Gremio or Draw — 71% confidence
Gremio have avoided defeat in 12 of their 15 home league matches this season, compiling seven wins and five draws. Despite their low standing in 18th place, their home defensive record remains steady with only 17 goals conceded in 15 outings. Cruzeiro have lost seven of their 15 away games and are missing several first-team regulars including Gabriel Pec, L. Sinisterra, and Felipe Morais. Backing Gremio to take at least a point reflects their solid home platform against an away side with notable absences.
BTTS Yes — 73% confidence
Cruzeiro have demonstrated consistent scoring power on their travels, failing to score in only two of their 15 away matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. However, they also concede heavily on the road, allowing 28 goals across those 15 games and managing just two clean sheets. Gremio have averaged 1.5 goals per match at home and have scored in 12 of their 15 home fixtures, led by Carlos Vinicius with 10 goals. Four of Gremio's last five matches and four of Cruzeiro's last five matches have seen both sides score, pointing to a high likelihood of both teams finding the net.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.