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Wed 16 Sept · 23:30

Botafogo vs Gremio prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 21
Venue: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee: Edina Alves Batista, Brazil

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Botafogo

51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Gremio

39Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet

Botafogo or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Botafogo or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 70% confidence — a solid call.

70%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Botafogo host Gremio in a crucial Serie A encounter with both sides looking to pull clear of the lower reaches of the table. Botafogo currently sit 14th with 32 points, maintaining a decent home record of four wins and five draws from 12 fixtures at their own ground.

Gremio occupy 16th place on 28 points, hovering precariously just above the relegation zone on goal difference. Their primary weakness this campaign has been their form on the road, where they remain winless across 13 matches, picking up four draws and suffering nine defeats while finding the net just six times away from home.

Given Gremio's severe attacking difficulties away from Porto Alegre and Botafogo's resilience on home soil, the hosts enter this clash with a distinct situational edge, pointing toward a low-scoring battle where Botafogo are well-placed to secure points.

Availability

Team news

Botafogo

J. BarreraAnkle Injury
Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury

Arthur ChavesInactive
L. MonzonInactive

Gremio

WallaceYellow Cards

J. CabralInactive
Matheus NascimentoInactive

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Botafogo at homeGremio away

Played

6-6-4

W-D-L

0-5-10

1.6

Scored /game

0.6

1.4

Conceded /game

1.5

25%

Clean sheets

13%

19%

Failed to score

47%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Botafogo at home plus Gremio away).

Players

Key players this season

Botafogo

Danilo Santos10G

Gremio

Carlos Vinícius11G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
8	SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	31	+2	45
9	Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	31	+1	42
10	RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	31	+3	41
11	BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	31	-4	39
12	Coritiba	31	-11	39
13	Vitoria	31	-11	37
14	Mirassol	31	-8	36
15	Vasco DA Gama	30	-7	35
16	Corinthians	31	-7	33
17	InternacionalRelegation - Serie B	31	-7	32
18	GremioRelegation - Serie B	31	-10	31
19	RemoRelegation - Serie B	31	-15	26
20	Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B	30	-32	18

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
Botafogo: 2
Draws: 4
Gremio

Gremio have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 4.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

2026-02-05Gremio5-3Botafogo
2025-11-22Botafogo3-2Gremio
2025-09-24Gremio1-1Botafogo
2024-09-29Botafogo0-0Gremio
2024-06-16Gremio1-2Botafogo

BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST

Combo Bet

Botafogo or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

70%

Both must land · no better than

Botafogo or Draw — 76% confidence

Gremio have struggled badly outside of their home stadium this season, failing to win any of their 13 away league matches with nine defeats and four draws. Botafogo have been far more solid on home turf, losing only three of 12 matches. Backing Botafogo to win or draw covers the vast majority of Gremio's away outcomes this season.

Under 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Gremio have managed only six goals across 13 away fixtures, scoring at a rate of 0.5 goals per game and blanking in each of their last three road trips. Botafogo have also experienced recent attacking lulls, being shut out in three of their last five overall matches. A tight, low-scoring encounter is the primary probability.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST

Total Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

70%

Confidence

Combo BetWON

Double Chance

Botafogo or Draw

76%

Confidence

Explore

Botafogo vs Gremio prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Team news

Botafogo

Gremio

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Botafogo

Gremio

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Serie A

3 published markets

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