Copa del Rey predictions

Girona enter this cup tie in strong shape, sitting 4th in the Segunda Division with 21 points and 22 goals scored across 11 league fixtures. They are unbeaten in their past five matches with three wins and two draws, conceding only two goals in that run. While Cuarte have been competitive in recent weeks, Girona hold a substantial advantage in squad depth and pedigree, making them heavily favored to avoid defeat over ninety minutes.

Girona bring significant firepower to this tie, having recorded 22 goals across 11 Segunda Division fixtures this season, which averages two goals per game. Their recent 5-1 win against Celta de Vigo II underlines their ability to create and finish chances against lower-tier opposition.

Cuarte have consistently participated in high-scoring games, with four of their last five fixtures producing three or more goals, including scorelines of 2-2, 2-2, 3-1, and 1-2. The combination of Girona's offensive quality from a higher division and Cuarte's open defensive record provides compelling evidence for three or more goals rather than stopping at two.

Both sides have been involved in open, high-scoring matches lately. Four of Cuarte's last five games have produced three or more goals, including 2-2 draws with Robres and Caspe, as well as a 3-1 win at La Almunia. Girona average two goals scored per match in the Segunda Division and are fresh off a 5-1 win over Celta de Vigo II, pointing toward a fixture with ample goalmouth action.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Both sides have been involved in open, high-scoring matches lately. Four of Cuarte's last five games have produced three or more goals, including 2-2 draws with Robres and Caspe, as well as a 3-1 win at La Almunia. Girona average two goals scored per match in the Segunda Division and are fresh off a 5-1 win over Celta de Vigo II, pointing toward a fixture with ample goalmouth action.

Girona or Draw — 79% confidence

Girona enter this cup tie in strong shape, sitting 4th in the Segunda Division with 21 points and 22 goals scored across 11 league fixtures. They are unbeaten in their past five matches with three wins and two draws, conceding only two goals in that run. While Cuarte have been competitive in recent weeks, Girona hold a substantial advantage in squad depth and pedigree, making them heavily favored to avoid defeat over ninety minutes.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Elche hold a decisive advantage in baseline quality as an established La Liga team, sitting 14th in Spain's top tier and arriving off a comprehensive 3-0 road win against Rayo Vallecano. Although Pinatar advanced with emphatic 8-0 and 3-0 victories over Atlético Melilla, the gap between preliminary cup opposition and a top-flight side is substantial. Cup ties occasionally see underdogs defend deep in regular time, but Elche's defensive solidity, shown by clean sheets against both Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, makes an away result the most probable outcome over 90 minutes.

Espanyol hold a tier advantage as a La Liga club, giving them higher technical quality across the pitch despite their recent dip in form. While Sestao River are on a strong run of four wins from five matches, the step up in opposition is considerable. Sestao River have conceded only twice in their past five games, while Espanyol have scored no more than one goal in any of their last five matches, pointing toward a low-scoring affair where Espanyol have enough quality to avoid defeat in regular time.

Calamocha are without a victory in their last five fixtures, failing to find the net in three of those matches and scoring only two goals in total. Europa Fc have faced testing opposition recently, yet they have recorded two wins from their last five matches, defeating Algeciras 2-1 and Rayo Majadahonda 1-0. With Calamocha struggling in the final third, Europa Fc have a strong foundation to secure at least a draw in this knockout clash.

Almeria are flying high at the top of the Segunda Division with eight wins in 11 league matches and 22 goals scored. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, finding the net 12 times in that sequence. Although Castellonense have won three of their last five matches, their opposition has come at a much lower competitive standard. Because cup ties on the road can feature tactical caution and rotated line-ups that increase the prospect of a regular-time draw, backing Almeria to win or draw covers the most plausible outcomes across ninety minutes.

Las Palmas compete in the professional Segunda División and showed defensive resolve in their 1-0 win over Real Sociedad II in their latest outing. RSD Alcalá have struggled for results, posting three defeats and two draws in their last five games. Backing Las Palmas to avoid defeat covers potential cup tie friction while leaning firmly into their superior competitive level against an opponent out of form.

All five of Mirandes' last five fixtures have finished with under 2.5 goals, including low-margin scorelines against Unionistas de Salamanca (1-0), Zamora (1-1), Ponferradina (0-1), and Barakaldo (0-2). Mirandes have not scored in either of their recent away games. Atletico Tordesillas have shown comparable defensive solidity, conceding only twice in their past five outings and keeping clean sheets in both recent home matches against Guadalajara and Salamanca UDS. Four of their last five games have seen two or fewer goals, making another tight, low-scoring cup fixture the most likely outcome.

Ponferradina have proven difficult to break down across recent weeks, avoiding defeat in four of their past five matches with three draws and a 1-0 win against Mirandes. In contrast, Llanera have conceded seven goals across their last two games, losing 4-1 at Arosa and 3-1 at home to Compostela. While Llanera scored in all five of their recent fixtures, Ponferradina have kept games low-scoring, failing to concede more than two goals in any recent match and producing under 2.5 goals in all five outings. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers the likelihood of another competitive, low-margin cup contest.

