BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 20
Venue
A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Referee
J. Frischer
Form

Recent form

FC Levadia Tallinn
98Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +17 goal difference

Tammeka
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
FC Levadia Tallinn to win

BetGenius backs FC Levadia Tallinn to win (Match Winner) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

84%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

FC Levadia Tallinn enter this fixture at the summit of the Meistriliiga table, holding a 16-point cushion at the top with 68 points from 27 matches. The league leaders have maintained exceptional form across the campaign, having suffered only one defeat in 27 league outings while scoring 74 goals and conceding just 20. Their recent performances show five consecutive victories across all competitions, including high-scoring home wins of 4-0 against Kuressaare and 4-0 against Vaprus.

Tammeka occupy fifth place in the standings with 44 points from their 27 fixtures, holding a balanced record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses. While they have secured three wins in their last five matches, their defensive numbers remain vulnerable with 38 goals conceded over the season and an away concession rate of 1.7 goals per game.

Head-to-head records strongly favor the hosts, as Levadia have claimed nine victories and one draw across the previous ten meetings between the sides, winning all five encounters staged at home.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Levadia have recorded 21 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat in 27 league matches, scoring 74 goals.
  2. Levadia have won 9 of the past 10 meetings against Tammeka, including all 5 encounters at home.
  3. Levadia have not failed to score in any of their 27 league fixtures this season.
  4. Tammeka have conceded 24 goals in 14 away matches, averaging 1.7 goals conceded per road trip.
  5. Levadia have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 home league games while conceding only 7 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

FC Levadia Tallinn at homeTammeka away
13
Played
14
9-3-1
W-D-L
7-1-6
3.1
Scored /game
1.4
0.5
Conceded /game
1.7
62%
Clean sheets
36%
0%
Failed to score
21%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 4.5 goals per game (FC Levadia Tallinn at home plus Tammeka away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
History

Head-to-head

9
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
Draws
0
Tammeka

FC Levadia Tallinn have won 9 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-05-30Tammeka0-1FC Levadia Tallinn
  • 2026-04-22Tammeka1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
  • 2026-02-08FC Levadia Tallinn4-2Tammeka
  • 2025-10-05FC Levadia Tallinn3-0Tammeka
  • 2025-09-13Tammeka2-2FC Levadia Tallinn
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
FC Levadia Tallinn to win
84%
Confidence

Levadia possess a clear advantage across every statistical metric. The league leaders average 3.1 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match on home soil, where they have secured 9 wins from 13 games. They have not failed to score in any home or away league match this season. Furthermore, the historical matchup exhibits complete dominance, with Levadia winning 9 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Tammeka, including a 100 percent win rate across the five home clashes in that sample. Given Tammeka concede 1.7 goals per match on their travels and Levadia arrive on a prolonged winning run, the home side is well positioned to secure the win.

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Published September 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.