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Coritiba vs Corinthians prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 10:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee
Anderson Daronco, Brazil

Recent form

Coritiba
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Corinthians
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

A tightly contested Serie A fixture sees 10th-placed Coritiba host 9th-placed Corinthians, with just one point separating the sides in the Copa Sudamericana qualification places. Coritiba enter the match with 31 points from 23 games (8 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses), having drawn 1-1 against Sao Paulo in their previous outing. At home, they have registered 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats while averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

Corinthians sit just above their hosts on 32 points (8 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses) following a 1-0 victory over Rosario Central. On their travels in Serie A, Corinthians have shown defensive resilience, recording a 3-5-3 record with 12 goals scored and 12 conceded across 11 games (averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game). However, they will have to adjust without key assist leader R. Garro due to suspension and Yuri Alberto due to injury.

Given the tight margins in the standings, defensive averages around 1.1 to 1.3 goals conceded per game for both sides, and key attacking absences, this matchup is primed to be a low-scoring, cagey affair.

Key factors

  • Corinthians are missing key creator R. Garro through suspension and forward Yuri Alberto through injury.
  • Coritiba average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home fixture across 11 matches.
  • Corinthians have kept 10 clean sheets overall this season and concede only 1.1 goals per away match.
  • Only one point separates 9th-placed Corinthians (32 points) and 10th-placed Coritiba (31 points) in the table.
  • Coritiba won the most recent encounter 2-0 against Corinthians in March 2026.

Team news

Coritiba

  • Lucas RonierKnee Injury
  • B. OcampoInjury
  • TingaInjury
  • JacyInjury
  • Tiago CoserYellow Cards
  • Pedro RangelInactive

Corinthians

  • AndreMuscle Injury
  • KaykeKnee Injury
  • Z. LabyadKnee Injury
  • VitinhoKnee Injury
  • Yuri AlbertoMuscle Injury
  • Gabriel PaulistaYellow Cards
  • Hugo SouzaYellow Cards
  • RanieleYellow Cards
  • Andre RamalhoInactive

Statistical comparison

Coritiba at home vs Corinthians away
12
Played
12
5-3-4
W-D-L
3-5-4
1.3
Scored /game
1.1
1.2
Conceded /game
1.2
17%
Clean sheets
33%
25%
Failed to score
17%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Coritiba at home plus Corinthians away).

Key players this season

Coritiba

  • Pedro Rocha8G
  • Breno Lopes8G
  • Josué9A

Corinthians

  • R. Garro6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
6CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26+142
7CoritibaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-137
8Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+236
9RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+335
10Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+333
11VitoriaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-1232
12Corinthians26032
13Santos25-132
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628

Head-to-head

Full record →
Coritiba
2
Draws
2
Corinthians
6

Corinthians have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-23Coritiba 2-1 Corinthians
  • 2026-03-12Corinthians 0-2 Coritiba
  • 2023-12-07Coritiba 0-2 Corinthians
  • 2023-08-13Corinthians 3-1 Coritiba
  • 2022-11-08Coritiba 2-2 Corinthians

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

Both teams exhibit low scoring and conceding averages: Coritiba average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Corinthians average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded away. Furthermore, Corinthians will be without primary playmaker R. Garro (6 assists) and Yuri Alberto, reducing their offensive output.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.