Utrecht matches have been high-scoring this season, producing a total of 42 goals across nine games at an average of 4.67 per match. Utrecht have failed to record a single clean sheet while averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded at home. PEC Zwolle have conceded 22 goals in nine matches and scored four in their latest game, making a high goal count likely.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 10
- Venue
- Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
- Referee
- Martijn Vos
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · -1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -8 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Utrecht welcome PEC Zwolle to Stadion Galgenwaard looking to extend a positive run of momentum in the Eredivisie. Utrecht have claimed consecutive league victories over Willem II (3-1) and Twente (2-1), lifting themselves to 11th in the table with 11 points from nine matches. However, defensive vulnerability remains a persistent concern for the hosts, who are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and have conceded an average of 3.5 goals per home match.
PEC Zwolle sit 15th with seven points after enduring a difficult opening stretch that includes six defeats in nine matches. They did manage a morale-boosting 4-1 home victory over Go Ahead Eagles in their previous outing, though their away form has yielded only one win in four attempts. Their defensive record is also fragile, having allowed 22 goals in nine league fixtures.
Head-to-head history favours the hosts in this venue, with Utrecht remaining unbeaten in their last five home encounters against PEC Zwolle, recording three wins and two draws. Both sides display potent attacking moments combined with porous backlines, setting the stage for an open, eventful encounter.
Key factors
- Utrecht have gone without a clean sheet in all nine Eredivisie fixtures this season, conceding 26 goals in total.
- PEC Zwolle have suffered six defeats in nine league matches, conceding 22 goals.
- Utrecht are undefeated in their last five home matches against PEC Zwolle with three wins and two draws.
- Utrecht have scored in eight of their nine league games this season, averaging two goals per game at home.
- Both teams enter the match missing key players, with Utrecht without six injured squad members and Zwolle missing three.
Team news
Utrecht
- A. EngwandaHamstring Injury
- V. JensenKnee Injury
- M. JonathansKnee Injury
- N. OhioKnee Injury
- K. ParedesKnee Injury
- A. StepanovAnkle Injury
- V. BarkasInactive
- M. BroholmInactive
PEC Zwolle
- F. KrastevAchilles Tendon Injury
- Y. NamliKnee Injury
- S. FloranusInjury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Utrecht at home plus PEC Zwolle away).
Key players this season
PEC Zwolle
- D. Mbayo4A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 9 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 9 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | TelstarEredivisie (Relegation) | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | ADO Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem IIRelegation - Eerste Divisie | 9 | -17 | 2 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Utrecht
- 5
- Draws
- 1
- PEC Zwolle
Utrecht have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.
- 2026-02-22Utrecht1-1PEC Zwolle
- 2025-08-31PEC Zwolle0-2Utrecht
- 2025-02-01PEC Zwolle3-3Utrecht
- 2024-08-11Utrecht1-0PEC Zwolle
- 2024-04-03Utrecht5-1PEC Zwolle
Our record in Eredivisie
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Utrecht have won their last two Eredivisie matches, beating Willem II 3-1 and Twente 2-1. They also boast an unbeaten record across their last five home meetings with PEC Zwolle, taking three victories and two draws. PEC Zwolle have lost six of their nine league matches this season, making the home side well-positioned to take at least a point.
Utrecht or Draw — 74% confidence
Utrecht have won their last two Eredivisie matches, beating Willem II 3-1 and Twente 2-1. They also boast an unbeaten record across their last five home meetings with PEC Zwolle, taking three victories and two draws. PEC Zwolle have lost six of their nine league matches this season, making the home side well-positioned to take at least a point.
Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence
Utrecht matches have been high-scoring this season, producing a total of 42 goals across nine games at an average of 4.67 per match. Utrecht have failed to record a single clean sheet while averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded at home. PEC Zwolle have conceded 22 goals in nine matches and scored four in their latest game, making a high goal count likely.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Over 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 predictions · How goals markets settle · Over 2.5 record
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
- Combo bet: Multi bets · How multi bets work
Other Eredivisie predictions
Teams around them in the table
Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

