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Sun 6 Sept · 13:30

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Follow HeerenveenFollow AZ AlkmaarFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Referee
Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Heerenveen
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +5 goal difference

AZ Alkmaar
70Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar or Draw

BetGenius backs AZ Alkmaar or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar travel to face Heerenveen in commanding form, sitting at the top of the Eredivisie table with four wins from their opening four matches. The visitors have displayed sharp attacking potency, netting 13 goals across those fixtures behind key contributions from R. Daal, M. Chavez, and C. Stengs, while conceding only three times.

Heerenveen sit in 11th position with five points from four games, having collected one win, two draws, and one defeat. While they secured a 1-0 home victory against Twente and a 2-2 draw away to Ajax, a 2-0 home defeat against PEC Zwolle exposed defensive frailties that the league leaders are well equipped to test.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. AZ Alkmaar lead the Eredivisie with a perfect record of four wins from four matches and a plus-10 goal difference.
  2. AZ Alkmaar average 3.25 goals scored per game, with R. Daal contributing three goals and M. Chavez providing three assists.
  3. Heerenveen have won only one of their four league games, holding a goal difference of minus-one.
  4. The last ten meetings between these two clubs have produced an average of 3.9 goals per match, with 70 percent exceeding 2.5 goals.
  5. Heerenveen are without M. Egbring, M. Hilgers, and M. Linday, while AZ Alkmaar are missing D. Kasius and S. Resink.
Availability

Team news

Heerenveen

  • D. ProperHamstring Injury

AZ Alkmaar

  • J. HornkampInjury
  • S. ResinkKnee Injury
  • K. SmitInjury
  • J. ClasieKnock
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Heerenveen at homeAZ Alkmaar away
5
Played
5
2-1-2
W-D-L
3-1-1
1.4
Scored /game
2.2
1
Conceded /game
1.4
60%
Clean sheets
20%
40%
Failed to score
20%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Heerenveen at home plus AZ Alkmaar away).

Players

Key players this season

AZ Alkmaar

  • M. Chávez3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FeyenoordPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+2123
2AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)9+1020
3PSV EindhovenPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1519
4AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+1518
5TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+717
6Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9-115
7GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+314
8Heerenveen9+412
9GO Ahead Eagles9-111
10Excelsior9-211
11Utrecht9-1011
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Heerenveen
2
Draws
6
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-09-06Heerenveen2-3AZ Alkmaar
  • 2026-04-12AZ Alkmaar3-0Heerenveen
  • 2025-11-23Heerenveen3-1AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-05-22AZ Alkmaar4-1Heerenveen
  • 2025-03-02Heerenveen3-1AZ Alkmaar
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

73%59 won from 81 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar or Draw
77%
Confidence

AZ Alkmaar enter this clash with four straight league victories, having won both away fixtures with a combined scoreline of 6-1. Their offensive unit has produced 13 goals in four games, and they have conceded only 0.5 goals per match on the road. Heerenveen have been inconsistent at home, scoring only once across two fixtures and conceding twice. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers Heerenveen's demonstrated ability to secure points in draws against Ajax and Willem II while strongly favouring the league leaders' dominant early-season form.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.