Laagri’s home record (1.8 goals scored per game, 5 clean sheets) and a favourable head‑to‑head trend at this ground give them a solid chance to pick up at least a point. Tammeka are in good form but have struggled to score on the road in recent games, which reduces the likelihood of a Laagri loss. The combination of Laagka’s home edge and Tammeka’s modest away attack supports a double‑chance on the home side. The same data set shows that 80 % of the last ten meetings produced over 2.5 goals, justifying an over‑2.5 total.
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference
Our verdict
SolidBetGenius backs Laagri or Draw (Double Chance) at 62% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Laagri host Tammeka in the 26th round of the Meistriliiga. Laagri sit sixth with 31 points, while Tammeka are fifth with 38 points. Both sides have similar goal‑scoring records this season – Laagri average 1.8 goals at home and concede 1.5, Tammeka average 1.3 on the road and concede 1.9.\n\nLaagri have won three of their last five home games but also lost two, whereas Tammeka come into the match on a four‑match winning streak, including three recent away victories. Historically Laagri have the edge at home – three wins, one loss and one draw in their five meetings at this venue – but Tammeka dominate the overall head‑to‑head record, winning six of ten encounters.\n\nGoal‑rich games are common in this fixture history: the last ten meetings produced an average of 3.2 goals and 80 % went over 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown the ability to score, yet recent matches suggest a modest total might be possible.\n\nGiven Laagri’s home advantage and the tight gap in the table, the safest bet is to back Laagri to avoid defeat while the goal tally is likely to exceed 2.5.
Key factors
- Laagri have a better home record (1.8 GF, 1.5 GA) than Tammeka’s away record (1.3 GF, 1.9 GA)
- Tammeka are on a four‑match winning streak but have scored only once in their two most recent away games
- Head‑to‑head at Laagri’s ground: Laagri 3‑1‑1 in the last five matches
- 80 % of the last ten meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Statistical comparison
Laagri at home vs Tammeka awayCombined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Laagri at home plus Tammeka away).
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 27 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | Kalju NommePromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 27 | +21 | 44 |
| 4 | Paide | 25 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 25 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Laagri | 26 | -7 | 31 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 25 | -12 | 31 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 27 | -18 | 28 |
| 9 | KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation) | 26 | -12 | 28 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Tammeka have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-07-05Tammeka 2-1 Laagri
- 2026-04-25Laagri 1-0 Tammeka
- 2025-10-22Laagri 2-2 Tammeka
- 2025-08-31Tammeka 3-0 Laagri
- 2025-06-13Tammeka 2-1 Laagri
Our record in Meistriliiga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.