Chapecoense-sc

Fluminense hold a 33-point advantage over Chapecoense in the standings and recently secured an impressive 1-0 away win against high-flying Palmeiras. Chapecoense have won only two of their 14 home league matches this season while conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game on their own ground. Although Fluminense have drawn six of their 15 away matches, backing them to take at least a point provides sensible protection against the stalemate, especially with key attacking player J. Savarino suspended and Chapecoense desperate to halt their losing run.

Botafogo have proven resilient on their own ground, suffering only four defeats in 15 home league matches while claiming five wins and six draws. In contrast, Chapecoense-sc have won just once in 15 away fixtures, losing ten times and netting only 11 goals on their travels. While Chapecoense have struggled at the foot of the table with 61 goals conceded overall, Botafogo have drawn six times at home, suggesting the hosts to win or draw is the most robust angle. Head-to-head records also heavily favour Botafogo, who have won seven of the last ten meetings with just one loss in that span.

BTTS Yes — 65% confidence

Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Atletico Paranaense have seen both sides score in each of their last 5 fixtures, scoring 11 goals and conceding 12 across that span. Chapecoense average 1.4 goals scored per game at home and have failed to score in only 3 of their 13 home league matches, but their defensive record of 29 goals conceded in those 13 home games leaves them vulnerable against an attack featuring 19-goal striker K. Viveros.

Atletico Paranaense or Draw — 76% confidence

Atletico Paranaense hold a 32-point advantage over Chapecoense in the standings and have suffered only 7 defeats in 29 league games this season. Chapecoense have won only 2 of their 13 home league fixtures and 3 matches overall in the campaign. Although Atletico Paranaense's away record features 3 draws and 6 losses, covering the away win and draw accounts for the 6 stalemates seen across their last 10 head-to-head meetings while heavily favouring the side chasing continental qualification over the league's basement club.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Atletico Paranaense hold a 32-point advantage over Chapecoense in the standings and have suffered only 7 defeats in 29 league games this season. Chapecoense have won only 2 of their 13 home league fixtures and 3 matches overall in the campaign. Although Atletico Paranaense's away record features 3 draws and 6 losses, covering the away win and draw accounts for the 6 stalemates seen across their last 10 head-to-head meetings while heavily favouring the side chasing continental qualification over the league's basement club.

Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Atletico Paranaense have seen both sides score in each of their last 5 fixtures, scoring 11 goals and conceding 12 across that span. Chapecoense average 1.4 goals scored per game at home and have failed to score in only 3 of their 13 home league matches, but their defensive record of 29 goals conceded in those 13 home games leaves them vulnerable against an attack featuring 19-goal striker K. Viveros.

Vitoria possess one of the stronger home records in the mid-table, taking nine wins and a draw from 14 matches at home while allowing only 0.9 goals against on average. Chapecoense-sc have struggled for victories all season, managing just three overall and one in 14 away attempts. Although Vitoria must manage squad rotation due to several absences including Baralhas, Camutanga, and Riccieli, their ability to control matches at home gives them a decisive edge to take something from this encounter. Combined with an average total goals rate under 2.5 across previous meetings, a low-scoring match where the hosts avoid defeat is the most probable outcome.

Chapecoense-sc have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per match away from home and have failed to keep a single clean sheet on the road in 14 league fixtures. Each of their last five matches across all venues has produced two or more goals, showing a regular pattern of scoring and conceding. Vitoria average 1.3 goals scored at home and feature leading scorer Rene with nine goals, but their recent defensive form has dipped with five goals conceded across their past two home games. While reaching three goals is less certain given Vitoria have nine home clean sheets overall, reaching two goals is well supported by the defensive records and recent trends of both sides.

