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Sun 18 Oct · 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
Referee: Florian Badstubner

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen

94Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +10 goal difference

SC Freiburg

46Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Bayer Leverkusen or Draw

BetGenius backs Bayer Leverkusen or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen welcome league leaders SC Freiburg to the BayArena in a high-profile Bundesliga encounter. Leverkusen sit fourth in the standings with 10 points from five matches, boasting a flawless home record having won both domestic fixtures on home soil while scoring six goals and conceding none. The hosts enter this clash on strong form following a 4-0 away victory against Lech Poznan and a 4-3 domestic win at Mainz.

SC Freiburg arrive at the summit of the division with 13 points from an unbeaten five-match sequence, scoring 14 goals and conceding just four. Julian Schuster's side secured a 2-1 win over FC Schalke 04 in their last league outing, but they face a significant test on the road without top scorer Y. Suzuki, who serves a suspension following a red card.

Recent historical meetings between these clubs have been lively and tilted toward the home side. Leverkusen have won four of their previous five home fixtures against Freiburg, with historical encounters averaging 3.9 goals per game. With Leverkusen solid at home and Freiburg adjusting to key attacking absences, the hosts possess a favourable platform to earn at least a point.

Analysis

Key factors

Bayer Leverkusen have won both of their home Bundesliga matches this season by a combined scoreline of 6-0.
SC Freiburg are missing top scorer Y. Suzuki due to suspension after his red card.
Bayer Leverkusen have won four of the last five meetings hosted at their venue against Freiburg.
Head-to-head fixtures between these teams have averaged 3.9 goals, with 80 percent finishing over 2.5 goals.
Both teams average 2.8 goals scored per game across the opening five rounds of the league campaign.

Availability

Team news

Bayer Leverkusen

E. Ben SeghirMuscle Injury
G. DoueCalf Injury
C. KofaneMuscle Injury
M. TerrierMuscle Injury
M. CulbreathFoot Injury

K. EichhornIllness

SC Freiburg

Y. EngelhardtInjury
B. YilmazLacking Match Fitness

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Bayer Leverkusen at homeSC Freiburg away

Played

3-0-0

W-D-L

1-1-1

2.7

Scored /game

1.3

0.3

Conceded /game

1.3

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

100%

Combined scoring rate: 4 goals per game (Bayer Leverkusen at home plus SC Freiburg away).

Players

Key players this season

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick6G · 2A
Miguel Gutiérrez3A

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki4G
M. Ginter3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern MünchenChampions League league stage	6	+17	14
2	Borussia DortmundChampions League league stage	6	+7	14
3	SC FreiburgChampions League league stage	6	+9	13
4	Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage	6	+7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage	6	+4	10
6	SV ElversbergQualifying	6	+1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	+5	9

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

6
Bayer Leverkusen: 3
Draws: 1
SC Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 90% of them.

2026-10-18Bayer Leverkusen2-1SC Freiburg
2026-03-07SC Freiburg3-3Bayer Leverkusen
2025-10-26Bayer Leverkusen2-0SC Freiburg
2025-05-04SC Freiburg2-2Bayer Leverkusen
2024-12-21Bayer Leverkusen5-1SC Freiburg

BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%52 won from 79 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Bayer Leverkusen or Draw

75%

Confidence

Bayer Leverkusen have displayed complete dominance at home in the Bundesliga this season, winning both fixtures with six goals scored and zero conceded. Across their last five home head-to-head encounters against Freiburg, Leverkusen have collected four victories and suffered only one defeat. While Freiburg remain unbeaten and sit top of the table with 13 points, their attack is compromised by the suspension of leading scorer Y. Suzuki, who has scored four goals this season. Covering both the home victory and the draw provides sensible security against an undefeated Freiburg squad that has shown resilience across all competitions.

Explore

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Bundesliga

1 published market

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