Chapecoense-sc have won just 1 of their 22 league matches this season and are missing eight squad members, including suspended Victor Caetano and injured Y. Bolasie, Rafael Carvalheira, and Mauricio Garcez. Sao Paulo have already beaten Chapecoense 2-0 earlier in 2026 and have a significantly stronger defensive foundation (26 goals conceded vs 46 conceded by Chapecoense).
Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 24
- Venue
- Arena Condá, Chapecó
- Referee
- Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -8 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Sao Paulo or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Chapecoense-sc enter this Serie A fixture rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 11 points from 22 matches. Having secured only a single victory all season (1 win, 8 draws, 13 defeats), the hosts are dealing with severe defensive vulnerability, having conceded 46 goals in total and averaging 2.5 goals conceded per match at home.
Sao Paulo sit in 13th place with 27 points from 22 games (7 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses). While their away record has been modest (2 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses), they face an opponent dealing with major squad depletion, as Chapecoense are missing eight players due to injury, illness, and suspension.
The most recent meeting between these sides earlier in the 2026 season saw Sao Paulo claim a 2-0 home victory over Chapecoense-sc. With key striker J. Calleri leading the line with 7 goals on the campaign, the visitors hold the upper hand against a struggling host.
Key factors
- Chapecoense-sc have won only 1 match out of 22 in Serie A this season (1 win, 8 draws, 13 losses).
- Chapecoense-sc have conceded 46 goals in 22 games, including an average of 2.5 goals conceded per home fixture.
- Chapecoense-sc have eight players listed out, including suspended Victor Caetano and injured Y. Bolasie, Rafael Carvalheira, Mauricio Garcez, Robert Conceicao, Max Alves, and Joao Paulo.
- Sao Paulo defeated Chapecoense-sc 2-0 in their most recent meeting on 2026-03-12.
- 70% of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between the two clubs have finished under 2.5 total goals.
Team news
Chapecoense-sc
- HeitorHamstring Injury
- Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
- Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
- Vinicius BalieiroKnee Injury
- KauanYellow Cards
Sao Paulo
- ButaKnee Injury
- D. DuarteKnee Injury
- FerreiraInjury
- N. BosshardtInactive
- CaulyInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Chapecoense-sc at home plus Sao Paulo away).
Key players this season
Sao Paulo
- J. Calleri10G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 | RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 | BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 31 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | InternacionalRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | GremioRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 | RemoRelegation - Serie B | 31 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B | 30 | -32 | 18 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Chapecoense-sc
- 3
- Draws
- 4
- Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.
- 2026-08-23Chapecoense-sc1-0Sao Paulo
- 2026-03-12Sao Paulo2-0Chapecoense-sc
- 2021-10-03Chapecoense-sc1-1Sao Paulo
- 2021-06-16Sao Paulo1-1Chapecoense-sc
- 2019-11-03Chapecoense-SC0-3Sao Paulo
Our record in Serie A
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Understand these picks
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Teams around them in the table
Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

