over 6.5 | 10.00 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 9.00 / 5 |
| Over 7.5 | 19.00 · Bet365Named quotes (4)
| 15.25 / 4 |
| Under 0.5 | 21.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 14.00 / 3 |
| Over 8.5 | 34.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 16.50 / 3 |
Both Teams Score
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.40 · William HillNamed quotes (5)
| 1.37 / 7 |
| No | 3.00 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 2.84 / 7 |
Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.
BetGenius
Our record in UEFA Champions League
63%110 won from 174 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
1 published market
FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain or Draw
72%
Confidence
Backing Paris Saint Germain to win or draw. On the evidence, PSG's win on its own is judged at around 55 per cent and a draw at around 17 per cent, which together give the 72 per cent shown. PSG's three wins, 14 goals scored, 1st place in Ligue 1 and a +9 goal difference outweigh Villarreal's 3 points, 19th place, 0-2 away record and the 7 goals they have conceded away. The hedge still loses if Villarreal win outright, and a home draw is a realistic outcome given their 3-1 home win and 1.0 average of goals conceded at home.
Explore
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About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 02:55 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Villarreal: 3 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT; Paris Saint Germain: 3 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 18:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Completed match: published prediction record
This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.
Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.