Corinthians

Corinthians or Draw — 78% confidence

Chapecoense have failed to win any of their 12 away league matches this season, suffering nine defeats. While Corinthians are dealing with several absences including suspensions for Gabriel Paulista and Hugo Souza, their home defensive stability and superior head-to-head record position them well to take at least a point.

Under 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Under 2.5 goals has landed in nine of the last ten meetings between these two sides, producing an average of just 1.1 goals per match. Corinthians average one goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home, while Chapecoense average only 0.7 goals scored per away game.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Under 2.5 goals has landed in nine of the last ten meetings between these two sides, producing an average of just 1.1 goals per match. Corinthians average one goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home, while Chapecoense average only 0.7 goals scored per away game.

Chapecoense have failed to win any of their 12 away league matches this season, suffering nine defeats. While Corinthians are dealing with several absences including suspensions for Gabriel Paulista and Hugo Souza, their home defensive stability and superior head-to-head record position them well to take at least a point.

Corinthians have maintained a resilient home defensive record, allowing only 0.8 goals per match and keeping six clean sheets in 12 home league outings. In contrast, Santos have managed just one victory in 10 away league games this season. With Corinthians also unbeaten in their last four home head-to-head encounters against Santos, backing the hosts on the double chance offers a well-supported probability profile.

Both teams exhibit low scoring and conceding averages: Coritiba average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Corinthians average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded away. Furthermore, Corinthians will be without primary playmaker R. Garro (6 assists) and Yuri Alberto, reducing their offensive output.