BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Elland Road, Leeds
Referee
Michael Salisbury, England
Form

Recent form

Leeds
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Newcastle
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Newcastle or Draw

BetGenius backs Newcastle or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Leeds welcome Newcastle to Elland Road with both clubs level on five points after the opening three rounds of the Premier League season. Leeds enter the contest with a league record of one win and two draws, having drawn 1-1 against Brentford at home and Brighton away. Defensive solidity has been the foundation of their league campaign, conceding just two goals in three matches, though they will have to manage without injured trio M. Joseph, J. Rodon, and I. Gruev.

Newcastle have matched Leeds with five points from their first three fixtures, recording a win and two draws while showcasing significant attacking threat. The Magpies have found the net six times in the league, highlighted by a 2-0 away victory at Tottenham and scoring twice against Liverpool and Bournemouth. A. Elanga leads their attack with two goals, though manager options are trimmed by injuries to D. Burn, Joelinton, W. Osula, A. Dedic, and E. Jaouen.

Recent meetings between the two sides indicate closely fought encounters, with five draws in their last ten head-to-head fixtures. Newcastle claimed a 4-3 victory in their most recent clash in January 2026, and their proven potency away from home gives them a slight edge in this contest.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Newcastle have scored six goals across their first three league games, averaging two goals per match.
  2. Leeds have failed to win their only home league game this season, drawing 1-1 against Brentford.
  3. Newcastle won their only away Premier League fixture so far with a 2-0 result at Tottenham.
  4. Both sides have scored in 100 percent of their Premier League matches this season.
  5. The last ten head-to-head encounters between Leeds and Newcastle have seen five draws.
Availability

Team news

Leeds

  • M. JosephKnee Injury
  • J. RodonMuscle Injury
  • D. JamesBack Injury

Newcastle

  • E. JaouenMuscle Injury
  • V. LivramentoKnee Injury
  • A. ElangaKnee Injury
  • J. RamseyThigh Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Leeds at homeNewcastle away
4
Played
3
1-3-0
W-D-L
1-0-2
1.5
Scored /game
1.3
0.8
Conceded /game
2.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Leeds at home plus Newcastle away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+413
5LiverpoolPromotion - Europa League (League phase)7+112
6Brentford7+510
7Leeds7+310
8Everton7+110
9Ipswich8-410
10Hull City7+19
11Newcastle7-48
12Aston Villa7-48
13Manchester United707
14Crystal Palace7-87
History

Head-to-head

2
Leeds
5
Draws
3
Newcastle

Newcastle have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-01-07Newcastle4-3Leeds
  • 2025-08-30Leeds0-0Newcastle
  • 2023-05-13Leeds2-2Newcastle
  • 2022-12-31Newcastle0-0Leeds
  • 2022-01-22Leeds0-1Newcastle
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

66%79 won from 119 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Newcastle or Draw
74%
Confidence

Newcastle have demonstrated sharp attacking form in the opening stretch, scoring six goals in three league fixtures and winning their sole away league match 2-0 at Tottenham. Leeds have also remained unbeaten in the league with one win and two draws, but missing key defensive figure J. Rodon weakens their backline against a potent Magpies attack led by A. Elanga. Combining Newcastle's away form with the historical frequency of draws in this fixture provides strong support for the visitors to take at least a point.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.