BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Referee
K. Laane
Form

Recent form

Kuressaare
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Tammeka
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Tammeka or Draw

BetGenius backs Tammeka or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kuressaare host Tammeka in Meistriliiga action at Kuressaare linnastaadion with both clubs occupying opposite ends of the standings. The hosts sit in ninth place on 28 points, firmly in the relegation zone, having won eight of their 27 fixtures and conceded 46 goals. Recent weeks have shown flashes of competitiveness, including a 3-1 home victory over Trans Narva, but defensive vulnerabilities were evident again in their latest 4-0 defeat against Levadia Tallinn.

Tammeka travel sitting fifth in the table on 41 points from 26 matches. They have shown steady form across the season, collecting six wins from 13 away trips and recording nine clean sheets overall. Despite a recent 2-0 home loss to Paide, Tammeka have won three of their last five matches, including away victories at Laagri and Trans Narva.

Head-to-head history heavily favours the visitors, with Tammeka claiming six victories in the last ten meetings between the sides, including two 1-0 league wins already in 2026. Kuressaare's home record of five wins, three draws, and five losses suggests they can compete, but Tammeka's defensive stability gives them the upper hand.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Tammeka have won six of the last ten head-to-head encounters against Kuressaare, including both meetings earlier in 2026 by 1-0.
  2. Kuressaare sit ninth in the table having lost 15 of 27 league matches, conceding 46 goals.
  3. Tammeka have collected six wins on the road this season while recording nine clean sheets overall.
  4. Head-to-head meetings between these sides average 1.9 goals, with 70 percent producing under 2.5 goals.
  5. Kuressaare have failed to score in 13 of their 27 league fixtures this season.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kuressaare at homeTammeka away
14
Played
14
5-3-6
W-D-L
7-1-6
1.3
Scored /game
1.4
1.6
Conceded /game
1.7
14%
Clean sheets
36%
43%
Failed to score
21%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Kuressaare at home plus Tammeka away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga33-4920
History

Head-to-head

2
Kuressaare
2
Draws
6
Tammeka

Tammeka have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-22Tammeka1-0Kuressaare
  • 2026-05-08Tammeka1-0Kuressaare
  • 2026-03-14Kuressaare3-2Tammeka
  • 2025-09-26Tammeka0-1Kuressaare
  • 2025-07-11Kuressaare0-2Tammeka
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Tammeka or Draw
72%
Confidence

Tammeka hold a 13-point advantage over Kuressaare in the league standings and have won six of the last ten meetings between the two clubs. Tammeka have already defeated Kuressaare twice in 2026 by 1-0 scorelines. Kuressaare have lost 15 of their 27 league fixtures this season and failed to score in 13 matches, making the away win or draw a well-supported outcome. In addition, head-to-head encounters average only 1.9 goals per game with 70 percent staying under 2.5 goals.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.