BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

RSD Alcalá
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference

Las Palmas
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Las Palmas or Draw

BetGenius backs Las Palmas or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

RSD Alcalá host Segunda División outfit Las Palmas in the Copa del Rey Round of 128. The hosts enter this knockout tie in difficult form, having failed to record a victory across their last five matches while managing just two goals in that sequence.

Las Palmas arrive following a 1-0 domestic victory over Real Sociedad II, leaving them 13th in the Segunda División table with 14 points from 11 matches. While their league campaign has seen some inconsistency, the gap in pedigree between professional Segunda División football and their lower-tier hosts provides a substantial platform.

Cup fixtures at lower-league venues frequently present stubborn resistance, but Alcalá's recent lack of cutting edge gives the visiting side a distinct path to control proceedings.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. RSD Alcalá are winless in their last five matches, with two draws and three defeats.
  2. RSD Alcalá have managed only two goals across their previous five fixtures, failing to score in three of them.
  3. Las Palmas play in the Segunda División, sitting 13th with 14 points from 11 league matches.
  4. Las Palmas kept a clean sheet in their most recent league fixture, a 1-0 victory against Real Sociedad II.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

RSD Alcalá at homeLas Palmas away
—
Played
—
—
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Double Chance
Las Palmas or Draw
78%
Confidence

Las Palmas compete in the professional Segunda División and showed defensive resolve in their 1-0 win over Real Sociedad II in their latest outing. RSD Alcalá have struggled for results, posting three defeats and two draws in their last five games. Backing Las Palmas to avoid defeat covers potential cup tie friction while leaning firmly into their superior competitive level against an opponent out of form.

Combo Bet
Team Total Goals
RSD Alcalá Under 1.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

RSD Alcalá have found goals hard to come by, scoring just twice across their last five matches. They were shut out entirely in three of those fixtures against Salamanca UDS, Calvo Sotelo, and Real Madrid III, and have not scored more than a single goal in any match during that stretch. Facing a Segunda División side that just secured a clean sheet makes it unlikely Alcalá will register multiple goals.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Las Palmas or Draw + RSD Alcalá Under 1.5 Goals
74%
Both must land · no better than

Las Palmas or Draw — 78% confidence

Las Palmas compete in the professional Segunda División and showed defensive resolve in their 1-0 win over Real Sociedad II in their latest outing. RSD Alcalá have struggled for results, posting three defeats and two draws in their last five games. Backing Las Palmas to avoid defeat covers potential cup tie friction while leaning firmly into their superior competitive level against an opponent out of form.

RSD Alcalá Under 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

RSD Alcalá have found goals hard to come by, scoring just twice across their last five matches. They were shut out entirely in three of those fixtures against Salamanca UDS, Calvo Sotelo, and Real Madrid III, and have not scored more than a single goal in any match during that stretch. Facing a Segunda División side that just secured a clean sheet makes it unlikely Alcalá will register multiple goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published October 26, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.