Both clubs have registered an exceptionally low number of draws in the league this season, with Kuressaare drawing only 3 of their 24 fixtures and Vaprus drawing just 3 of their 23 matches. Furthermore, none of the last seven head-to-head meetings between them have finished level, making a decisive result for either side the statistically favoured outcome. Double Chance provides a well-supported hedge against match variance.
Kuressaare vs Vaprus prediction
Checking status…Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +10 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference
Our verdict
SolidBetGenius backs Kuressaare or Vaprus (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Kuressaare host Vaprus in Round 25 of the Meistriliiga in a clash carrying significant weight in the bottom half of the table. Kuressaare enter the fixture placed 9th in the relegation play-off position with 24 points from 24 matches, trailing 7th-placed Vaprus by just three points. The hosts have experienced a mixed run of form, recording recent league wins over Flora Tallinn (3-2) and Laagri (3-2), offset by 1-0 defeats against Tammeka and Paide.
Vaprus sit on 27 points from 23 league matches and will be looking to rebound from successive league losses against Kalju Nomme (1-3) and Flora Tallinn (1-2). Away from home, Vaprus have secured three wins from 11 matches while conceding 24 goals, though they have enjoyed positive outcomes in recent head-to-head encounters against Kuressaare.
Previous league meetings this season between these two sides have been tight, low-scoring affairs decided by single-goal margins, with Vaprus winning 1-0 at home in June and 1-0 on Kuressaare's pitch in April. With both sides drawing very infrequently throughout the campaign, an open and decisive encounter is anticipated.
Key factors
- Kuressaare (3 draws in 24 games) and Vaprus (3 draws in 23 games) have drawn a combined total of only six league matches this season.
- Vaprus have won both Meistriliiga meetings against Kuressaare in 2026 by identical 1-0 scorelines.
- None of the previous seven head-to-head fixtures between Kuressaare and Vaprus have ended in a draw.
- Kuressaare have failed to score in 12 of their 24 league fixtures this campaign.
- Only three points separate 7th-placed Vaprus (27 points) from 9th-placed Kuressaare (24 points) in the standings.
Statistical comparison
Kuressaare at home vs Vaprus awayCombined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Kuressaare at home plus Vaprus away).
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 25 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 25 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Laagri | 26 | -7 | 31 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 25 | -12 | 31 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 27 | -18 | 28 |
| 9 | KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation) | 26 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga | 27 | -41 | 18 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Vaprus have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
- 2026-06-26Vaprus 1-0 Kuressaare
- 2026-04-21Kuressaare 0-1 Vaprus
- 2026-01-31Vaprus 9-2 Kuressaare
- 2025-10-21Vaprus 0-1 Kuressaare
- 2025-07-20Kuressaare 2-1 Vaprus
Our record in Meistriliiga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.