Atletico-MG to win — 76% confidence

Atletico-MG have lost just once in twelve home league matches this campaign, winning seven and averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. They face a Chapecoense side that sits 20th with nine defeats in thirteen away trips and zero away clean sheets, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

Atletico-MG Over 1.5 Goals — 73% confidence

Atletico-MG have scored at least two goals in each of their last three home fixtures, posting tallies of four against Santos, three against Fluminense, and two against Cruzeiro. Chapecoense concede an average of 1.8 goals per away match and have conceded 52 goals in 26 league fixtures overall.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Atletico-MG have scored at least two goals in each of their last three home fixtures, posting tallies of four against Santos, three against Fluminense, and two against Cruzeiro. Chapecoense concede an average of 1.8 goals per away match and have conceded 52 goals in 26 league fixtures overall.

Atletico-MG have lost just once in twelve home league matches this campaign, winning seven and averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. They face a Chapecoense side that sits 20th with nine defeats in thirteen away trips and zero away clean sheets, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

Matches at Atletico-MG's ground have averaged over three total goals per game this season, with 37 combined goals across twelve matches. Chapecoense's defence averages two goals conceded per match across the entire season, pointing towards another open encounter.

Yes — 63% confidence

Both sides have shown consistent patterns of finding the net while displaying defensive fragility. Internacional have scored in each of their last three games while conceding three goals in each of those fixtures. Chapecoense have conceded 50 goals across 25 league games this season, keeping only two clean sheets at home, which points toward chances at both ends.

Chapecoense-sc or Draw — 68% confidence

Chapecoense have built momentum with two wins from their last three league fixtures, including a 1-0 home victory against Sao Paulo. In contrast, Internacional have lost three consecutive matches while shipping nine goals in the process. With Internacional also missing key defensive personnel through suspensions and injury, backing Chapecoense to secure at least a point at home offers solid coverage.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Chapecoense have built momentum with two wins from their last three league fixtures, including a 1-0 home victory against Sao Paulo. In contrast, Internacional have lost three consecutive matches while shipping nine goals in the process. With Internacional also missing key defensive personnel through suspensions and injury, backing Chapecoense to secure at least a point at home offers solid coverage.

Both sides have shown consistent patterns of finding the net while displaying defensive fragility. Internacional have scored in each of their last three games while conceding three goals in each of those fixtures. Chapecoense have conceded 50 goals across 25 league games this season, keeping only two clean sheets at home, which points toward chances at both ends.

Corinthians or Draw — 78% confidence

Chapecoense have failed to win any of their 12 away league matches this season, suffering nine defeats. While Corinthians are dealing with several absences including suspensions for Gabriel Paulista and Hugo Souza, their home defensive stability and superior head-to-head record position them well to take at least a point.

Under 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Under 2.5 goals has landed in nine of the last ten meetings between these two sides, producing an average of just 1.1 goals per match. Corinthians average one goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home, while Chapecoense average only 0.7 goals scored per away game.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Under 2.5 goals has landed in nine of the last ten meetings between these two sides, producing an average of just 1.1 goals per match. Corinthians average one goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home, while Chapecoense average only 0.7 goals scored per away game.

Chapecoense have failed to win any of their 12 away league matches this season, suffering nine defeats. While Corinthians are dealing with several absences including suspensions for Gabriel Paulista and Hugo Souza, their home defensive stability and superior head-to-head record position them well to take at least a point.

Gremio have been dependable at home with six wins and only two losses in 11 matches, in stark contrast to Chapecoense-sc who have yet to win an away league match this season (0-3-8). Additionally, Chapecoense arrive heavily depleted by injuries and suspensions, while managing just seven goals on their travels. A double chance on the hosts covers the predominant paths to points while keeping variance low.

Chapecoense-sc have won just 1 of their 22 league matches this season and are missing eight squad members, including suspended Victor Caetano and injured Y. Bolasie, Rafael Carvalheira, and Mauricio Garcez. Sao Paulo have already beaten Chapecoense 2-0 earlier in 2026 and have a significantly stronger defensive foundation (26 goals conceded vs 46 conceded by Chapecoense).