BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 13
Venue
Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Referee
R. Maalinn
Form

Recent form

Tammeka
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Flora Tallinn
54Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Flora Tallinn or Draw

BetGenius backs Flora Tallinn or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Tammeka host Flora Tallinn in a Meistriliiga clash with both sides aiming to solidify their respective league ambitions. Tammeka currently occupy fifth place in the standings with 32 points from 21 matches, having built positive momentum through three consecutive 1-0 victories in their recent fixtures. At home, Tammeka have recorded six wins, one draw, and four defeats, showing defensive resilience with four clean sheets.

Flora Tallinn travel to Tartu sitting third in the table with 42 points from 22 games, firmly in the European qualification positions. The visitors have been remarkably decisive this season, recording 14 wins and eight defeats without a single draw across all 22 league fixtures. Away from home, Flora have maintained a strong record with eight victories from 11 matches while scoring 20 goals on the road.

Head-to-head history favours Flora Tallinn, who have won seven of the last 10 encounters between the two clubs. Although Tammeka secured a 3-1 victory in their most recent meeting in April 2026, Flora's attacking output of 44 goals overall and strong away winning record give them a slight edge in what is typically an open matchup.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Flora Tallinn have won 8 of their 11 away league matches this season, scoring 20 goals.
  2. Flora Tallinn have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Tammeka.
  3. Head-to-head meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of the last 10 encounters.
  4. Flora Tallinn have zero draws across 22 league matches, recording 14 wins and 8 defeats.
  5. Tammeka enter the match on a three-game winning streak, keeping clean sheets in all three victories.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Tammeka at homeFlora Tallinn away
13
Played
15
7-1-5
W-D-L
9-1-5
1.2
Scored /game
1.7
1.1
Conceded /game
1.5
31%
Clean sheets
27%
31%
Failed to score
20%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Tammeka at home plus Flora Tallinn away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
History

Head-to-head

3
Tammeka
0
Draws
7
Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 90% of them.

  • 2026-08-26Tammeka3-1Flora Tallinn
  • 2026-04-03Tammeka3-1Flora Tallinn
  • 2025-09-20Flora Tallinn2-1Tammeka
  • 2025-07-20Tammeka1-2Flora Tallinn
  • 2025-05-30Flora Tallinn3-1Tammeka
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Flora Tallinn or Draw
75%
Confidence

Flora Tallinn sit 10 points ahead of Tammeka in third place and possess the division's higher scoring rate (2.0 goals per game overall, 1.8 away). While Tammeka won the last head-to-head meeting 3-1, Flora have won seven of the past 10 meetings between the sides. Given Tammeka's solid home record of six wins in 11 matches, covering the double chance on Flora Tallinn provides the best balance of safety and probability.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published August 26, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.