BetGenius

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama prediction

Checking status…
Serie ASerie A
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 07:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 27

Recent form

Gremio
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Vasco DA Gama
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Gremio or Draw
Confidence78%

BetGenius backs Gremio or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Gremio welcome Vasco DA Gama to the Arena do Gremio for round 27 of Serie A in a fixture carrying significant weight in the bottom half of the standings. Gremio sit 15th on 28 points, aiming to build a cushion away from the relegation places. Their home record has been their main source of stability this season, having won seven and drawn three of their 12 league matches on familiar turf.

Vasco DA Gama enter the matchday in 17th position on 25 points, currently occupying a relegation spot. While they have secured positive home results recently, their travels remain a primary concern, as they have yet to record an away victory in 12 league attempts this campaign, managing five draws and seven defeats.

Key factors

  • Gremio have collected seven wins and three draws from 12 home matches in Serie A, suffering only two defeats.
  • Vasco DA Gama are winless away from home in the league this season, holding a record of zero wins, five draws, and seven losses.
  • Gremio have won each of their last five home meetings against Vasco DA Gama.
  • Vasco DA Gama have conceded 22 goals across 12 away league fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per away match.
  • Vasco DA Gama arrive with five squad members sidelined through injury, including Jair, Cuiabano, and Adson.

Team news

Gremio

  • J. CabralMuscle Injury
  • DodiKnee Injury
  • C. PavonYellow Cards
  • F. AmuzuInactive

Vasco DA Gama

  • BrennerKnee Injury
  • CuiabanoMuscle Injury
  • JairMuscle Injury
  • Mateus CarvalhoKnee Injury
  • AdsonInjury

Statistical comparison

Gremio at home vs Vasco DA Gama away
12
Played
12
7-3-2
W-D-L
0-5-7
1.8
Scored /game
0.9
1.2
Conceded /game
1.8
25%
Clean sheets
8%
17%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Gremio at home plus Vasco DA Gama away).

Key players this season

Gremio

  • Carlos Vinícius10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
12Corinthians26032
13Santos25-132
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325
18InternacionalRelegation - Serie B26-625
19RemoRelegation - Serie B26-1323
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B25-2317

Head-to-head

Full record →
Gremio
5
Draws
2
Vasco DA Gama
3

Gremio have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-22Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Gremio
  • 2025-11-20Gremio 2-0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-07-19Vasco DA Gama 1-1 Gremio
  • 2024-07-28Gremio 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-04-14Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Gremio

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Gremio or Draw
Confidence78%

Gremio have built a reliable home platform, securing seven wins and three draws from 12 league fixtures on their own ground while scoring 21 goals. Vasco DA Gama have struggled consistently on the road, remaining winless away from home in Serie A this season with seven losses and five draws from 12 outings. In addition, Gremio have won all five previous home head-to-head encounters against Vasco in the sample, making the home double chance strongly supported by the data.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.