Both clubs have registered an exceptionally low number of draws in the league this season, with Kuressaare drawing only 3 of their 24 fixtures and Vaprus drawing just 3 of their 23 matches. Furthermore, none of the last seven head-to-head meetings between them have finished level, making a decisive result for either side the statistically favoured outcome. Double Chance provides a well-supported hedge against match variance.
Kuressaare vs Vaprus prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 25
- Venue
- Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
- Referee
- J. Frischer
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Kuressaare or Vaprus (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Kuressaare host Vaprus in Round 25 of the Meistriliiga in a clash carrying significant weight in the bottom half of the table. Kuressaare enter the fixture placed 9th in the relegation play-off position with 24 points from 24 matches, trailing 7th-placed Vaprus by just three points. The hosts have experienced a mixed run of form, recording recent league wins over Flora Tallinn (3-2) and Laagri (3-2), offset by 1-0 defeats against Tammeka and Paide.
Vaprus sit on 27 points from 23 league matches and will be looking to rebound from successive league losses against Kalju Nomme (1-3) and Flora Tallinn (1-2). Away from home, Vaprus have secured three wins from 11 matches while conceding 24 goals, though they have enjoyed positive outcomes in recent head-to-head encounters against Kuressaare.
Previous league meetings this season between these two sides have been tight, low-scoring affairs decided by single-goal margins, with Vaprus winning 1-0 at home in June and 1-0 on Kuressaare's pitch in April. With both sides drawing very infrequently throughout the campaign, an open and decisive encounter is anticipated.
Key factors
- Kuressaare (3 draws in 24 games) and Vaprus (3 draws in 23 games) have drawn a combined total of only six league matches this season.
- Vaprus have won both Meistriliiga meetings against Kuressaare in 2026 by identical 1-0 scorelines.
- None of the previous seven head-to-head fixtures between Kuressaare and Vaprus have ended in a draw.
- Kuressaare have failed to score in 12 of their 24 league fixtures this campaign.
- Only three points separate 7th-placed Vaprus (27 points) from 9th-placed Kuressaare (24 points) in the standings.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Kuressaare at home plus Vaprus away).
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 32 | +21 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 33 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 33 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | -17 | 35 |
| 9 | Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation) | 33 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga | 33 | -49 | 20 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Kuressaare
- 1
- Draws
- 6
- Vaprus
Vaprus have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
- 2026-06-26Vaprus1-0Kuressaare
- 2026-04-21Kuressaare0-1Vaprus
- 2026-01-31Vaprus9-2Kuressaare
- 2025-10-21Vaprus0-1Kuressaare
- 2025-07-20Kuressaare2-1Vaprus
Our record in Meistriliiga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

