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Full time
1-9
Wed 4 Nov21:00 WAT

Lens vs Como prediction

Round
League Stage - 4
Venue
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Referee
Rohit Saggi
Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Como or Draw

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals + Como or Draw (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lens host Como in matchday 4 of the UEFA Champions League League Stage, and the table gap is clear. Como are ninth on 6 points with a goal difference of +5, while Lens are 27th of 36 on 3 points with a goal difference of -4. Domestically the picture is closer but still favours Como: Como are fourth of 20 in Serie A with 23 points from 10 games and a form run of WWWWD, while Lens are ninth of 18 in Ligue 1 on 13 points from 9, with recent form of LWWWL.

Como's European numbers are the stronger ones. They have won two of three, scored 10 and conceded 5, and both of their home games have been won, producing 8 goals for and 2 against. Lens have scored only 3 goals in three Champions League games, failed to score in two of them, and conceded 7. Their away record in the competition is one win and one defeat. Lens also have a significant injury list: J. Chavez is unavailable by coach's decision, and O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, M. Nawrocki and A. Sima are injured, with I. Jourdren also listed out. Como's list includes J. Addai, T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean and J. Rodriguez as injured, with E. Goldaniga, W. Kambwala and A. Lahdo also out. Head-to-head data is not available for this fixture, so this assessment rests on current form, scoring records and standings. Como are the more likely side to win, though Lens's home setting and the possibility of a cagey first half keep the draw and an upset in play.

Form

Recent form and results

Home

Lens

2W 0D 3L · Goals 5–8

5 matches, 13 Oct to 30 Oct

40
Poor
LWLWLLatest →
  • atLille
    Ligue 1
    L0–1
  • vsParis FC
    Ligue 1
    W2–1
  • atClub Brugge KV
    UEFA Champions League
    L0–3
  • atEstac Troyes
    Ligue 1
    W3–1
  • vsSporting CP
    UEFA Champions League
    L0–2
Away

Como

5W 0D 0L · Goals 13–3

5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov

94
Excellent
WWWWWLatest →
  • vsVenezia
    Serie A
    W1–0
  • atTorino
    Serie A
    W3–1
  • vsSassuolo
    Serie A
    W2–0
  • vsManchester United
    UEFA Champions League
    W4–1
  • atFiorentina
    Serie A
    W3–1

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Lens · 3-4-2-1

  1. 40 R. Risser (G)
  2. 32 K. Antonio (D)
  3. 6 S. Baidoo (D)
  4. 14 M. Udol (D)
  5. 2 R. Aguilar (M)
  6. 27 M. Cuisance (M)
  7. 21 A. Haidara (M)
  8. 22 M. Skóraś (M)
  9. 10 F. Thauvin (M)
  10. 9 T. Hazard (M)
  11. 29 F. Ivanović (F)

Como · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 J. Butez (G)
  2. 27 Yan Couto (D)
  3. 4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros (D)
  4. 2 M. Kempf (D)
  5. 3 Álex Valle (D)
  6. 6 Luis Milla (M)
  7. 5 M. Perrone (M)
  8. 7 L. da Cunha (M)
  9. 10 N. Paz (M)
  10. 8 M. Caqueret (M)
  11. 9 T. Douvikas (F)
LensSubstitutes (12)
  • 7F. SotocaF
  • 31S. SagnanD
  • 38M. SoaresM
  • 28J. KadileF
  • 1R. GurtnerG
  • 24J. GraditD
  • 16M. GorgelinG
  • 4N. ČelikD
  • 8Y. TitraouiM
  • 20J. TodiboD
  • 23Saud AbdulhamidD
  • 5A. BulatovićM
ComoSubstitutes (7)
  • 13A. DossenaD
  • 16KaikiD
  • 30M. LiberaliM
  • 21S. RicciM
  • 97Robert SánchezG
  • 20M. BaturinaM
  • 28I. SmolčićD

Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 4 Nov 2026, 21:12 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Lens: UEFA Champions League (2026); Como: UEFA Champions League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Lens at homeComo away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
0-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Players

Key players this season

Como

  • N. Paz3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8Bayern MünchenPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)4+78
9ArsenalPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+47
10VfB StuttgartPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)4+37
11ComoPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+56
12Manchester CityPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+46
13Club Brugge KVPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+36
14InterPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)4+26
23Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)4-54
24NapoliPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3-23
25Sabah FA3-33
26Lens3-43
27AEK Athens FC3-53
28RB Leipzig3-53
29Villarreal4-63
Prices

Archived pre-match odds

Provider quote time: 4 Nov 2026, 19:00 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.

