BetGenius
Round
Round of 32
Venue
The Den, London
Referee
C. Pawson
Form

Recent form

Millwall
48Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · 0 goal difference

Newcastle
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Newcastle or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Newcastle or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Millwall host Newcastle in the Round of 32 of the EFL Cup, looking to build on their recent 4-0 victory against Bolton. The Lions have displayed high-scoring tendencies across recent outings, also picking up wins over Cambridge United and Norwich, though heavy defeats to Southampton and Wrexham highlighted defensive vulnerabilities. The hosts also navigate a crowded treatment room, with several players sidelined including A. Doughty, M. Ivanovic, R. Leonard, M. Luongo, and M. Servais.

Newcastle enter the fixture on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, featuring a 2-0 away triumph at Tottenham and a 3-2 cup victory over West Brom. The Magpies have shown consistent potency in attack, scoring at least twice in four of their last five matches, including 2-2 draws against Bournemouth and Liverpool. The visitors will have to cope without D. Burn, Joelinton, and W. Osula for this cup encounter.

With Newcastle maintaining steady offensive output and Millwall producing open, high-variance fixtures in recent weeks, the visitors hold the upper hand in squad quality and momentum to navigate this knockout clash.

Availability

Team news

Millwall

  • J. CoburnMuscle Injury
  • C. De NorreMuscle Injury
  • M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
  • L. JensenMuscle Injury
  • M. LuongoKnee Injury
  • T. ArconteAnkle Injury
  • M. ServaisInactive

Newcastle

  • E. JaouenMuscle Injury
  • V. LivramentoKnee Injury
  • A. ElangaKnee Injury
  • J. RamseyThigh Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Millwall at homeNewcastle away
6
Played
3
2-2-2
W-D-L
1-0-2
1.8
Scored /game
1.3
1.3
Conceded /game
2.7
33%
Clean sheets
—
33%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Millwall at home plus Newcastle away).

History

Head-to-head

0
Millwall
0
Draws
1
Newcastle

Newcastle have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-09-08Millwall0-1Newcastle
BetGenius

Our record in EFL Cup

73%41 won from 56 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Newcastle or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Both must land · no better than

Newcastle or Draw — 76% confidence

Newcastle arrive in steady form having gone undefeated across their last five matches, including an away win at Tottenham and a high-scoring victory over West Brom. Millwall have shown volatility with heavy losses to Southampton and Wrexham alongside their wins, and a lengthy list of injuries to key personnel such as M. Luongo and R. Leonard further tilts the balance toward the visitors avoiding defeat in ninety minutes.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Four of Millwall's last five games have produced three or more goals, including a 4-0 win against Bolton and a 5-1 loss to Southampton. Meanwhile, Newcastle have scored at least twice in four of their previous five outings, with matches against Bournemouth, West Brom, and Liverpool all clearing the 2.5 goal mark comfortably.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Four of Millwall's last five games have produced three or more goals, including a 4-0 win against Bolton and a 5-1 loss to Southampton. Meanwhile, Newcastle have scored at least twice in four of their previous five outings, with matches against Bournemouth, West Brom, and Liverpool all clearing the 2.5 goal mark comfortably.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Newcastle or Draw
76%
Confidence

Newcastle arrive in steady form having gone undefeated across their last five matches, including an away win at Tottenham and a high-scoring victory over West Brom. Millwall have shown volatility with heavy losses to Southampton and Wrexham alongside their wins, and a lengthy list of injuries to key personnel such as M. Luongo and R. Leonard further tilts the balance toward the visitors avoiding defeat in ninety minutes.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.