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Serie ASerie A
23:30
Sat 24 Oct

Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction

Follow Chapecoense-scFollow FluminenseFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 32
Venue
Arena Condá, Chapeco
Referee
Anderson Daronco

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Chapecoense-sc
17Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -8 goal difference

Fluminense
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Fluminense or Draw

BetGenius backs Fluminense or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Chapecoense sit at the foot of the Serie A standings in 20th place with 18 points from 30 matches, having suffered 18 defeats across the campaign. Their defensive record is the leakiest in the division, with 62 goals conceded overall and 33 shipped in 14 home fixtures. Entering this clash on a three-match losing sequence in which they conceded nine goals and scored just once, the hosts face immense pressure.

Fluminense arrive in fifth position with 51 points from 31 matches, battling near the top of the table for Copa Libertadores qualification. While their away form has yielded only three wins alongside six draws and six losses, they come into this contest lifted by a 1-0 away victory against second-placed Palmeiras. The visitors also hold the upper hand in the reverse fixture this season, having defeated Chapecoense 2-1 in April.

With Chapecoense struggling to keep opponents at bay and missing several squad members through injury and suspension, Fluminense possess a significant advantage in quality and overall league stability, even while managing absences of their own.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Chapecoense rank 20th in the table with 18 losses from 30 league fixtures and have conceded 62 goals in total.
  2. Fluminense sit fifth with 51 points and won the reverse league meeting 2-1 in April 2026.
  3. Chapecoense have allowed 33 goals across 14 home games, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per home fixture.
  4. Fluminense have drawn six of their 15 away matches in Serie A, making the double chance an appealing option.
  5. Chapecoense are without Kauan through suspension alongside injured players Heitor, Rafael Carvalheira, Robert Conceicao, and Vinicius Balieiro.
Availability

Team news

Chapecoense-sc

  • HeitorHamstring Injury
  • Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
  • Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
  • Vinicius BalieiroKnee Injury
  • KauanYellow Cards

Fluminense

  • AlissonHip Injury
  • John KennedyKnee Injury
  • Matheus ReisKnee Injury
  • J. SavarinoYellow Cards
  • MartinelliInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Chapecoense-sc at homeFluminense away
14
Played
15
2-5-7
W-D-L
3-6-6
1.4
Scored /game
1.3
2.4
Conceded /game
1.5
14%
Clean sheets
7%
21%
Failed to score
20%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Chapecoense-sc at home plus Fluminense away).

Players

Key players this season

Fluminense

  • L. Acosta5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
19RemoRelegation - Serie B31-1526
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B30-3218
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Chapecoense-sc
3
Draws
5
Fluminense

Fluminense have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-04-26Fluminense2-1Chapecoense-sc
  • 2021-12-10Fluminense3-0Chapecoense-sc
  • 2021-09-08Chapecoense-sc1-2Fluminense
  • 2019-10-26Fluminense1-1Chapecoense-SC
  • 2019-06-13Chapecoense-SC1-1Fluminense
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Fluminense or Draw
77%
Confidence

Fluminense hold a 33-point advantage over Chapecoense in the standings and recently secured an impressive 1-0 away win against high-flying Palmeiras. Chapecoense have won only two of their 14 home league matches this season while conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game on their own ground. Although Fluminense have drawn six of their 15 away matches, backing them to take at least a point provides sensible protection against the stalemate, especially with key attacking player J. Savarino suspended and Chapecoense desperate to halt their losing run.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.