Match Winner

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Away1.93 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.93
  • Betano: 1.93
  • Dafabet: 1.93
  • Betfair: 1.91
  • William Hill: 1.91
1.90 / 10
Draw4.02 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 4.02
  • Betano: 4.00
  • BetVictor: 4.00
  • Pinnacle: 3.99
  • Marathonbet: 3.92
3.91 / 10
Home4.02 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 4.02
  • Pinnacle: 4.00
  • Marathonbet: 3.92
  • Betano: 3.90
  • Betfair: 3.80
3.77 / 10

Double Chance

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Draw/Away1.29 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.29
  • Betano: 1.29
  • Bet365: 1.28
  • Marathonbet: 1.27
  • BetVictor: 1.25
1.26 / 8
Home/Away1.29 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.29
  • Marathonbet: 1.27
  • Bet365: 1.25
  • Betano: 1.25
  • William Hill: 1.25
1.25 / 8
Home/Draw1.97 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.97
  • SBO: 1.97
  • Marathonbet: 1.96
  • Betano: 1.93
  • Bet365: 1.91
1.92 / 8

Goals Over/Under

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Over 1.01.02 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 1.02
1.02 / 1
Over 0.51.04 · Betano
Named quotes (2)
  • Betano: 1.04
  • Bet365: 1.03
1.04 / 2
Under 6.51.04 · Betano
Named quotes (4)
  • Betano: 1.04
  • 1xBet: 1.02
  • Bet365: 1.02
  • Betfair: 1.02
1.02 / 4
Under 5.251.07 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.07
  • Marathonbet: 1.05
1.06 / 2
Under 5.01.10 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.10
  • Marathonbet: 1.06
1.08 / 2
Under 5.51.10 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.10
  • Bet365: 1.08
  • Betfair: 1.08
  • 1xBet: 1.07
  • BetVictor: 1.05
1.08 / 6
Under 4.751.15 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.15
  • Marathonbet: 1.13
1.14 / 2
Over 1.751.16 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.16
  • Marathonbet: 1.14
1.15 / 2
Over 1.51.19 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.19
  • Bet365: 1.17
  • Betfair: 1.17
  • 1xBet: 1.15
  • BetVictor: 1.14
1.16 / 6
Over 2.01.24 · BetVictor
Named quotes (4)
  • BetVictor: 1.24
  • Pinnacle: 1.24
  • 1xBet: 1.22
  • Marathonbet: 1.18
1.23 / 4
Under 4.51.25 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.25
  • Betano: 1.25
  • Bet365: 1.22
  • Betfair: 1.22
  • Marathonbet: 1.21
1.22 / 6
Under 4.251.27 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.27
  • Marathonbet: 1.25
1.26 / 2
Under 4.01.34 · 1xBet
Named quotes (4)
  • 1xBet: 1.34
  • Pinnacle: 1.33
  • BetVictor: 1.30
  • Marathonbet: 1.30
1.31 / 4
Over 2.251.41 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 1.41
  • 1xBet: 1.38
  • BetVictor: 1.38
  • Marathonbet: 1.35
1.38 / 4
Under 3.751.48 · 1xBet
Named quotes (4)
  • 1xBet: 1.48
  • Pinnacle: 1.47
  • Marathonbet: 1.44
  • BetVictor: 1.43
1.46 / 4
Over 2.51.62 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 1.62
  • SBO: 1.61
  • Pinnacle: 1.58
  • Betano: 1.57
  • Betfair: 1.57
1.57 / 8
Under 3.51.66 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.66
  • Pinnacle: 1.62
  • Marathonbet: 1.61
  • Betano: 1.60
  • Betfair: 1.60
1.60 / 8
Over 2.751.74 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 1.74
  • Pinnacle: 1.70
  • 1xBet: 1.68
  • BetVictor: 1.64
  • Marathonbet: 1.63
1.68 / 5
Under 3.251.80 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.80
  • Pinnacle: 1.76
  • Marathonbet: 1.71
  • SBO: 1.70
  • BetVictor: 1.68
1.71 / 5
Over 3.01.99 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 1.99
  • Pinnacle: 1.91
  • Betano: 1.90
  • 1xBet: 1.88
  • Marathonbet: 1.82
1.89 / 6
Under 3.01.99 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.99
  • 1xBet: 1.96
  • Betano: 1.95
  • SBO: 1.91
  • Marathonbet: 1.90
1.93 / 6
Under 2.752.24 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.24
  • 1xBet: 2.20
  • SBO: 2.19
  • Marathonbet: 2.14
  • BetVictor: 2.09
2.19 / 5
Over 3.252.25 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 2.25
  • 1xBet: 2.17
  • Pinnacle: 2.15
  • Marathonbet: 2.06
  • BetVictor: 2.02
2.15 / 5
Over 3.52.44 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 2.44
  • 1xBet: 2.42
  • Betano: 2.40
  • Pinnacle: 2.40
  • Bet365: 2.38
2.39 / 8
Under 2.52.50 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.50
  • Betano: 2.47
  • 1xBet: 2.45
  • Betfair: 2.40
  • SBO: 2.40
2.40 / 8
Over 3.752.78 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 2.78
  • 1xBet: 2.72
  • Marathonbet: 2.66
  • BetVictor: 2.56
2.69 / 4
Under 2.253.05 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 3.05
  • 1xBet: 2.90
  • Marathonbet: 2.84
  • BetVictor: 2.73
2.87 / 4
Over 4.03.47 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 3.47
  • 1xBet: 3.37
  • Marathonbet: 3.26
  • BetVictor: 3.10
3.31 / 4
Over 4.253.61 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 3.61
  • Marathonbet: 3.55
3.58 / 2
Under 2.04.27 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 4.27
  • 1xBet: 4.04
  • Marathonbet: 3.92
  • BetVictor: 3.55
3.98 / 4
Over 4.54.33 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 4.33
  • Betfair: 4.33
  • BetVictor: 4.10
  • Betano: 4.05
  • 1xBet: 3.96
4.07 / 6
Under 1.754.41 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 4.41
  • Marathonbet: 4.33
4.37 / 2
Over 4.754.82 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 4.82
  • Marathonbet: 4.75
4.79 / 2
Under 1.55.20 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 5.20
  • Bet365: 5.00
  • BetVictor: 5.00
  • 1xBet: 4.89
  • Betano: 4.85
4.95 / 6
Over 5.06.55 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 6.55
  • Marathonbet: 6.35
6.45 / 2
Over 5.256.67 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 6.67
  • Marathonbet: 6.55
6.61 / 2
Over 5.58.50 · BetVictor
Named quotes (5)
  • BetVictor: 8.50
  • Bet365: 8.00
  • Betfair: 8.00
  • 1xBet: 7.11
  • Betano: 7.10
7.55 / 6
Under 1.09.95 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 9.95
9.95 / 1
Over 6.517.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (4)
  • Bet365: 17.00
  • Betfair: 15.00
  • Betano: 11.75
  • 1xBet: 9.95
13.38 / 4
Under 0.517.00 · Betfair
Named quotes (4)
  • Betfair: 17.00
  • Bet365: 15.00
  • Betano: 11.75
  • 1xBet: 11.60
13.38 / 4
Over 7.529.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (3)
  • Bet365: 29.00
  • Betano: 16.50
  • 1xBet: 11.60
16.50 / 3
Over 8.551.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (2)
  • Bet365: 51.00
  • 1xBet: 11.60
31.30 / 2

