BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Elche
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Not enough recent data to rate Pinatar yet, so there's nothing to compare against.

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Elche or Draw

BetGenius backs Elche or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Pinatar host top-flight side Elche in the Round of 128 of the Copa del Rey. The home side earned their place in this stage by defeating Atlético Melilla twice, winning 8-0 at home and 3-0 on the road across their two cup fixtures. While Pinatar demonstrated attacking flair by scoring 11 goals without conceding in those matches, facing top-tier opposition represents a far greater challenge.

Elche sit 14th of 20 in La Liga with 10 points from 10 matches, having won two, drawn four, and lost four with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. They head into this fixture with positive momentum, having secured an impressive 3-0 away win against Rayo Vallecano following a 0-0 draw at Villarreal. Their recent away form against seasoned top-flight opponents highlights their tactical solidity.

Cup fixtures at this stage often introduce variables such as rotated starting line-ups and motivated lower-tier hosts. However, Elche have shown reliable defensive discipline, recording clean sheets in each of their last two domestic matches. Apart from midfielder M. Aguado being sidelined with an ankle injury, Elche have their squad available to manage this knockout test.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Elche compete in La Liga, sitting 14th of 20 after 10 matches and arriving off a 3-0 away win at Rayo Vallecano.
  2. Pinatar scored 11 goals across two cup wins over Atlético Melilla, winning 8-0 and 3-0, but now face a top-flight opponent.
  3. Elche have kept clean sheets in their last two competitive matches, shutting out Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal.
  4. M. Aguado is reported out for Elche due to an ankle injury.
Availability

Team news

Pinatar

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Elche

  • M. AguadoAnkle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Pinatar at homeElche away
1
Played
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1-0-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (last 5)
40%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Elche or Draw
78%
Confidence

Elche hold a decisive advantage in baseline quality as an established La Liga team, sitting 14th in Spain's top tier and arriving off a comprehensive 3-0 road win against Rayo Vallecano. Although Pinatar advanced with emphatic 8-0 and 3-0 victories over Atlético Melilla, the gap between preliminary cup opposition and a top-flight side is substantial. Cup ties occasionally see underdogs defend deep in regular time, but Elche's defensive solidity, shown by clean sheets against both Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, makes an away result the most probable outcome over 90 minutes.

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Published October 26, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.