BetGenius

Kuressaare vs Vaprus prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Referee
J. Frischer

Recent form

Kuressaare
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +10 goal difference

Vaprus
40Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Kuressaare or Vaprus
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Kuressaare or Vaprus (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Kuressaare host Vaprus in Round 25 of the Meistriliiga in a clash carrying significant weight in the bottom half of the table. Kuressaare enter the fixture placed 9th in the relegation play-off position with 24 points from 24 matches, trailing 7th-placed Vaprus by just three points. The hosts have experienced a mixed run of form, recording recent league wins over Flora Tallinn (3-2) and Laagri (3-2), offset by 1-0 defeats against Tammeka and Paide.

Vaprus sit on 27 points from 23 league matches and will be looking to rebound from successive league losses against Kalju Nomme (1-3) and Flora Tallinn (1-2). Away from home, Vaprus have secured three wins from 11 matches while conceding 24 goals, though they have enjoyed positive outcomes in recent head-to-head encounters against Kuressaare.

Previous league meetings this season between these two sides have been tight, low-scoring affairs decided by single-goal margins, with Vaprus winning 1-0 at home in June and 1-0 on Kuressaare's pitch in April. With both sides drawing very infrequently throughout the campaign, an open and decisive encounter is anticipated.

Key factors

  • Kuressaare (3 draws in 24 games) and Vaprus (3 draws in 23 games) have drawn a combined total of only six league matches this season.
  • Vaprus have won both Meistriliiga meetings against Kuressaare in 2026 by identical 1-0 scorelines.
  • None of the previous seven head-to-head fixtures between Kuressaare and Vaprus have ended in a draw.
  • Kuressaare have failed to score in 12 of their 24 league fixtures this campaign.
  • Only three points separate 7th-placed Vaprus (27 points) from 9th-placed Kuressaare (24 points) in the standings.

Statistical comparison

Kuressaare at home vs Vaprus away
13
Played
12
5-3-5
W-D-L
3-2-7
1.3
Scored /game
1.1
1.5
Conceded /game
2.2
15%
Clean sheets
17%
46%
Failed to score
17%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Kuressaare at home plus Vaprus away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4Paide25+742
5Tammeka25-241
6Laagri26-731
7Vaprus25-1231
8Nõmme United27-1828
9KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation)26-1228
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga27-4118

Head-to-head

Full record →
Kuressaare
3
Draws
1
Vaprus
6

Vaprus have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-06-26Vaprus 1-0 Kuressaare
  • 2026-04-21Kuressaare 0-1 Vaprus
  • 2026-01-31Vaprus 9-2 Kuressaare
  • 2025-10-21Vaprus 0-1 Kuressaare
  • 2025-07-20Kuressaare 2-1 Vaprus

Our record in Meistriliiga

48%12 won from 25 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Kuressaare or Vaprus
Confidence74%

Both clubs have registered an exceptionally low number of draws in the league this season, with Kuressaare drawing only 3 of their 24 fixtures and Vaprus drawing just 3 of their 23 matches. Furthermore, none of the last seven head-to-head meetings between them have finished level, making a decisive result for either side the statistically favoured outcome. Double Chance provides a well-supported hedge against match variance.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.