Both Teams Score

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Yes1.53 · William Hill
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 1.53
  • William Hill: 1.53
  • Betano: 1.52
  • Betfair: 1.50
  • 1xBet: 1.49
1.50 / 7
No2.50 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 2.50
  • 1xBet: 2.48
  • BetVictor: 2.45
  • William Hill: 2.45
  • Marathonbet: 2.44
2.45 / 7

Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Champions League

63%110 won from 174 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Como or Draw
66%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Goals have been plentiful in this fixture's teams' matches. Como have scored 10 and conceded 5 in three Champions League games, an average of about 5 goals per match across their fixtures. Lens have been involved in games totalling 10 goals across three matches, around 3.3 per game. The Champions League League Stage averages 4.09 goals per game across the standings data. Como's scoring form is strong, with N. Paz having three assists, and Lens have conceded an average of 2.3 per game in the competition, which means a Como goal total of two or more is quite plausible even if Lens defend better at home. Lens's own scoring has been limited, which is the main reason this is not a higher-confidence call.

Como or Draw — 72% confidence

Como have the stronger European record this season, with two wins from three and 10 goals scored, and they have been excellent at home in this competition, winning both games 8-2 on aggregate. Lens have managed only one goal per game in the Champions League and have failed to score in two of their three matches. Lens's own domestic position is respectable at ninth of 18, but they are without several players on the injury and unavailability lists. Como also sit above Lens in the league table on points and goal difference. The main case against backing Como outright is that Lens are at home and Como's away form in Europe is limited to a single defeat, so the draw is a live outcome. Covering both Como and a draw therefore makes the best use of the evidence.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Como or Draw
72%
Confidence

Como have the stronger European record this season, with two wins from three and 10 goals scored, and they have been excellent at home in this competition, winning both games 8-2 on aggregate. Lens have managed only one goal per game in the Champions League and have failed to score in two of their three matches. Lens's own domestic position is respectable at ninth of 18, but they are without several players on the injury and unavailability lists. Como also sit above Lens in the league table on points and goal difference. The main case against backing Como outright is that Lens are at home and Como's away form in Europe is limited to a single defeat, so the draw is a live outcome. Covering both Como and a draw therefore makes the best use of the evidence.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Confidence

Goals have been plentiful in this fixture's teams' matches. Como have scored 10 and conceded 5 in three Champions League games, an average of about 5 goals per match across their fixtures. Lens have been involved in games totalling 10 goals across three matches, around 3.3 per game. The Champions League League Stage averages 4.09 goals per game across the standings data. Como's scoring form is strong, with N. Paz having three assists, and Lens have conceded an average of 2.3 per game in the competition, which means a Como goal total of two or more is quite plausible even if Lens defend better at home. Lens's own scoring has been limited, which is the main reason this is not a higher-confidence call.

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About this data

Original prediction evidence is unavailable. Recent form, statistics and H2H above describe the latest cached context, which may differ from what was known before kickoff. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Lens: 4 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT; Como: 4 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 18:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Completed match: published prediction record

This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.

Published November 3, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.