BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Arena Condá, Chapecó
Referee
Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Chapecoense-sc
17Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -8 goal difference

Sao Paulo
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Sao Paulo or Draw

BetGenius backs Sao Paulo or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Chapecoense-sc enter this Serie A fixture rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 11 points from 22 matches. Having secured only a single victory all season (1 win, 8 draws, 13 defeats), the hosts are dealing with severe defensive vulnerability, having conceded 46 goals in total and averaging 2.5 goals conceded per match at home.

Sao Paulo sit in 13th place with 27 points from 22 games (7 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses). While their away record has been modest (2 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses), they face an opponent dealing with major squad depletion, as Chapecoense are missing eight players due to injury, illness, and suspension.

The most recent meeting between these sides earlier in the 2026 season saw Sao Paulo claim a 2-0 home victory over Chapecoense-sc. With key striker J. Calleri leading the line with 7 goals on the campaign, the visitors hold the upper hand against a struggling host.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Chapecoense-sc have won only 1 match out of 22 in Serie A this season (1 win, 8 draws, 13 losses).
  2. Chapecoense-sc have conceded 46 goals in 22 games, including an average of 2.5 goals conceded per home fixture.
  3. Chapecoense-sc have eight players listed out, including suspended Victor Caetano and injured Y. Bolasie, Rafael Carvalheira, Mauricio Garcez, Robert Conceicao, Max Alves, and Joao Paulo.
  4. Sao Paulo defeated Chapecoense-sc 2-0 in their most recent meeting on 2026-03-12.
  5. 70% of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between the two clubs have finished under 2.5 total goals.
Availability

Team news

Chapecoense-sc

  • HeitorHamstring Injury
  • Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
  • Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
  • Vinicius BalieiroKnee Injury
  • KauanYellow Cards

Sao Paulo

  • ButaKnee Injury
  • D. DuarteKnee Injury
  • FerreiraInjury
  • N. BosshardtInactive
  • CaulyInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Chapecoense-sc at homeSao Paulo away
14
Played
15
2-5-7
W-D-L
2-3-10
1.4
Scored /game
0.7
2.4
Conceded /game
1.5
14%
Clean sheets
7%
21%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Chapecoense-sc at home plus Sao Paulo away).

Players

Key players this season

Sao Paulo

  • J. Calleri10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
19RemoRelegation - Serie B31-1526
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B30-3218
History

Head-to-head

3
Chapecoense-sc
3
Draws
4
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-23Chapecoense-sc1-0Sao Paulo
  • 2026-03-12Sao Paulo2-0Chapecoense-sc
  • 2021-10-03Chapecoense-sc1-1Sao Paulo
  • 2021-06-16Sao Paulo1-1Chapecoense-sc
  • 2019-11-03Chapecoense-SC0-3Sao Paulo
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Sao Paulo or Draw
78%
Confidence

Chapecoense-sc have won just 1 of their 22 league matches this season and are missing eight squad members, including suspended Victor Caetano and injured Y. Bolasie, Rafael Carvalheira, and Mauricio Garcez. Sao Paulo have already beaten Chapecoense 2-0 earlier in 2026 and have a significantly stronger defensive foundation (26 goals conceded vs 46 conceded by Chapecoense).

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.