Newcastle

Newcastle or Draw — 76% confidence

Newcastle arrive in steady form having gone undefeated across their last five matches, including an away win at Tottenham and a high-scoring victory over West Brom. Millwall have shown volatility with heavy losses to Southampton and Wrexham alongside their wins, and a lengthy list of injuries to key personnel such as M. Luongo and R. Leonard further tilts the balance toward the visitors avoiding defeat in ninety minutes.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Four of Millwall's last five games have produced three or more goals, including a 4-0 win against Bolton and a 5-1 loss to Southampton. Meanwhile, Newcastle have scored at least twice in four of their previous five outings, with matches against Bournemouth, West Brom, and Liverpool all clearing the 2.5 goal mark comfortably.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Four of Millwall's last five games have produced three or more goals, including a 4-0 win against Bolton and a 5-1 loss to Southampton. Meanwhile, Newcastle have scored at least twice in four of their previous five outings, with matches against Bournemouth, West Brom, and Liverpool all clearing the 2.5 goal mark comfortably.

Newcastle arrive in steady form having gone undefeated across their last five matches, including an away win at Tottenham and a high-scoring victory over West Brom. Millwall have shown volatility with heavy losses to Southampton and Wrexham alongside their wins, and a lengthy list of injuries to key personnel such as M. Luongo and R. Leonard further tilts the balance toward the visitors avoiding defeat in ninety minutes.

Both clubs have consistently produced goals at both ends to start the campaign. Newcastle have scored four times across their opening two league fixtures while conceding two, failing to keep a clean sheet at home against Liverpool. Bournemouth have also scored in both of their matches while allowing three goals across their fixtures with Manchester City and Everton. Furthermore, head-to-head history heavily favours both teams finding the net, with 70 percent of their last ten competitive meetings witnessing goals from both sides, including four of the last five clashes at St James Park.

Newcastle have established strong recent form in this fixture, winning six of the past ten head-to-head encounters and losing only once. Tottenham enter the match after conceding three goals in their Premier League opener against Brentford and must navigate extensive midfield and attacking absences, with Kulusevski, Maddison, Kudus, and Sarr all sidelined. Backing Newcastle on the double chance provides solid security across both an away victory and a draw.

Newcastle have maintained consistent scoring form across all five of their recent fixtures, including a 2-2 home draw against Liverpool. They have also lost just one of the last four head-to-head meetings hosted at St James’ Park. Although West Brom arrive in strong form with five consecutive wins, Newcastle’s home advantage and attacking consistency make Newcastle to Win at Least One Half the preferred selection.

Liverpool have dominated head-to-head meetings, winning 8 of the last 10 fixtures against Newcastle, while remaining unbeaten in their last 5 trips to Newcastle (4 wins, 1 draw). Combined with Newcastle's recent form of just 1 win in their last 5 matches, Liverpool have a strong probability of securing at least a point.