Vitoria or Draw — 71% confidence
Gremio have failed to record a single away victory in twelve league fixtures this season, registering four draws and eight defeats. Despite Vitoria entering on a four-game losing streak, their overall home profile shows eight wins and one draw from twelve matches. Covering the home win and the draw addresses Vitoria's recent slip in form while capitalising on Gremio's extended away struggles.
Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence
Under 2.5 goals is strongly supported by the venue splits of both teams. Gremio have struggled for output on their travels, scoring only six goals in twelve away matches for an average of 0.5 goals per away fixture, while failing to score in half of those games. Vitoria concede an average of just 0.8 goals per game at home and have collected eight clean sheets in twelve home outings. Additionally, seven of the previous ten meetings between these two clubs have produced fewer than three goals.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.