Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

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Eredivisie

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 6, 12:30 PM

Round

Regular Season - 5

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Referee

Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands

Recent form

Heerenveen

50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

AZ Alkmaar

98Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +14 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong

Market

Double Chance

Pick

AZ Alkmaar or Draw

Confidence77%

BetGenius backs AZ Alkmaar or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar travel to face Heerenveen in commanding form, sitting at the top of the Eredivisie table with four wins from their opening four matches. The visitors have displayed sharp attacking potency, netting 13 goals across those fixtures behind key contributions from R. Daal, M. Chavez, and C. Stengs, while conceding only three times.

Heerenveen sit in 11th position with five points from four games, having collected one win, two draws, and one defeat. While they secured a 1-0 home victory against Twente and a 2-2 draw away to Ajax, a 2-0 home defeat against PEC Zwolle exposed defensive frailties that the league leaders are well equipped to test.

Key factors

AZ Alkmaar lead the Eredivisie with a perfect record of four wins from four matches and a plus-10 goal difference.
AZ Alkmaar average 3.25 goals scored per game, with R. Daal contributing three goals and M. Chavez providing three assists.
Heerenveen have won only one of their four league games, holding a goal difference of minus-one.
The last ten meetings between these two clubs have produced an average of 3.9 goals per match, with 70 percent exceeding 2.5 goals.
Heerenveen are without M. Egbring, M. Hilgers, and M. Linday, while AZ Alkmaar are missing D. Kasius and S. Resink.

Team news

Heerenveen

M. EgbringInjury
M. HilgersKnee Injury

M. LindayInactive

AZ Alkmaar

D. KasiusGroin Injury
S. ResinkKnee Injury

Statistical comparison

Heerenveen at home vs AZ Alkmaar away

Played

1-0-1

W-D-L

2-0-0

—

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Key players this season

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal4G
M. Chávez3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (League phase)	5	+11	15
2	PSV EindhovenPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)	5	+12	13
3	FeyenoordPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)	5	+6	11
4	ExcelsiorPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)	5	+7	10
9	NEC Nijmegen	5	+2	7
10	Groningen	5	-1	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	5
12	Heerenveen	5	-2	5
13	Telstar	4	-5	4
14	PEC Zwolle	5	-4	4
15	Utrecht	5	-9	2

Head-to-head

Full record →

Heerenveen

Draws

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

2026-09-06Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar
2026-04-12AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen
2025-11-23Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
2025-05-22AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Heerenveen
2025-03-02Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

Our record in Eredivisie

92%24 won from 26 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Market

Double Chance

Pick

AZ Alkmaar or Draw

Confidence77%

AZ Alkmaar enter this clash with four straight league victories, having won both away fixtures with a combined scoreline of 6-1. Their offensive unit has produced 13 goals in four games, and they have conceded only 0.5 goals per match on the road. Heerenveen have been inconsistent at home, scoring only once across two fixtures and conceding twice. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers Heerenveen's demonstrated ability to secure points in draws against Ajax and Willem II while strongly favouring the league leaders' dominant early-season form.

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

AZ Alkmaar

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Eredivisie

1 published market

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