19:45

Tue 27 Oct

Castellonense vs Almeria prediction

Follow Castellonense Follow Almeria Follow this match

Round: Round of 128
Venue: Estadio Municipal de Castalia

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Castellonense

62Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +4 goal difference

Almeria

82Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Almeria or Draw

BetGenius backs Almeria or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Castellonense host Segunda Division leaders Almeria in the opening round of the Copa del Rey. The home side enter this knockout tie following a 2-0 away victory against Intercity, marking their third win across their last five fixtures. Having recorded victories over Real Murcia II and Cieza alongside defeats to Deportiva Minera and Lorca Deportiva, Castellonense face a substantial step up in opposition.

Almeria arrive in formidable domestic form, sitting top of the Segunda Division table with 25 points from 11 matches. They have secured eight league victories and suffered just two defeats, scoring 22 goals while conceding only nine. Their recent sequence displays strong momentum, remaining unbeaten in their past five games with four wins and a 2-2 draw against Oviedo, scoring 12 goals in that run.

While early cup rounds at lower-tier venues can create difficult conditions due to squad rotation and venue unfamiliarity, the gulf in quality between the two sides provides the visitors with a clear edge. Almeria have the attacking depth to dictate proceedings over regular time.

Analysis

Key factors

Almeria sit first in the Segunda Division after 11 rounds with eight victories and 25 points.
Almeria are unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring 12 goals across that span.
Four of Almeria's last five competitive fixtures have produced three or more total goals.
Castellonense have won three of their previous five games but have conceded four goals across their two defeats in that sequence.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Castellonense at homeAlmeria away

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Played

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W-D-L

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Scored /game

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Conceded /game

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Clean sheets

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Failed to score

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20%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Predictions

1 published market

Featured

Double Chance

Almeria or Draw

78%

Confidence

Almeria are flying high at the top of the Segunda Division with eight wins in 11 league matches and 22 goals scored. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, finding the net 12 times in that sequence. Although Castellonense have won three of their last five matches, their opposition has come at a much lower competitive standard. Because cup ties on the road can feature tactical caution and rotated line-ups that increase the prospect of a regular-time draw, backing Almeria to win or draw covers the most plausible outcomes across ninety minutes.

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