Tammeka

Paide have consistently held the upper hand in this match-up, winning eight of the last nine meetings against Tammeka, including four consecutive away wins at this venue. While Tammeka have shown solid form with four wins in their last five outings, Paide have demonstrated strong resilience on the road, avoiding defeat in 10 of their 13 away league matches. With Paide averaging 1.8 goals scored per away match and Tammeka finding the net regularly, backing Paide to win or draw represents the most probable path in a closely matched encounter.

Laagri’s home record (1.8 goals scored per game, 5 clean sheets) and a favourable head‑to‑head trend at this ground give them a solid chance to pick up at least a point. Tammeka are in good form but have struggled to score on the road in recent games, which reduces the likelihood of a Laagri loss. The combination of Laagka’s home edge and Tammeka’s modest away attack supports a double‑chance on the home side. The same data set shows that 80 % of the last ten meetings produced over 2.5 goals, justifying an over‑2.5 total.

Both teams finding the net is strongly supported by historical trends and current defensive metrics. Nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Flora Tallinn and Tammeka have seen both sides score, producing an average of 3.3 goals per game. Flora Tallinn maintain a reliable home scoring average of 2.1 goals per match, failing to score only once in 12 home league matches this season. However, Flora have conceded 12 goals across their last five matches in all competitions. Tammeka enter having won five consecutive games and scored in each, including three goals against Flora just a week ago.

Tammeka carry solid momentum into this clash with four consecutive victories, demonstrating consistent scoring and defensive organisation. In contrast, Trans Narva have lost 17 of their 24 league matches this season, conceding 55 goals in total. While Narva's home record shows occasional resilience, backing Tammeka via Double Chance provides solid coverage against a potential stalemate.

Flora Tallinn sit 10 points ahead of Tammeka in third place and possess the division's higher scoring rate (2.0 goals per game overall, 1.8 away). While Tammeka won the last head-to-head meeting 3-1, Flora have won seven of the past 10 meetings between the sides. Given Tammeka's solid home record of six wins in 11 matches, covering the double chance on Flora Tallinn provides the best balance of safety and probability.