BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok
Referee
Damian Kos
Form

Recent form

Jagiellonia
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Wisla Plock
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Wisla Plock or Draw

BetGenius backs Wisla Plock or Draw (Double Chance) at 67% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

67%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Round 12 of the Ekstraklasa brings together two sides currently separated by two points in the mid-table pack, as 13th-placed Jagiellonia host 10th-placed Wisla Plock. The hosts have struggled to find consistency this season, compiling a record of four wins and six defeats through their opening 10 league fixtures, leaving them on 12 points.

Jagiellonia come into this clash on the back of a demanding schedule and a sharp dip in results, having lost four of their last five fixtures across all competitions. That run includes consecutive home defeats against Polonia Warszawa, Gornik Zabrze, and Anderlecht. Their defensive stability has wavered at home, where they have conceded nine goals in five league outings, compounded by the absence of several squad members through injury including D. Drachal, C. Polak, D. Rallis, and Z. Zalewski.

Wisla Plock, meanwhile, arrive with momentum on their side after claiming four wins from their last five matches in all competitions. While their away league form has yielded 12 goals conceded in six games, their ability to create chances has kept them competitive, evidenced by a 2-0 away victory at Zaglebie Lubin. Having also won 2-1 on their last visit to Bialystok in March 2026, the visitors have recent positive memories to draw upon.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Jagiellonia have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions, including three consecutive home defeats.
  2. Wisla Plock have found form with four wins in their last five competitive matches, including an away victory at Zaglebie Lubin.
  3. Jagiellonia are missing multiple players through injury, with D. Drachal, C. Polak, D. Rallis, and Z. Zalewski all sidelined alongside the inactive N. Wojtuszek.
  4. Defensive records are fragile on both sides, with Jagiellonia conceding 1.8 goals per home league match and Wisla Plock conceding 2.0 goals per away league match.
  5. Head-to-head history heavily favours goals, with 66.7 percent of the last nine meetings producing over 2.5 goals at an average of 3.44 goals per game.
Availability

Team news

Jagiellonia

  • D. DrachalOff the roster
  • C. PolakOff the roster
  • D. RallisOff the roster
  • Z. ZalewskiOff the roster
  • N. WojtuszekInactive

Wisla Plock

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Jagiellonia at homeWisla Plock away
5
Played
6
2-0-3
W-D-L
2-1-3
1
Scored /game
1
1.8
Conceded /game
2
20%
Clean sheets
17%
20%
Failed to score
33%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Jagiellonia at home plus Wisla Plock away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
7Wisla Krakow11+318
8Piast Gliwice11+217
9Korona Kielce11-515
10Wisla Plock10-514
11Motor Lublin12-413
12Cracovia Krakow11-312
13Jagiellonia10-412
14Widzew Łódź12-111
15Wieczysta Kraków11-58
16Radomiak RadomRelegation11-158
History

Head-to-head

3
Jagiellonia
2
Draws
4
Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-03-21Jagiellonia1-2Wisla Plock
  • 2025-09-19Wisla Plock0-1Jagiellonia
  • 2023-04-21Wisla Plock2-4Jagiellonia
  • 2023-01-14Wisla Plock3-1Jagiellonia
  • 2022-10-07Jagiellonia1-1Wisla Plock
BetGenius

Our record in Ekstraklasa

63%64 won from 102 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Double Chance
Wisla Plock or Draw
67%
Confidence

Wisla Plock enter this fixture in superior form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions to sit 10th on 14 points. Jagiellonia have lost four of their last five outings overall and have suffered three defeats in five home league games, conceding at an average of 1.8 goals per match on their own pitch. With the hosts missing several players including D. Drachal, C. Polak, and D. Rallis, and Wisla Plock having won 2-1 on this ground in their previous meeting, the visitors have a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Confidence

Both teams have shown recurring defensive vulnerabilities that point toward a high-scoring encounter. Jagiellonia have kept just one clean sheet across 10 league matches, shipping 17 goals in total and seeing four of their last five games in all competitions produce three or more goals. Wisla Plock have conceded 12 goals in six away league matches, an average of 2.0 per game. Additionally, the nine recorded head-to-head fixtures between these teams have averaged 3.44 goals per game, with 66.7 percent of those meetings surpassing the 2.5 goal line.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Wisla Plock or Draw
63%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 63% confidence

Both teams have shown recurring defensive vulnerabilities that point toward a high-scoring encounter. Jagiellonia have kept just one clean sheet across 10 league matches, shipping 17 goals in total and seeing four of their last five games in all competitions produce three or more goals. Wisla Plock have conceded 12 goals in six away league matches, an average of 2.0 per game. Additionally, the nine recorded head-to-head fixtures between these teams have averaged 3.44 goals per game, with 66.7 percent of those meetings surpassing the 2.5 goal line.

Wisla Plock or Draw — 67% confidence

Wisla Plock enter this fixture in superior form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions to sit 10th on 14 points. Jagiellonia have lost four of their last five outings overall and have suffered three defeats in five home league games, conceding at an average of 1.8 goals per match on their own pitch. With the hosts missing several players including D. Drachal, C. Polak, and D. Rallis, and Wisla Plock having won 2-1 on this ground in their previous meeting, the visitors have a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.