BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 4
Venue
Celtic Park, Glasgow
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Beşiktaş or Draw

BetGenius backs Beşiktaş or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Beşiktaş arrive as the stronger side on this evidence. In the league phase they sit eighth of 36 with 7 points and a goal difference of +4, inside the play-off places. Celtic are 35th with no points from three games and a goal difference of -6. Their Europa League record is three defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 9, including a 1-2 home loss to Celta Vigo. Beşiktaş have won five straight in all competitions and have conceded only 0.7 goals per game in Europa League matches this season.

The picture at home is more mixed. Celtic top the Scottish Premiership with 28 points from 12 games and nine wins, so their domestic level is clearly higher than their European results suggest. The contrast is useful context, but the Europa League evidence is the more relevant measure for this tie. Celtic's last five include a 0-2 defeat at Falkirk and a 2-2 draw with Dundee Utd. Beşiktaş have a 4-1 home win on their record and a 3-2 away win at Hoffenheim, and their domestic side sits fourth of 18 in the Süper Lig.

Availability is a factor on both sides. Celtic have A. Johnston (leg injury) and Yang Hyun-Jun (hamstring) listed as unavailable. Beşiktaş are without U. Akdag, who is suspended after a red card, and also have C. Keles, F. Miretti and M. Rashica listed as unavailable. Celtic have scored in each of their three European games, which keeps an away win from being a comfortable outcome.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Beşiktaş sit eighth in the league phase on 7 points with a goal difference of +4, while Celtic are 35th of 36 with no points and a goal difference of -6.
  2. Beşiktaş have won five straight in all competitions and concede 0.7 goals per game in the Europa League, against Celtic's record of conceding 3 per game in the same competition.
  3. Celtic's domestic form is strong, with top spot in the Scottish Premiership on 28 points from 12 games, which keeps a home result in play.
  4. Availability: Celtic are missing A. Johnston and Yang Hyun-Jun, and Beşiktaş are without U. Akdag through suspension, with further listed absences on both sides.
  5. Goals: Celtic have scored in all three European games, while the league phase averages 3.07 goals per game, which supports an over 2.5 total.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Celtic

2W 1D 2L · Goals 12–8

5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov

45
Average
WLWDLLatest →
  • atFalkirk
    Premiership
    L0–2
  • vsDundee Utd
    Premiership
    D2–2
  • atHibernian
    Premiership
    W2–1
  • vsCelta Vigo
    UEFA Europa League
    L1–2
  • vsHeart Of Midlothian
    Premiership
    W7–1
Away

Beşiktaş

2W 2D 1L · Goals 9–8

5 matches, 15 Oct to 1 Nov

59
Average
WLDWDLatest →
  • atKasımpaşa
    Süper Lig
    D2–2
  • vsBaşakşehir
    Süper Lig
    W2–0
  • vsCrystal Palace
    UEFA Europa League
    D2–2
  • atTrabzonspor
    Süper Lig
    L0–2
  • at1899 Hoffenheim
    UEFA Europa League
    W3–2

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Celtic: UEFA Europa League (2026); Beşiktaş: UEFA Europa League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Celtic at homeBeşiktaş away
2
Played
4
0-0-2
W-D-L
3-0-1
—
Scored /game
1.5
—
Conceded /game
0.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Players

Key players this season

Beşiktaş

  • Oh Hyeon-Gyu2G
  • J. Olaitan3A
  • O. Kökçü2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+39
6Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+77
7JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+67
8BeşiktaşPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+47
9SunderlandPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+27
10AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+46
11Omonia NicosiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+16
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa League

61%62 won from 102 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

Featured
Double Chance
Beşiktaş or Draw
72%
Confidence

Beşiktaş have the stronger European form, with 7 points from three games, five consecutive wins in all competitions, and an average of 0.7 goals conceded per game in the Europa League. Celtic have no points from three games, have conceded 9, and have scored once per game on average. Celtic's strong domestic form, with 9 wins from 12 and top spot in the Premiership, keeps a home win realistic, so the away-or-draw cover is the sensible shape rather than a straight away win. Beşiktaş's Suspended defender U. Akdag and the listed absences on both sides add some uncertainty to the result.

Featured
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Confidence

Beşiktaş score 1.9 goals per game in Europa League matches this season, and Celtic have conceded 3 per game in the same competition. Celtic's own scoring is low at 1 per game, but they have found the net in all three European games. The league phase average of 3.07 goals per game supports an open match, although Beşiktaş's defensive record of 0.7 goals conceded per game limits the total somewhat.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 3 Nov 2026, 23:40 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Celtic: 3 Nov 2026, 23:40 WAT; Beşiktaş: 3 Nov 2026, 23:40 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 12:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.