BetGenius

Tammeka vs Paide prediction

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MeistriliigaMeistriliiga
Kickoff
Wed, Sep 9, 04:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 27
Venue
Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Referee
M. Pukk

Recent form

Tammeka
74Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Paide
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Paide or Draw
Confidence70%

BetGenius backs Paide or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

A direct battle for fourth place takes centre stage in the Meistriliiga as fifth-placed Tammeka host fourth-placed Paide. Only a single point separates the two sides after 25 rounds, with Paide holding 42 points and Tammeka sitting on 41 points.

Tammeka enter the clash in positive form, having secured four victories in their last five league outings, including home wins over Flora Tallinn and Kuressaare. Their home record stands at seven wins, one draw, and four defeats, with a positive goal difference on home soil.

Paide have built a resilient away profile over the campaign, suffering just three losses across 13 road fixtures with five wins and five draws. Furthermore, historical encounters heavily favor Paide, who have claimed victory in eight of the previous nine head-to-head meetings between these clubs, including four consecutive triumphs at Tammeka.

Key factors

  • Paide have won eight of their previous nine head-to-head meetings with Tammeka across all competitions.
  • Paide have been beaten only three times in 13 away league matches this season, earning five wins and five draws.
  • Only one point separates fourth-placed Paide (42 points) from fifth-placed Tammeka (41 points) in the standings.
  • Paide average 1.8 goals scored per game on their travels, scoring 23 times across 13 away fixtures.
  • Tammeka were defeated 4-1 at home by Paide in their league encounter earlier this season.

Statistical comparison

Tammeka at home vs Paide away
12
Played
13
7-1-4
W-D-L
5-5-3
1.3
Scored /game
1.8
1
Conceded /game
1.6
33%
Clean sheets
8%
25%
Failed to score
8%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Tammeka at home plus Paide away).

Key players this season

Paide

  • Daniel Cabral5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)25+4662
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)27+1849
3Kalju NommePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)27+2144
4Paide25+742
5Tammeka25-241
6Laagri26-731
7Vaprus25-1231
8Nõmme United27-1828

Head-to-head

Full record →
Tammeka
1
Draws
0
Paide
8

Paide have won 8 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game.

  • 2026-05-01Paide 0-1 Tammeka
  • 2026-04-12Tammeka 1-4 Paide
  • 2025-10-29Paide 3-0 Tammeka
  • 2025-10-18Paide 5-0 Tammeka
  • 2025-08-23Tammeka 0-1 Paide

Our record in Meistriliiga

48%12 won from 25 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Paide or Draw
Confidence70%

Paide have consistently held the upper hand in this match-up, winning eight of the last nine meetings against Tammeka, including four consecutive away wins at this venue. While Tammeka have shown solid form with four wins in their last five outings, Paide have demonstrated strong resilience on the road, avoiding defeat in 10 of their 13 away league matches. With Paide averaging 1.8 goals scored per away match and Tammeka finding the net regularly, backing Paide to win or draw represents the most probable path in a closely matched encounter.

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FC Levadia TallinnFlora TallinnKalju NommeLaagriVaprusNõmme United
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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.