BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Referee
Takafumi Mikuriya, Japan
Form

Recent form

Kashima
88Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +7 goal difference

Gamba Osaka
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Kashima or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Kashima or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kashima Antlers welcome Gamba Osaka to the Kashima Soccer Stadium for a round nine J1 League encounter, with the two sides experiencing contrasting starts to their league campaigns. Kashima sit eighth in the table on 13 points, having registered four wins and a draw from their opening eight matches, while finding the net 17 times in that span.

Gamba Osaka enter the contest sitting 16th with six points and remain winless on the road in the league, recording two draws and two defeats from four away trips. Their defensive record away from home has seen them concede an average of two goals per game, which poses a serious challenge against a potent Kashima attack that has been productive in recent outings.

Historical head-to-head records strongly favour the hosts, with Gamba Osaka failing to win any of their last six visits to Kashima in all competitions. Given Kashima's scoring output and Gamba Osaka's away difficulties, the home side holds a meaningful structural advantage coming into this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kashima at homeGamba Osaka away
5
Played
6
4-0-1
W-D-L
0-3-3
1.8
Scored /game
1
0.8
Conceded /game
2
40%
Clean sheets
0%
20%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Kashima at home plus Gamba Osaka away).

Players

Key players this season

Kashima

  • Léo Ceará12G
  • A. Čavrić5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)11+1523
4Vissel Kobe11+722
5Kashiwa Reysol11+522
6Kashima11+520
7Kawasaki Frontale11+619
8Urawa11-318
9Yokohama F. Marinos11+417
12Nagoya Grampus11-413
13Cerezo Osaka11-713
14V-varen Nagasaki11-312
15Gamba Osaka11-710
16Mito Hollyhock11-49
17Kyoto Sanga11-89
18Avispa FukuokaRelegation - J2 League11-67
History

Head-to-head

6
Kashima
3
Draws
1
Gamba Osaka

Kashima have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-09Kashima2-0Gamba Osaka
  • 2025-10-05Kashima0-0Gamba Osaka
  • 2025-05-31Gamba Osaka0-1Kashima
  • 2024-06-26Kashima0-0Gamba Osaka
  • 2024-04-28Gamba Osaka1-2Kashima
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Kashima or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Both must land · no better than

Kashima or Draw — 78% confidence

Kashima have avoided defeat in seven of their last ten encounters against Gamba Osaka across all competitions, including an unbeaten record of three wins and three draws across their last six meetings on home turf. Gamba Osaka have struggled for results on the road this season, remaining winless in four away league fixtures with two draws and two defeats. Kashima have taken six points from three home fixtures, making the double chance on the hosts a highly probable outcome based on form and head-to-head history.

Over 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Kashima's matches this season have averaged 4.1 total goals per game, featuring 17 goals scored and 16 conceded across eight league fixtures. Gamba Osaka's away fixtures have seen an average of 3.0 total goals, with the side conceding eight goals in four road matches. Recent matches for both sides have produced heavy scoring, including Kashima's recent high-scoring outings and Gamba Osaka's nine-goal contest against Kashiwa Reysol, supporting expectations for a match exceeding the 2.5 goal line.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Kashima or Draw
78%
Confidence

Kashima have avoided defeat in seven of their last ten encounters against Gamba Osaka across all competitions, including an unbeaten record of three wins and three draws across their last six meetings on home turf. Gamba Osaka have struggled for results on the road this season, remaining winless in four away league fixtures with two draws and two defeats. Kashima have taken six points from three home fixtures, making the double chance on the hosts a highly probable outcome based on form and head-to-head history.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Confidence

Kashima's matches this season have averaged 4.1 total goals per game, featuring 17 goals scored and 16 conceded across eight league fixtures. Gamba Osaka's away fixtures have seen an average of 3.0 total goals, with the side conceding eight goals in four road matches. Recent matches for both sides have produced heavy scoring, including Kashima's recent high-scoring outings and Gamba Osaka's nine-goal contest against Kashiwa Reysol, supporting expectations for a match exceeding the 2.5 goal line.

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Published October 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.