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Wed 9 Sept · 17:00

Tammeka vs Paide prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 27
Venue: Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Referee: M. Pukk

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Tammeka

60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Paide

60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Paide or Draw

BetGenius backs Paide or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

70%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

A direct battle for fourth place takes centre stage in the Meistriliiga as fifth-placed Tammeka host fourth-placed Paide. Only a single point separates the two sides after 25 rounds, with Paide holding 42 points and Tammeka sitting on 41 points.

Tammeka enter the clash in positive form, having secured four victories in their last five league outings, including home wins over Flora Tallinn and Kuressaare. Their home record stands at seven wins, one draw, and four defeats, with a positive goal difference on home soil.

Paide have built a resilient away profile over the campaign, suffering just three losses across 13 road fixtures with five wins and five draws. Furthermore, historical encounters heavily favor Paide, who have claimed victory in eight of the previous nine head-to-head meetings between these clubs, including four consecutive triumphs at Tammeka.

Analysis

Key factors

Paide have won eight of their previous nine head-to-head meetings with Tammeka across all competitions.
Paide have been beaten only three times in 13 away league matches this season, earning five wins and five draws.
Only one point separates fourth-placed Paide (42 points) from fifth-placed Tammeka (41 points) in the standings.
Paide average 1.8 goals scored per game on their travels, scoring 23 times across 13 away fixtures.
Tammeka were defeated 4-1 at home by Paide in their league encounter earlier this season.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Tammeka at homePaide away

Played

7-1-5

W-D-L

6-5-3

1.2

Scored /game

1.8

1.1

Conceded /game

1.5

31%

Clean sheets

14%

31%

Failed to score

40%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Tammeka at home plus Paide away).

Players

Key players this season

Paide

Daniel Cabral5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)	32	+65	81
2	Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	33	+16	58
3	PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	32	+13	57
4	Kalju Nomme	32	+21	51
5	Tammeka	33	-5	50
6	Laagri	33	0	47
7	Vaprus	33	-22	36
8	Kuressaare	32	-17	35

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Tammeka: 0
Draws: 8
Paide

Paide have won 8 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

2026-09-09Tammeka0-2Paide
2026-05-01Paide0-1Tammeka
2026-04-12Tammeka1-4Paide
2025-10-29Paide3-0Tammeka
2025-10-18Paide5-0Tammeka

BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Paide or Draw

70%

Confidence

Paide have consistently held the upper hand in this match-up, winning eight of the last nine meetings against Tammeka, including four consecutive away wins at this venue. While Tammeka have shown solid form with four wins in their last five outings, Paide have demonstrated strong resilience on the road, avoiding defeat in 10 of their 13 away league matches. With Paide averaging 1.8 goals scored per away match and Tammeka finding the net regularly, backing Paide to win or draw represents the most probable path in a closely matched encounter.

Explore

Tammeka vs Paide prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Paide

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Meistriliiga

1 published market

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