RSD Alcalá have found goals hard to come by, scoring just twice across their last five matches. They were shut out entirely in three of those fixtures against Salamanca UDS, Calvo Sotelo, and Real Madrid III, and have not scored more than a single goal in any match during that stretch. Facing a Segunda División side that just secured a clean sheet makes it unlikely Alcalá will register multiple goals.

Las Palmas or Draw — 78% confidence

Las Palmas compete in the professional Segunda División and showed defensive resolve in their 1-0 win over Real Sociedad II in their latest outing. RSD Alcalá have struggled for results, posting three defeats and two draws in their last five games. Backing Las Palmas to avoid defeat covers potential cup tie friction while leaning firmly into their superior competitive level against an opponent out of form.

RSD Alcalá Under 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

RSD Alcalá have found goals hard to come by, scoring just twice across their last five matches. They were shut out entirely in three of those fixtures against Salamanca UDS, Calvo Sotelo, and Real Madrid III, and have not scored more than a single goal in any match during that stretch. Facing a Segunda División side that just secured a clean sheet makes it unlikely Alcalá will register multiple goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Ciudad de Lucena have shown solid form leading into this knockout tie, remaining undefeated across their last five matches with four wins and a draw. They have scored eleven times in that span and won both of their recent home games against Don Benito and Puente Genil. Conversely, Rayo Majadahonda have dropped four of their last five matches, each by a 1-0 scoreline, and have managed to score in only one fixture during that run. While the visitors did secure a win in their latest outing, their persistent lack of cutting edge away from home gives Ciudad de Lucena a strong opportunity to secure at least a draw in regular time.

Gimnástica Segoviana are unbeaten in their last five games, recording one win and four draws. Cultural Leonesa have managed only one victory in their last five matches and have conceded in every one of those fixtures. Furthermore, Segoviana are unbeaten in the two recorded head-to-head meetings between the sides, having won 3-2 away and drawn 1-1 at home. The double chance on the hosts covers the frequent draw outcome that has characterised Segoviana's recent run while accounting for Leonesa's patchy away form.

Extremadura 1924 have put together a four-match unbeaten run, highlighted by three away victories in which they scored twelve goals combined. Don Benito have been steady on their own ground with two wins and a draw in their past three home outings, but they have conceded across four of their last five matches overall. Backing the visitors to win or draw accounts for cup knockout volatility while reflecting Extremadura's potent offensive form.

Manresa carry momentum into this tie having avoided defeat in each of their last four matches, picking up two wins and two draws. Sant Andreu are currently on a four-game winless run in which they have conceded seven goals. Furthermore, Sant Andreu have never won away at Manresa across three recorded head-to-head meetings, suffering one loss and drawing twice. Given that five of the nine all-time meetings between these clubs have finished all square, covering both the home win and the draw represents the strongest probability.

Head-to-head history between these teams shows a distinct pattern of low-scoring affairs, with an average of 2.11 goals per match and only 33.33 percent exceeding the 2.5 line across nine meetings. The competitive history features three 0-0 stalemates and two 1-1 draws. While Sant Andreu have seen higher totals recently, Manresa kept clean sheets in two of their last three matches, and the single-leg cup format typically produces structured, cautious approaches.

Under 2.5 Goals — 63% confidence

Head-to-head history between these teams shows a distinct pattern of low-scoring affairs, with an average of 2.11 goals per match and only 33.33 percent exceeding the 2.5 line across nine meetings. The competitive history features three 0-0 stalemates and two 1-1 draws. While Sant Andreu have seen higher totals recently, Manresa kept clean sheets in two of their last three matches, and the single-leg cup format typically produces structured, cautious approaches.

Manresa or Draw — 68% confidence

Manresa carry momentum into this tie having avoided defeat in each of their last four matches, picking up two wins and two draws. Sant Andreu are currently on a four-game winless run in which they have conceded seven goals. Furthermore, Sant Andreu have never won away at Manresa across three recorded head-to-head meetings, suffering one loss and drawing twice. Given that five of the nine all-time meetings between these clubs have finished all square, covering both the home win and the draw represents the strongest probability.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Villarreal play in the top flight, occupying eighth position in La Liga, and recently demonstrated their quality with a 2-1 victory over Valencia and a 3-1 win against Napoli. While injuries to N. Pepe, C. Romero, and N. Saliba limit their options, their overall squad depth remains far superior to lower-division opposition. Manacor have been productive offensively against their recent opponents, netting in all five previous outings, but the vast difference in competitive standard makes Villarreal heavily favoured to avoid defeat. Combining the away win and draw accounts for any initial cup friction or rotation while maintaining strong probability.